#Nifty Directions and Levels for the 3rd Week of September.
Global Market Overview:
In the previous week, the global market experienced a solid pullback; however, the structure still indicates a range-bound market. What about this week? Structurally, if the market breaks the previous high, we can expect a continuation of the rally. On the other hand, if the market faces rejection around the previous high, the range is likely to continue. However, there are many important events this week, such as Retail Sales, Industrial Production, Building Permits, the Fed Interest Rate Decision, FOMC Economic Projections, and the Fed Press Conference. So, this week might be crucial, and we could expect heightened volatility.
Our Market:
In the previous week, our market mirrored the global sentiment. Both Nifty and Bank Nifty experienced strong pullbacks, and structurally, this could continue into this week. However, we might see some consolidation in the middle of the week. Let’s break it down further by looking at the charts.
While Nifty and Bank Nifty have similar structures, their wave counts differ.
Nifty:
Current View:
If this week begins positively, we could see resistance around the 25492 to 25587 levels. If the market gets rejected here, we can expect a minor retracement of 23% to 38% in the swing. After that, if the market finds support there(around 38%), the rally could continue, with potential targets of 25692 to 25853. This is our primary scenario.
Alternate View:
In the alternate scenario, if the market starts negatively or faces rejection around the immediate resistance, we can expect a 38% correction. (It’s important to note that the retracement points differ from the current view.) after that If the market breaks this level decisively, we can expect the correction to extend to at least 78% to the swing low. However, if it doesn't break the 38% level, the bullish bias could be maintained.
In the previous week, the global market experienced a solid pullback; however, the structure still indicates a range-bound market. What about this week? Structurally, if the market breaks the previous high, we can expect a continuation of the rally. On the other hand, if the market faces rejection around the previous high, the range is likely to continue. However, there are many important events this week, such as Retail Sales, Industrial Production, Building Permits, the Fed Interest Rate Decision, FOMC Economic Projections, and the Fed Press Conference. So, this week might be crucial, and we could expect heightened volatility.
Our Market:
In the previous week, our market mirrored the global sentiment. Both Nifty and Bank Nifty experienced strong pullbacks, and structurally, this could continue into this week. However, we might see some consolidation in the middle of the week. Let’s break it down further by looking at the charts.
While Nifty and Bank Nifty have similar structures, their wave counts differ.
Nifty:
Current View:
If this week begins positively, we could see resistance around the 25492 to 25587 levels. If the market gets rejected here, we can expect a minor retracement of 23% to 38% in the swing. After that, if the market finds support there(around 38%), the rally could continue, with potential targets of 25692 to 25853. This is our primary scenario.
Alternate View:
In the alternate scenario, if the market starts negatively or faces rejection around the immediate resistance, we can expect a 38% correction. (It’s important to note that the retracement points differ from the current view.) after that If the market breaks this level decisively, we can expect the correction to extend to at least 78% to the swing low. However, if it doesn't break the 38% level, the bullish bias could be maintained.
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