USDJPY - Shorts "Too Convenient"

2016年11月24日

PA is parked at an awfully convenient spot for Thanksgiving... Its also extremely over brought.

Personally staying away from this until there is more signs of divergence. Know that retail crowd are piling into the shorts here.

USD net Bullish until inauguration day on backdrop of FED December rate hike and expected growth boost from confidence surveys. Which to me means this pair is getting winded up to be very 'high strung' for any potential shock announcements from the White House.

2016年11月25日

ノート

2016年11月25日

ノート

Waiting for ~116 area for a retrace. Let's see

2016年11月29日

ノート

Too early to tell but appears that downward correction is losing steam; possibility of further downward move likely but potential for one more leg up still in play - until then I won't be committing to any JPY pairs yet. Risk off events aplenty in December ~ January ( Trump admin policies / OPEC etc ) + USD bond sell offs with expected FED rate raise + equity drive into Nikkei.

2016年12月1日

ノート

Starting to see a channel forming and good signs of divergence - also very close to secondary TL ( green dashed TL ) - may hit a retrace again before edging up in yellow TL