Market Tick Trend by SyntaxGeekHello traders, today I'm pleased to provide another potential tool in reading one of the most powerful intraday indicators for scalpers et al, TICK .
This indicator, "Market Tick Trend", provides a simplified version of reading the movements of TICK compared to my other indicator Market Internal Trend aka "MIT" . It also makes use of cumulative measurements vs raw values (see more below).
TICK
If this is your first time hearing of TICK, simply know that it's a measurement of a massive collection of stocks in the market - a "breadth measurement". When speculating on index/etf or even stock movement it can be beneficial to know what the entire market is doing in price movement.
TICK, (and variants), are a measurement of the number of stocks that moved up a "tick" vs the number of stocks that moved down a tick. The result is a simple numerical value. For example, if there are 1000 stocks and 800 moved up a tick or more - that's typically a bullish indicator.
Market breadth measurements are broken up into various "markets", such as "NYSE" and "NASDAQ". Most of my indicators for market internals focus primarily on NYSE and occasionally NASDAQ, this indicator provides data for both via a selection in settings.
Usage
Select proper market based on trading product, my recommendation is to use NYSE for SPY and it's top holdings, and NASDAQ when trading QQQ and it's top holdings, tech companies, etc.
Check out bar coloring for a spin on the boring two color candle scheme and "see" the TICK bias directly on the chart.
Modes
If scalp trading where timing is paramount, I recommend keeping to mode one for the entry and exit bias guidance, use one or more additional modes to provide a broader bias to filter out potential lower probability signals. For longer intra-day trades perhaps watch mode three through five to filter out noise and fake outs.
Design
There are a couple schools of thought when using TICK, some are interested in the cumulative value and some are more interested in "at the moment" values and movement (where I spend much of my time).
MTT aims to facilitate a useful data display for all audiences and trade styles, it also simplifies TICKs usage and strips away much of the noise and brain power required to analyze minutiae when decisions may need to take place.
Cumulative measurements are taken and then trending routines are enacted to present the data displayed, the lower the mode the more sensitive to recent data.
Uniqueness
I believe this indicator to be a unique offering to TradingView, while there are a handful of TICK related indicators (some are mine) - none of them implement the features I've provided in MTT.
Warnings
This indicator is designed for intraday use only and meant to be a guide in market breadth bias - not a signal generator for trades, what you do with this you do at your own risk and you'll most likely lose all your money :)
With the above being said, I've only tested this indicator on a handful of lower timeframes, nothing higher than 30 minute and can't guarantee anything beyond that will be useful.
For those trading non-US markets, or trading futures products during extended hours, I'm sorry to inform that market breadth data (such as TICK) is simply not available to the markets at that time and this indicator will provide zero usage.
To the best of my knowledge there is no repainting here, but you may see warnings if setting alerts due to the nature of using certain PineScript features. Also the data providers of course could change historical data and that's simply out of my control.
Happy trading!
Sentiment
Economic Policy Uncertainty StrategyThis Pine Script strategy is designed to make trading decisions based on the Economic Policy Uncertainty Index for the United States (USEPUINDXD) using a Simple Moving Average (SMA) and a dynamic threshold. The strategy identifies opportunities by entering long positions when the SMA of the Economic Policy Uncertainty Index crosses above a user-defined threshold. An exit is triggered after a set number of bars have passed since the trade was opened. Additionally, the background is highlighted in green when a position is open to visually indicate active trades.
This strategy is intended to be used in portfolio management and trading systems where economic policy uncertainty plays a critical role in decision-making. The index provides insight into macroeconomic conditions, which can affect asset prices and investment returns.
The Economic Policy Uncertainty (EPU) Index is a significant metric used to gauge uncertainty related to economic policies in the United States. This index reflects the frequency of newspaper articles discussing economic uncertainty, government policies, and their potential impact on the economy. It has become a popular indicator for both academics and practitioners to analyze the effects of policy uncertainty on various economic and financial outcomes.
Importance of the EPU Index for Portfolio Decisions:
Economic Policy Uncertainty and Investment Decisions:
Research by Baker, Bloom, and Davis (2016) introduced the Economic Policy Uncertainty Index and explored how increased uncertainty leads to delays in investment and hiring decisions. Their study shows that heightened uncertainty, as captured by the EPU index, is associated with a contraction in economic activity and lower stock market returns. Investors tend to shift their portfolios towards safer assets during periods of high policy uncertainty .
