ロング

Roadmap to 12k

アップデート済

Remember me? Yea, it's the guy who called this bull run before anybody else. Here I provide a roadmap for how Bitcoin gets to 12k. Follow or like to get the latest updates.

ノート

finance.yahoo.com/news/three-peaks-and-a-domed-house-top-in-play-again-215311739.html

ノート

a little light reading to get you started

ノート

We are currently in the throwback of the breakout from the inverse H&S. I wouldn't worry about prices coming down below $7625.

ノート

Once we hit the $7775 range, we'll see another fast jump up.

ノート

I was off with my lowest price prediction.... by $28

ノート

Expect sideways action for another 4-12hours. But I wouldn't worry about it going down, we've already hit our intra-day lowest price. Be careful when we hit these periods of sideways action, you can get carried away and trigger-happy fingers can cost you. When trading coins during bull runs, the idea isn't to accumulate more money, it's to accumulate more coins, and if your trade won't serve that purpose, don't do it.

ノート

We are about to make a jump up.

ノート

It'll be $8400 before our next significant pause.

ノート

I think we're going to get pretty close to 10k with multiple one to four hour long pauses along the way. Basically a straight line up if you were looking at the day chart aka don't look at anything less than the four-hour chart for the time being. After we fail to break through to 10k, there will be a long period, my guess is about a month long, of sideways action before this bull run resumes to break through 10k. My updates will become less frequent during that time, so just a piece of warning: the lines I drew on this chart or draw on any other chart are just imaginary. TA will not tell you exact price movements on this kind of a scale, only (within a margin or error) over a longer time frame. The things to note here are 2 main pointss, 1) price will go sideways for a prolonged period of time if we do not break through 10k, with a side note here that trading during such a volatile time is just asking to get rekt, and 2) the general trend during that sideways period will still be up. I guarantee you hodling during that period will leave you with more than if you were to try to guess at the intraday price movements. With all that said, here's how I THINK things might look based on reoccurring patterns along with resistance and support lines:

ノート

From the fractal patterns I'm seeing on a smaller scale, the stallout periods will be longer going up, here's a revised drawing:

ノート

If you look at the 5min chart right now, it's giving you an indication of what the 4hour chart will end up looking like. Fractals, they're everywhere.

ノート

Here's what could happen if we stall out at 9200

ノート

finally, what happens if we drop from here and then stall out at 8400

ノート

the 9200 looks like the best bet to me, the last one seems to be the worst. When I look at the chart, I see the whole contraption trying to tilt itself upwards. Right now as you can tell the Inv HS was tilting downwards, the movement of the chart feels like it's trying to even out, or create an even shoulder line. Should that happen then those crazy 40k+ scenarios would actually be in the realm of possibility.

ノート

The first option, the one I drew with lines assumes that the tilt upwards has already happened.

ノート

If the tilt upwards has already happened then we are seeing mirror image of the crash taking place, just over an extended period of time. For instance, in this picture the blue circles are, or will eventually be complementary mirror images of green circles. Same shape, just over an extended period of time.

ノート

Also a possibility... let's see how it plays out

ノート

we'll be jumping 3%+ in the next 15-30mins

ノート

Maybe more like an hour and a half. Here's how I got that estimate, on the 15min chart:

ノート

We're not gonna get much further after that. The bulls are having too hard of a time pushing up. There will be a correction shortly afterward dropping us down. If/When that happens, the thing to remember is that we are still in an uptrend. And while we are in that trend, HODLing is a safer play than trying to make intraday trades, unless you have some experience and are confident you can pull it off. If we go below 7k, I would consider us out of the uptrend and firmly back in a downward channel. But every indication is that won't happen. So, enjoy the rollercoaster ride and remember the current trend is up!

ノート

at least a percentage point jump is imminent

ノート

HOLY CRAP!!! we're doing a 15% jump in the next hour

ノート

We'll probably hit between 8800 and 9000 before taking a pause to take a breath.

