From the GFC in 08/9 we can observe a circa 4 year cycle for TLT (high to high)
In this idea i plan to turn our attention to time
I have used the fibonacci time (trend based) tool to further subdivide this
Let's see what else time/cycle analysis can tell us about goverment bonds
G.R.I. Dec '21
In this idea i plan to turn our attention to time
I have used the fibonacci time (trend based) tool to further subdivide this
Let's see what else time/cycle analysis can tell us about goverment bonds
G.R.I. Dec '21
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Here i want to mainly consider the white major trendlines and white major time intervals
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TLT has made a major high every 3-4 years
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It also makes a major low every 3-4 years
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so we had major lows circa 2010/2014/2017
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However, the 2017 low failed and we had to wait 18 months for it to resume a new uptrend which we could have predicted with a modified pitchfork
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The last TLT cycle ran from mid 2016 till the corona drop
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Accordingly the next cycle should run to a high in 2023
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Is the cycle low IN for TLT- i believe so but we can't rule out one more low , time-wise...