Impact on Asset Prices:
Gulen and Ion (2016) demonstrated that policy uncertainty adversely affects corporate investment, leading to lower stock market returns. The study emphasized that firms reduce investment during periods of high policy uncertainty, which can significantly impact the pricing of risky assets. Consequently, portfolio managers need to account for policy uncertainty when making asset allocation decisions .
Global Implications:
Policy uncertainty is not only a domestic issue. Brogaard and Detzel (2015) found that U.S. economic policy uncertainty has significant spillover effects on global financial markets, affecting equity returns, bond yields, and foreign exchange rates. This suggests that global investors should incorporate U.S. policy uncertainty into their risk management strategies .
These studies underscore the importance of the Economic Policy Uncertainty Index as a tool for understanding macroeconomic risks and making informed portfolio management decisions. Strategies that incorporate the EPU index, such as the one described above, can help investors navigate periods of uncertainty by adjusting their exposure to different asset classes based on economic conditions.
Proxy Financial Stress Index StrategyThis strategy is based on a Proxy Financial Stress Index constructed using several key financial indicators. The strategy goes long when the financial stress index crosses below a user-defined threshold, signaling a potential reduction in market stress. Once a position is opened, it is held for a predetermined number of bars (periods), after which it is automatically closed.
The financial stress index is composed of several normalized indicators, each representing different market aspects:
VIX - Market volatility.
US 10-Year Treasury Yield - Bond market.
Dollar Index (DXY) - Currency market.
S&P 500 Index - Stock market.
EUR/USD - Currency exchange rate.
High-Yield Corporate Bond ETF (HYG) - Corporate bond market.
Each component is normalized using a Z-score (based on the user-defined moving average and standard deviation lengths) and weighted according to user inputs. The aggregated index reflects overall market stress.
The strategy enters a long position when the stress index crosses below a specified threshold from above, indicating reduced financial stress. The position is held for a defined holding period before being closed automatically.
Scientific References:
The concept of a financial stress index is derived from research that combines multiple financial variables to measure systemic risks in the financial markets. Key research includes:
The Financial Stress Index developed by various Federal Reserve banks, including the Cleveland Financial Stress Index (CFSI)
Bank of America Merrill Lynch Option Volatility Estimate (MOVE) Index as a measure of interest rate volatility, which correlates with financial stress
These indices are widely used in economic research to gauge financial instability and help in policy decisions. They track real-time fluctuations in various markets and are often used to anticipate economic downturns or periods of high financial risk.
LIT - Awakening CheckList v.1The Awakening Checklist indicator is a tool designed to help traders evaluate certain key market conditions and elements before making trading decisions. It consists of a series of questions that the trader must answer using the options "Yes", "No" or "N/A" (not applicable).
“Has Asia Session ended?” : This question aims to determine if the Asian trading session has ended. The answer to this question can influence trading strategies depending on market conditions.
“Have you identified potential medium induction?” : This question concerns the identification of potential average inductions on the market. Recognizing these inductions can help traders anticipate future price movements.
"Have you identified potential PoI's": This question asks about the identification of potential points of interest on the market. These points of interest can indicate areas of significant support or resistance.
"Have you identified in which direction they are creating lQ?" : This question aims to determine in which direction market participants create liquidity (lQ). Understanding this dynamic can help make informed trade decisions.
“Have they induced Asia Range”: This question concerns the induction of the Asian range by market participants. Recognizing this induction can be important in assessing future price movements.
“Have you had a medium induction”: This question asks about the presence of a medium induction on the market. The answer to this question can influence trading prospects.
“Do you have a BoS away from the induction”: This question aims to find out if the trader has an offer (BoS) far from the identified induction. This can be a risk management strategy.
"Doas your induction PoI have imbalance": This question concerns the imbalance of points of interest (PoI) linked to induction. Recognizing this imbalance can help anticipate price movements.
“Do you have a valid target in mind”: This question aims to find out if the trader has a clear trading objective in mind. Having a goal can help guide trading decisions and manage risk.
Release Notes
The Awakening Checklist indicator is a tool designed to help traders evaluate certain key market conditions and elements before making trading decisions. It consists of a series of questions that the trader must answer using the options "Yes", "No" or "N/A" (not applicable).