ノート

Back to the pretty pictures. I think we're going to hit 10k, before this bull run is finished. There's just too much action going on for the alts, those that don't have access to them will substitute with BTC. Expect a few minor corrections on our way up to 10k. Here is one possible way things could go, just get a feel for what the coin would do since it's never going to be a straight line to the finish line, so you don't panic sell or panic buy, etc.

ノート

Please note, that I strongly believe at least one of those corrections will bring us back to 7800.

ノート

Here's a zoomed out perspective. This Inverse Head and Shoulders formation - however the right shoulder peters out, will fail

ノート

However, that failure will allow us to complete this Inverse Head and Shoulders formation:

ノート

That formation will bring us up past 10k.

ノート

I've thought things through, this is going to be as close to the real thing as I'm going to be able to get:

ノート

we are definitely tilting upwards

ノート

tilting upwards put a new high into the realm of possibility...

ノート

We are forming a rising wedge for BTC, aka nearing correction territory

ノート

It's a symmetrical triangle on the 1hr chart, it could break either way

ノート

If it breaks downwards, we'll be retesting $7200

ノート

I've closed all positions, time to wait it out.

ノート

A little discussion about ascending wedges. It's basically a triangle where the highs never go any higher, while the lows keep getting higher, like a ceiling that you keep bumping into, even when all indications are that things will go up. Generally in those kinds of triangles end with a dramatic drop in the price. On the 5min chart, the triangle looked as such, but I noticed on the 15min, the pointy tip of the 3 white soldiers patter made it a symmetrical triangle instead. A symmetrical triangle can break in either direction, usually not as dramatic. Why am I so confident we won't drop, even as I see sell orders coming in? Well, we broke the triangle, when the price climbed above the exit point, so we longer have a triangle, hence no fear of imminent fall. What's happening now is people who haven't caught on to that fighting it out. We already know who's going to win.

ノート

what's happening now is the completion of the handle of a cup and handle formation. The handle was created by our break out of the triangle. So get ready for another bump up.

ノート

if you are drawing your own pretty lines on a chart, note that we are now slanting up, and I believe that we will now create an even shoulder line to the cascading Inverse Head and Shoulders formation that we're creating. Also note, save for one really big shoulder that I keep seeing in my head, the right shoulders will be smaller than the left.

ノート

if you've trigger happy fingers, time to turn off the monitor until we've hit 10k.

ノート

we've hit the end of a particular pattern that would take too long to describe, we're upwards from here

ノート

Here's the pattern on the 15 chart. It always ends with a doji or long wick candle.

ノート

it looks like the price line is a snake squirming upwards

ノート

does that look similar to the 15 mins chart?

It's fractals of the same pattern forming on a smaller scale. The picture is of the weekly chart. Where do we go from here? Well, the 15min chart is about to give you a clue.

ノート

5min chart :D

ノート

Fractals Fractals Everywhere :)

ノート

Here a side by side, #1

ノート

now for a comparison against a smaller version of the pattern, that's already formed on the one hour chart

ノート

fractals by definition build up to create a bigger version of themselves. Right now we are in EITHER a fractal of the 3 Peaks and Domed House Pattern, or the reverse Domed House and 3 Peaks pattern. Whichever we are, at minimum we will create peaks that are midway up from the Dome House. Having based my analysis mostly on pattern recognition. I am confident that means we get to at least 9k, are fairly sure it means 10k. Now, what happens after that, only time will tell.

ノート

the scale can be hard to gauge :/

ノート

we're going to drop down to 7600, go back up to 8800, before dropping back down again.

ノート

we might not drop down, but follow my drawing instead. I'll publish the one I posted as pictures earlier in the day.

ノート

Sorry to keep switching charts, but we are moving fairly quickly and I want to keep you guys up to date. I'll be updating the 'Road to 12k - A Close Up' chart.

ノート