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NZD/USD Slips as Fed Powell Hints at Gradual Rate Cuts

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The NZD/USD pair has been losing ground in the wake of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's recent remarks, indicating that interest rates will be lowered gradually "over time." This dovish signal from Powell has bolstered the US Dollar, placing additional pressure on the New Zealand Dollar (NZD).

Adding to the bearish sentiment, the upcoming US ISM Manufacturing PMI for September is projected to show a slight improvement, with expectations set at 47.5 compared to the previous reading of 47.2. A better-than-expected result could further support the USD, reinforcing the downward trajectory of the NZD/USD pair.

On the New Zealand front, economic data has also been less than favorable. The country’s Building Permits fell by 5.3% month-over-month in August, a significant reversal from the substantial 26.4% increase recorded in July. This decline reflects a slowdown in the construction sector, further weakening the New Zealand Dollar.

From a technical perspective, NZD/USD has reached a key supply area where the price seems to be reversing. The Commitment of Traders (COT) report also aligns with this potential reversal, showing a shift in sentiment towards the USD. Coupled with the latest economic news and the anticipation of stronger US data later today, the technical indicators and fundamentals both point to a continued bearish outlook for NZD/USD.

In conclusion, with Powell’s dovish comments, weak New Zealand data, and the likelihood of stronger US economic reports, the NZD/USD pair appears poised for further declines. Traders should watch for confirmation from today’s ISM Manufacturing PMI release, which could boost the USD further and solidify the reversal in NZD/USD.

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