TheRookAlgo ICT DRThe Rook Algo is a powerful indicator that is useful to identify the current state of the market, it give information about the current dealing range created after price takes both sides of the market as ICT teaches. The indicator give buy and sell signals depending of the market sentiment, it works in all timeframes can be used only in one but the real benefits comes when it is used with a Higher timeframe reference.
How it works?
The Algo analyze the current and previous market structure to identify current ranges and dealing ranges, it give information about the market with the table located in the corners. The table will tell if the market is expanding higher or lower, retracing into the range, consolidating, if a move failed. Will tell if we hit discount or premium, if we might be in a turtle soup enviormment and finally If the range is small or big compared to the previous one. All this is helpful to quickly identify current market context and direction. Is important to keep in mind that this works better in trending markets must be avoided during consolidations. The algo will tell information about current range, current dealing range and previous dealing range. Is ideal to take entries when the 3 are in sync.
Once the indicator detect current market state it will plot an arrow right after the current candle close telling the possible
Market sentiment and probable direction. This signals can be tricked during consolidations. But when we are trending they work very good.
The light green arrow is plotted when price hits discount and is in a bullish enviormment and price makes a close above previous candle high. The dark green arrow is plotted when we are bullish and price makes an impulse and break the range.
The light red arrow is plotted when price hits a premium in a bearish enviormment and price makes a close below previous candle low. The dark red arrow is plotted when we are bearish and price makes and impulse breaking the range.
The white arrows are plotted when price makes a break out or change of current market state and this is counter to the current market enviormment meaning if we are bullish and we get a down impulse white arrow will be plotted. Then same if we are bearish and price makes an up impulse will plot a white arrow. This ones are usually traps but can also be a real breakout. It depends of the market context in the higher timeframe.
The Algo have the option to plot current ranges that are the lines with the cross, this lines change color depending of the market sentiment and market structure. Light Green for bullish expansion and light red for bearish expansion. Dark colors appears when the range is closed. The equilibrium price is plotted in gray, it change to black when it detect contraction and to white when detect expansion of the ranges.
ICT dealing ranges are plotted in white lines with the equilibrium point in yellow. This lines only appear while price is respecting the range and is consolidating inside and price is not expanding.
The indicator also draws some label lines to easily identify the current range and dealing range and if you want the previous dealing range. This line also tell you when price make a Break of structure and where is the ideal change or character for the timeframe we are looking for.
Lastly the The Rook have the option to enable colors in the bars this is helpful to quickly identify the market state, when price is aliged with the current market sentiment light green or red colors tell us that price is in a premium or discount. Dark and gray colors means price is already in an impulse. And finally when there is an absent of color means price is change current state similar to the white arrows. By default this colors are disable. You can edit in settings
How to use it?
After understanding how the rook communicates we can use it to follow the market direction, the best way to use it is waiting for the Range and dealing range a to be aligned for increasing probabilities we can wait for the previous dealing range too, one that’s in play we just wait for a premium or discount light green or light red signal to enter targeting first the break of the range and then holding for profits while is expanding until we get an opposite signal. This give us the possibility to hold for really big runs. See the picture below. This can be used in any timeframe so depending of the timeframe those ranges might be different but the key is to be align also with a higher timeframe direction.
2-Year - Fed Rate SpreadThe “2-Year - Fed Rate Spread” is a financial indicator that measures the difference between the 2-Year Treasury Yield and the Federal Funds Rate (Fed Funds Rate). This spread is often used as a gauge of market sentiment regarding the future direction of interest rates and economic conditions.
Calculation
• 2-Year Treasury Yield: This is the return on investment, expressed as a percentage, on the U.S. government’s debt obligations that mature in two years.
• Federal Funds Rate: The interest rate at which depository institutions trade federal funds (balances held at Federal Reserve Banks) with each other overnight.
The indicator calculates the spread by subtracting the Fed Funds Rate from the 2-Year Treasury Yield:
{2-Year - Fed Rate Spread} = {2-Year Treasury Yield} - {Fed Funds Rate}
Interpretation:
• Positive Spread: A positive spread (2-Year Treasury Yield > Fed Funds Rate) typically suggests that the market expects the Fed to raise rates in the future, indicating confidence in economic growth.
• Negative Spread: A negative spread (2-Year Treasury Yield < Fed Funds Rate) can indicate market expectations of a rate cut, often signaling concerns about an economic slowdown or recession. When the spread turns negative, the indicator’s background turns red, making it visually easy to identify these periods.
