TESLA INC
ロング

TSLA Long

60
1. Market Structure Overview
1.1 Previous High Sweep (Fakeout) – ~357.41

Price made a strong push above previous highs but was sharply rejected.

Indicates potential liquidity grab and institutional selling.

1.2 Change of Character (CHoCH) – ~333

Price broke below the previous higher low structure, signaling the end of bullish momentum.

Marks a bearish shift after an extended uptrend.

1.3 Break of Structure (BOS) – ~317

Confirms bearish continuation after CHoCH.

Price closed below support, validating the downtrend.

2. Supply & Demand Zones
2.1 Supply Zones (Resistance)
Zone A (343–357)

Major Supply from the last distribution before the drop.

High volume selling occurred; strong resistance expected.

Zone B (328–336)

Local Supply formed after CHoCH.

Price may react here before testing higher levels.

2.2 Demand Zones (Support)
Zone C (315–319)

Price bounced from here twice; active buyer interest.

Critical zone for near-term bullish continuation.

Zone D (299–306)

Strong Demand and origin of the last large impulse up.

Institutional footprints likely; strong support if retested.

3. Price Action Analysis (Inside Bordered Region)
Current Price (~321.68) is rebounding from Zone C.

Price is forming higher lows intraday, showing bullish intent.

Expected Move:

Short-term bounce toward Zone B (328–336).

If sellers overpower, potential reversal from this supply.

If buyers maintain momentum and break above Zone B, move toward Zone A (343–357) is likely.

4. Momentum & Confirmation
MACD on the 1-hour shows a bullish crossover, suggesting short-term buying pressure.

Structure remains bearish to neutral unless price closes above 336.

A break and hold above 336 would shift bias back to bullish continuation.

5. Financial Context Supporting Price Zones
Recent Tesla Catalysts (July 2025):
Earnings Reported July 24: Mixed results. Strong delivery numbers but concerns about margins due to price cuts.

Investor Sentiment: Divided. Some bullish based on long-term EV growth; others cautious due to margin compression.

Macroeconomic Factors:

Fed policy indecision is increasing volatility.

Tech-heavy indexes (like Nasdaq) are pulling back slightly, causing large-cap techs to see choppy moves.

These events support the supply zone near 328–336 acting as resistance until new bullish data or technical breakouts occur.

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