FOREXCOM:USDCHF   米ドル/スイスフラン
USD/CHF may retrace the decline from the monthly high (0.8893) as it breaks out of the range bound price action from earlier this week.

USD/CHF Rate Outlook

USD/CHF trades to a fresh weekly high (0.8840) following the string of failed attempt to close below the 0.8770 (61.8% Fibonacci extension) to 0.8800 (50% Fibonacci extension) region, and the exchange rate may track the positive slope in the 50-Day SMA (0.8715) as it bounces back ahead of the moving average.

A break/close above the 0.8880 (38.2% Fibonacci retracement) to 0.8910 (38.2% Fibonacci extension) area opens up the 0.9030 (38.2% Fibonacci extension) to 0.9040 (23.6% Fibonacci extension) region, but failure to clear the monthly high (0.8893) may keep USD/CHF within the March range.

--- Written by David Song, Strategist

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