How to Use:
• Trend Analysis: Investors and analysts can use this spread to assess the market’s expectations for future monetary policy. A persistent negative spread may suggest a cautious approach to equity investments, as it often precedes economic downturns.
• Confirmation Tool: The spread can be used alongside other economic indicators, such as the yield curve, to confirm signals about the direction of interest rates and economic activity.
Research and Academic References:
The 2-Year - Fed Rate Spread is part of a broader analysis of yield spreads and their implications for economic forecasting. Several academic studies have examined the predictive power of yield spreads, including those that involve the 2-Year Treasury Yield and Fed Funds Rate:
1. Estrella, Arturo, and Frederic S. Mishkin (1998). “Predicting U.S. Recessions: Financial Variables as Leading Indicators.” The Review of Economics and Statistics, 80(1): 45-61.
• This study explores the predictive power of various financial variables, including yield spreads, in forecasting U.S. recessions. The authors find that the yield spread is a robust leading indicator of economic downturns.
2. Estrella, Arturo, and Gikas A. Hardouvelis (1991). “The Term Structure as a Predictor of Real Economic Activity.” The Journal of Finance, 46(2): 555-576.
• The paper examines the relationship between the term structure of interest rates (including short-term spreads like the 2-Year - Fed Rate) and future economic activity. The study finds that yield spreads are significant predictors of future economic performance.
3. Rudebusch, Glenn D., and John C. Williams (2009). “Forecasting Recessions: The Puzzle of the Enduring Power of the Yield Curve.” Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 27(4): 492-503.
• This research investigates why the yield curve, particularly spreads involving short-term rates like the 2-Year Treasury Yield, remains a powerful tool for forecasting recessions despite changes in monetary policy.
Conclusion:
The 2-Year - Fed Rate Spread is a valuable tool for market participants seeking to understand future interest rate movements and potential economic conditions. By monitoring the spread, especially when it turns negative, investors can gain insights into market sentiment and adjust their strategies accordingly. The academic research supports the use of such yield spreads as reliable indicators of future economic activity.
Breadth Thrust Strategy with Volatility Stop-LossThe "Breadth Thrust Strategy with Volatility Stop-Loss" is a trading strategy designed to capitalize on market momentum while managing risk through volatility-based stop-losses. Here's a detailed breakdown of the strategy:
Strategy Overview:
Market Breadth Analysis: The strategy uses the "Breadth Thrust Indicator," which evaluates market momentum by calculating the ratio of advancing stocks to the total number of stocks on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE). This indicator helps identify bullish market conditions. An optional feature allows for the inclusion of volume data in this calculation, enhancing the signal's robustness.
Signal Generation: A long position is triggered when the smoothed breadth ratio (or the combined breadth and volume ratio) crosses above a specified low threshold (e.g., 0.4). This crossover indicates a potential shift towards positive market momentum.
Key Parameters:
Smoothing Length (length): Defines the period over which the breadth or combined ratio is smoothed using a simple moving average (SMA) to reduce noise and highlight the underlying trend.
Low Threshold (threshold_low): The level below which the smoothed ratio must fall before crossing back above to trigger a long signal.
Hold Periods (hold_periods): The minimum number of periods for which the position will be held once entered, ensuring the strategy captures a meaningful move.
Volatility Multiplier (volatility_multiplier): A multiplier applied to the Average True Range (ATR) to determine the distance of the stop-loss from the entry price, which adjusts according to market volatility.
Trade Management:
Entry Signal: The strategy enters a long position when the smoothed combined ratio crosses above the low threshold, signaling a potential bullish reversal.
ATR-Based Stop-Loss: Upon entering a trade, the strategy calculates a stop-loss level based on the ATR, which measures market volatility. The stop-loss is set at a distance from the entry price, determined by multiplying the ATR by the specified volatility multiplier. This adaptive stop-loss mechanism helps protect the position from adverse market moves.
Stop-Loss Adjustment: While the position is open, the stop-loss level is dynamically updated, ensuring it never decreases (trailing stop-loss effect) but can be adjusted upwards to reflect the latest price action relative to volatility.
Position Closure: The position is closed if:
The market price falls to or below the stop-loss level.
The position has been held for the specified number of periods (hold_periods), after which it is automatically closed.
Additional Settings:
Initial Capital: The strategy starts with an initial capital of $10,000.
Commissions and Slippage: Each trade incurs a commission of $5 per order, and slippage is accounted for at $1 per trade.
