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6月19日

**Nifty 50 Index Technical Analysis - June 2024**

The Nifty 50 index closed at **₹23,632.20** on June 18, 2024, showing a modest gain of 0.32%. The technical outlook for Nifty indicates a critical juncture, with a potential for both further upside and downside risks.

### **Technical Patterns and Indicators:**

#### **Price Channels:**
- **Ascending Channel:** Nifty has been trading in a well-defined ascending channel since September 2023, with the current resistance zone near **₹24,210.85** (upper blue line) and immediate support around **₹22,814.20**.
- **Trend Lines:** The lower trend line support at **₹21,372.85** and upper resistance trend line at **₹24,494.85** highlight key levels to watch for potential breakout or breakdown scenarios.

#### **Fibonacci Levels:**
- **Retracement Levels:** The key Fibonacci retracement levels are as follows:
- **23.6% at ₹21,372.85**
- **38.2% at ₹20,893.15**
- **50% at ₹20,505.45**
- **61.8% at ₹20,117.75**
These levels will be critical in identifying potential support and resistance zones.

#### **Projected Targets:**
- **Upside:** A bullish breakout above **₹24,210.85** could propel the index towards **₹25,126.85** and ultimately to the 1.618 extension at **₹26,572.10**. A more ambitious target lies at **₹27,090.40**.
- **Downside:** Failure to hold current levels could see Nifty retest supports at **₹22,148.20**, with further downside targets near **₹21,133.55** and significant correction down to **₹20,505.45**.

#### **Gap Analysis:**
- A gap previously noted around **₹20,505.45** has been filled, indicating that the market has absorbed prior volatility at these levels. Monitoring for new gaps will be essential for forecasting future price action.

#### **Volume and RSI:**
- **Volume:** The recent trading volume shows heightened activity, which may suggest growing interest or caution among traders. Sustained volume increases could affirm the breakout direction.
- **RSI:** Currently at **63.68**, RSI shows the index is approaching overbought territory but still has room for upward movement. A move beyond 70 may indicate overbought conditions and a potential for a pullback.

### **Fundamental Considerations:**
- **Economic Outlook:** Positive economic indicators and strong corporate earnings have been supportive of Nifty’s upward trend. Any shifts in macroeconomic data, central bank policies, or geopolitical developments could impact future performance.
- **Sector Performance:** Rotations between sectors (e.g., IT, Finance, FMCG) could drive index performance. Keeping an eye on leading and lagging sectors will provide insights into overall market health.

### **Summary:**
Nifty 50 is positioned at a crucial technical level, with potential for a significant move either direction. Traders should watch the upper resistance around **₹24,210.85** and lower support near **₹22,148.20**. Breakout or breakdown from these levels, combined with volume and RSI trends, will guide the next major market direction.

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