MARKETS week ahead: January 6 – 12
Last week in the news
Markets used the first trading week in this year to slowly gear up for the coming period. The US equity markets had a copy-paste from the last week of December, where the week started in a negative sentiment, but Friday brought optimism. The S&P gained on Friday, ending the week at the level of 5.942. The US Dollar continues to gain in strength, bringing some volatility to the price of gold, which ended the week at $2.638. The US Treasuries are still digesting US macro data in expectation of the January FOMC meeting, bringing the 10Y US benchmark to the level of 4,62%. The crypto market started the new year in an optimistic manner, bringing BTC back to levels of 98K.
Previous week was relatively calm when it comes to the release of currently significant macro data in the US. However, the largest US companies started to release their business plans for the year 2025. One of the most important news came from Microsoft, which noted that the company plans to spend at least $80 billion on construction of data centers which could be able to sustain a heady workload of AI-powered systems. For some time now, analysts have been noting that AI is the next “big thing” and that companies involved in the AI ecosystem would gain the most funds from investors. After this news the US equity market regained optimism bringing tech-heavy indexes to the higher grounds on Friday.
CNBC made an interesting analysis based on officially published data in China, related to imports of phones into this country. Namely, as per CNBC, foreign mobile phone shipments in China dropped by 47% y/y in November. Considering that the majority of foreign phone shipments in China comes from Apple, CNBC is noting that Apple's market share in China might be under pressure in the coming period, considering strong competition from local smartphone producers.
Interesting news published by Reuters at the beginning of the previous week, states that a local group of Swiss cryptocurrency advocates started an initiative proposing to the Swiss National Bank to hold Bitcoin, in a sense of national reserves. The initiators now have the task to collect 100.000 signatures in order for the initiative to reach a public referendum in Switzerland.
At the start of the new year, analysts from investment company Goldman Sachs published their view and forecasts on the economic developments in the US, EU and China. The economic growth is expected to continue in the US, around 2,7%, while the EU should accelerate at a modest pace of 0,8%. The EU economy will continue to stand a hit from higher energy prices and also from high competition from China. Their expectations are that the EU will further cut interest rates to the level of 1,75%. Analysts from Goldman are noting geopolitical risks as ones to prevail in the 2025, as well as risks for the US economy if a new US administration imposes tariffs on goods from China.
Crypto market cap
The crypto market used the first trading week in a year to gear up for the rest of the year, and set the sentiment for the future. Major event that is ahead relates to the inauguration of the new US administration on January 20th, which was generally crypto-friendly during the pre-election period. The market expects positive developments for the crypto industry in the next four years. Whether there will be challenges on that road, is to be seen. After a bumpy year-end, the market set the positive sentiment during the previous week, where total crypto market capitalization gained 5% during the week, adding 160B to its market cap. Due to holidays, daily trading volumes remained relatively lower, moving around 158B on a daily basis. Total crypto market capitalization during the year 2024 was increased by 97%, while during the first trading week in 2025 the market gained 5%, or 160B.
Majority of crypto coins gained during the previous week. BTC, the leader of the market, increased its market cap by 3,5% or 65B. Ether was also on a winning side, adding $ 29B to its market cap, increasing it by 7,3% w/w. Some other notable gainers were DOGE, with an increase in the market cap of 19,3%. ADA also significantly gained, a 21% increase w/w. Market favorite Solana was up by “only” 11%, while Algorand was traded higher by 20% w/w. Stellar should also be mentioned, as the coin managed to gain a significant 26% in value. Only a few coins ended the week in red, among which were ZCash, with a weekly decrease in value of 4%, while Tether decreased its coins in circulation and its market cap by 1,2%.
As for coins in circulation this week Solana managed to increase the number of its coins on the market by 0,7%, followed by Filecoin`s increase by 0,5% of circulating coins. In line with its significant increase in the value, Stellar managed also to increase the number of circulating coins by 0,2%.
Crypto futures market
The market optimism is back not only on a spot market, but also on the crypto futures market. The long term futures prices are expressing currently strong sentiment for BTC of investors. BTC futures were traded higher by more than 4% for all maturities. The major development is with longer term futures which are holding at levels above the 100K. In this sense, futures maturing in December 2025 ended the week with the price of $107.460, while futures maturing in December 2026 reached for the first time the level of $116.750.
The ETH futures were traded higher around 8% on average. It is important for ETH that longer term futures crossed for one more time the level of 4K. Futures maturing in December 2025 were last traded at $3.885, while those maturing in December 2026 closed the week at $4.172.