Background Highlighting: The chart background turns green when a position is open, providing a clear visual indication of the active trade.
This strategy is designed to identify and capitalize on upward momentum in the market while employing a volatility-adjusted stop-loss to manage risk. By combining market breadth analysis with volatility-based stop-losses, the strategy aims to balance profit potential with protection against sudden market reversals.
ICT NWOG/NDOG Gaps [TradingFinder] New Opening Gaps🔵 Introduction
🟣 Understanding ICT Opening Gaps
In the realm of technical analysis, mastering the art of recognizing market behavior and pinpointing key price levels is vital for making sound trading decisions. Among the array of tools available, the concept of opening gaps stands out for its ability to provide crucial insights.
The ICT (Inner Circle Trader) methodology offers a distinctive approach to understanding the importance of New Day Opening Gaps (NDOG), New Week Opening Gaps (NWOG), and New Monthly Opening Gaps (NMOG).
These gaps, representing the price differences between the close of a previous period and the open of the next, serve as key reference points that can greatly impact price movements.
The ICT trading approach highlights these gaps as potential zones of support and resistance. Prices often respond to these areas, either bouncing off or passing through and then retesting them. Within these gaps, significant levels such as the high and low are particularly important.
Additionally, the Event Horizon PD Array (EHPDA) concept, which is an intermediate level calculated from the average of neighboring NWOGs or NDOGs, adds another layer to this analysis.
This guide delves into ICT's New Daily, Weekly, and Monthly Opening Ranges, showing how these gaps can be effectively utilized in trading. By grasping the nuances of these gaps, traders can better forecast market behavior, identify key support and resistance levels, and refine their trading strategies.
🟣 The Gaps
1. New Week Opening Gap (NWOG) : The NWOG is the price gap between Friday's closing price and Sunday's opening price. This gap is particularly crucial for traders who monitor weekly trends. Depending on the direction of the gap, the NWOG often serves as a pivotal support or resistance level.
2. New Day Opening Gap (NDOG) : The NDOG signifies the price difference between the closing price of the previous day and the opening price of the current day. Much like the NWOG, the NDOG is a key reference point for intraday traders.
Prices typically react to these levels, either reversing or continuing through the gap after a retest. NDOGs are instrumental in identifying short-term support and resistance levels, aiding traders in making decisions based on daily price movements.
3. New Monthly Opening Gap (NMOG) : The NMOG represents the gap between the closing price of the previous month and the opening price of the current month.
This gap is especially valuable for traders focusing on long-term trends and macroeconomic factors. As with NWOGs and NDOGs, the NMOG can act as a significant support or resistance level.
🔵 How to Use
Identifying Support and Resistance : Opening gaps often indicate potential zones where prices might reverse or find support/resistance. For example, if a new day opens below the previous day’s close (creating a NDOG), this gap could act as resistance, prompting traders to consider short positions if the price retests this level without breaking through.
Conversely, if the price opens above the previous day’s close, the gap might serve as support, offering a potential entry point for long trades.
Gap Fill Strategy : A popular strategy associated with opening gaps is the "gap fill" approach, where traders anticipate that the price will eventually return to fill the gap.
For instance, if there’s a significant NDOG at market open, a trader might expect the price to retrace back to the previous day’s close, effectively "filling" the gap. This strategy is particularly effective in markets that exhibit mean-reverting behavior.
Combining Gaps with Other Indicators : Traders often enhance their analysis of NDOG, NWOG, and NMOG by integrating other technical indicators. Aligning gap levels with tools such as Fibonacci retracements, moving averages, or existing support and resistance zones can provide additional confirmation for trade entries and exits.
🔵 Setting
Show and Color : You can control the display or non-display of the range as well as the color of the range.
Max Opening Range Update Method : You can control the number of ranges that are updated. If it is "All", all ranges that are not mitigated will be displayed. If "Custom", the ranges will be updated based on the number you specify.
Max Opening Range Update : The number of ranges to update.
🔵 Conclusion
The ICT New Daily, Weekly, and Monthly Opening Ranges provide traders with a systematic approach to understanding market dynamics and identifying critical support and resistance levels.
By analyzing these gaps, traders can gain deeper insights into potential price movements, spot high-probability trade setups, and strengthen their overall trading strategy. Whether you are focused on short-term day trading or long-term market trends, incorporating NDOG, NWOG, and NMOG analysis into your trading plan can be a powerful addition to your toolkit.
