ショート

SPX Angst? God Mode Time: IDDQD

アップデート済

Disclaimer: This is not financial advice, and I do not have training sufficient to give financial advice. This is a hobby, but if you enjoy the chart then leave a like and follow.

Chart says it all.

ノート

Updated targets.
WB TP1: $2,732 (38% WA)
WB TP2: $2,772 (50% WA)
WB TP3: $2,812 (61.8% WA)
WC/WIV TP1: $2,266 - $2,475 (100% - 162% WA)
WC/WIV TP2: $2,226 - $2,435
WC/WIV TP3: $2,186 - $2,394
WC/WIV Potentially to $2,072 (38.2% WIII) but no less than $1,803.85 (50% WIII)
WV: $3,759 - $4,048 (100% WI)

ノート

Basically all WB targets have been reached. WB retraced 60.6% of WA by reaching 2807.85. If SPX is actually in an ABC corrective W4 then it is unlikely for WB to retrace much, if any, higher.

ノート

All WB targets were hit. Since I assess SPX is in WIV (W4 correction), its price will likely continually dip/rise while slowly approaching the WC targets instead of sharply dropping as typical with W2 corrections. If price instead rises much further (> 71% WA) then we should consider whether SPX already began WV.

ノート

If you get anything from this idea, good or bad, press like and consider following.

ノート

Will post an accompanying chart later, but I suspect this morning’s (EST) SPX price drop to $2803.63 was a wave 1 or (i) of Wave C with the rise to 2813.86 being a 2 or (ii) retracement. The persistent lingering at $2813 is nerve racking, though remember a rise above 71% of WA (~$2843) is when we should consider being in WV.

ノート

Here's the accompanying chart. Click for further context.

ノート

Below is the useful info from above chart for those too lazy to click it.

Receive different low/high prices in 4H than in D/W/M TF for some reason (e.g., $2,604.04 low for W(A) in 4H instead of $2,603.54 low in M). Difference is mainly negligible but accounts for some oddities. Wave B of corrective W(IV) peaked around $2,815.15 and SPX -0.25% is now in w(i) of Wave C down. The reason for today's price lingering around $2,813 for so long is likely because w(i) will unfold as 3-3-5 wave. I've place w(i) - w(v) at roughly-plausible prices for how W(C) could unfold but did not use any precise calculations. With how much W(B) retraced, the most-likely W(C) TP range is currently $2,475 - $2,266.

ノート

Possible Wave C (i) 3-3-5 count and (ii) TP. Two possible (i) 5 waves (ABCDE) depicted ending at $2722 and 2706. $2722 if completed yesterday and potential $2706 if (i) continues today. Potential (ii) TP $2765-$2805, based on approximately 50% to 90% of (i).