When is VIX a buy? Is this a good time to buy?
The truth is that it is a buy whenever the VIX gets close to 20. Since November, and especially since the war in Ukraine broke out, I've said that the VIX below 20 is a steal. The VIX has just had a mini jump because of Pelosi's visit to Taiwan, but if nothing happens between the US and China, it could fall lower.
Personally believe that stocks have another 7% higher to go, which could crush VIX below 20 for a while. However, I think this would be a bear trap and a great opportunity for bulls to go through long volatility. In the short term, stocks could correct a bit more before going higher, which could cause the index to go up a bit, though I don't think a big breakout or anything like it is coming. My long-term goal (6-12 months) remains 45-50 on the index, but it needs some time to get there, and it must inflict even more pain on all those who have been holding puts over the last year.
Personally believe that stocks have another 7% higher to go, which could crush VIX below 20 for a while. However, I think this would be a bear trap and a great opportunity for bulls to go through long volatility. In the short term, stocks could correct a bit more before going higher, which could cause the index to go up a bit, though I don't think a big breakout or anything like it is coming. My long-term goal (6-12 months) remains 45-50 on the index, but it needs some time to get there, and it must inflict even more pain on all those who have been holding puts over the last year.
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