Markets used the first trading week in this year to slowly gear up for the coming period. The US equity markets had a copy-paste from the last week of December, where the week started in a negative sentiment, but Friday brought optimism. The S&P gained on Friday, ending the week at the level of 5.942. The US Dollar continues to gain in strength, bringing some volatility to the price of gold, which ended the week at $2.638. The US Treasuries are still digesting US macro data in expectation of the January FOMC meeting, bringing the 10Y US benchmark to the level of 4,62%. The crypto market started the new year in an optimistic manner, bringing BTC back to levels of 98K.
Previous week was relatively calm when it comes to the release of currently significant macro data in the US. However, the largest US companies started to release their business plans for the year 2025. One of the most important news came from Microsoft, which noted that the company plans to spend at least $80 billion on construction of data centers which could be able to sustain a heady workload of AI-powered systems. For some time now, analysts have been noting that AI is the next “big thing” and that companies involved in the AI ecosystem would gain the most funds from investors. After this news the US equity market regained optimism bringing tech-heavy indexes to the higher grounds on Friday.
CNBC made an interesting analysis based on officially published data in China, related to imports of phones into this country. Namely, as per CNBC, foreign mobile phone shipments in China dropped by 47% y/y in November. Considering that the majority of foreign phone shipments in China comes from Apple, CNBC is noting that Apple's market share in China might be under pressure in the coming period, considering strong competition from local smartphone producers.
Interesting news published by Reuters at the beginning of the previous week, states that a local group of Swiss cryptocurrency advocates started an initiative proposing to the Swiss National Bank to hold Bitcoin, in a sense of national reserves. The initiators now have the task to collect 100.000 signatures in order for the initiative to reach a public referendum in Switzerland.
At the start of the new year, analysts from investment company Goldman Sachs published their view and forecasts on the economic developments in the US, EU and China. The economic growth is expected to continue in the US, around 2,7%, while the EU should accelerate at a modest pace of 0,8%. The EU economy will continue to stand a hit from higher energy prices and also from high competition from China. Their expectations are that the EU will further cut interest rates to the level of 1,75%. Analysts from Goldman are noting geopolitical risks as ones to prevail in the 2025, as well as risks for the US economy if a new US administration imposes tariffs on goods from China.
Crypto market cap
The crypto market used the first trading week in a year to gear up for the rest of the year, and set the sentiment for the future. Major event that is ahead relates to the inauguration of the new US administration on January 20th, which was generally crypto-friendly during the pre-election period. The market expects positive developments for the crypto industry in the next four years. Whether there will be challenges on that road, is to be seen. After a bumpy year-end, the market set the positive sentiment during the previous week, where total crypto market capitalization gained 5% during the week, adding 160B to its market cap. Due to holidays, daily trading volumes remained relatively lower, moving around 158B on a daily basis. Total crypto market capitalization during the year 2024 was increased by 97%, while during the first trading week in 2025 the market gained 5%, or 160B.
Majority of crypto coins gained during the previous week. BTC, the leader of the market, increased its market cap by 3,5% or 65B. Ether was also on a winning side, adding $ 29B to its market cap, increasing it by 7,3% w/w. Some other notable gainers were DOGE, with an increase in the market cap of 19,3%. ADA also significantly gained, a 21% increase w/w. Market favorite Solana was up by “only” 11%, while Algorand was traded higher by 20% w/w. Stellar should also be mentioned, as the coin managed to gain a significant 26% in value. Only a few coins ended the week in red, among which were ZCash, with a weekly decrease in value of 4%, while Tether decreased its coins in circulation and its market cap by 1,2%.
As for coins in circulation this week Solana managed to increase the number of its coins on the market by 0,7%, followed by Filecoin`s increase by 0,5% of circulating coins. In line with its significant increase in the value, Stellar managed also to increase the number of circulating coins by 0,2%.
Crypto futures market
The market optimism is back not only on a spot market, but also on the crypto futures market. The long term futures prices are expressing currently strong sentiment for BTC of investors. BTC futures were traded higher by more than 4% for all maturities. The major development is with longer term futures which are holding at levels above the 100K. In this sense, futures maturing in December 2025 ended the week with the price of $107.460, while futures maturing in December 2026 reached for the first time the level of $116.750.
The ETH futures were traded higher around 8% on average. It is important for ETH that longer term futures crossed for one more time the level of 4K. Futures maturing in December 2025 were last traded at $3.885, while those maturing in December 2026 closed the week at $4.172.
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