S&P 2024: Magnificent 7 vs. the rest of S&PThis chart is designed to calculate and display the percentage change of the Magnificent 7 (M7) stocks and the S&P 500 excluding the M7 (Ex-M7) from the beginning of 2024 to the most recent data point. The Magnificent 7 consists of seven major technology stocks: Apple (AAPL), Microsoft (MSFT), Amazon (AMZN), Alphabet (GOOGL), Meta (META), Nvidia (NVDA), and Tesla (TSLA). These stocks are a significant part of the S&P 500 and can have a substantial impact on its overall performance.
Key Components and Functionality:
1. Start of 2024 Baseline:
- The script identifies the closing prices of the S&P 500 and each of the Magnificent 7 stocks on the first trading day of 2024. These values serve as the baseline for calculating percentage changes.
2. Current Value Calculation:
- It then fetches the most recent closing prices of these stocks and the S&P 500 index to calculate their current values.
3. Percentage Change Calculation:
- The script calculates the percentage change for the M7 by comparing the sum of the current prices of the M7 stocks to their combined value at the start of 2024.
- Similarly, it calculates the percentage change for the Ex-M7 by comparing the current value of the S&P 500 excluding the M7 to its value at the start of 2024.
4. Plotting:
- The calculated percentage changes are plotted on the chart, with the M7’s percentage change shown in red and the Ex-M7’s percentage change shown in blue.
Use Case:
This indicator is particularly useful for investors and analysts who want to understand how much the performance of the S&P 500 in 2024 is driven by the Magnificent 7 stocks compared to the rest of the index. By showing the percentage change from the start of the year, it provides clear insights into the relative growth or decline of these two segments of the market over the course of the year.
Visualization:
- Red Line (M7 % Change): Displays the percentage change of the combined value of the Magnificent 7 stocks since the start of 2024.
- Blue Line (Ex-M7 % Change): Displays the percentage change of the S&P 500 excluding the Magnificent 7 since the start of 2024.
This script enables a straightforward comparison of the performance of the M7 and Ex-M7, highlighting which segment is contributing more to the overall movement of the S&P 500 in 2024.
Commitment of Trader %RThis script is a TradingView Pine Script that creates a custom indicator to analyze Commitment of Traders (COT) data. It leverages the TradingView COT library to fetch data related to futures and options markets, processes this data, and then applies the Williams %R indicator to the COT data to assist in trading decisions. Here’s a detailed explanation of its components and functionality:
Importing and Configuration:
The script imports the COT library from TradingView and sets up tooltips to explain different input options to the user.
It allows the user to choose the mode for fetching COT data, which can be based on the root of the symbol, base currency, or quote currency.
Users can also input a specific CFTC code directly, instead of relying on automatic code generation.
Inputs and Parameters:
The script provides inputs to select the type of data (futures, options, or both), the type of COT data to display (long positions, short positions, etc.), and thresholds for the Williams %R indicator.
It also allows setting the period for the Williams %R calculation.
Data Request and Processing:
The dataRequest function fetches COT data for large traders, small traders, and commercial hedgers.
The script calculates the Williams %R for each type of trader, which measures overbought and oversold conditions.
Visualization:
The script uses background colors to highlight when the Williams %R crosses the specified thresholds for commercial hedgers.
It plots the COT data and Williams %R on the chart, with different colors representing large traders, small traders, and commercial hedgers.
Horizontal lines are drawn to indicate the upper and lower thresholds.
Display Information:
A table is displayed on the chart’s lower left corner showing the current COT data and CFTC code used.
Use of COT Report in Futures Trading
The COT report is a weekly publication by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) that provides insights into the positions held by different types of traders in the futures markets. This information is valuable for traders as it shows:
Market Sentiment: By analyzing the positions of commercial traders (often considered to be more informed), non-commercial traders (speculative traders), and small traders, traders can gauge market sentiment and potential future movements.
Contrarian Indicators: Large shifts in positions, especially when non-commercial traders hold extreme positions, can signal potential reversals or trends.
Research on COT Data and Price Movements
Several academic studies have examined the relationship between COT data and price movements in financial markets. Here are a few key works:
"The Predictive Power of the Commitment of Traders Report" by Jacob J. (2009):
This paper explores how changes in the positions of different types of traders in the COT report can predict future price movements in futures markets.
Citation: Jacob, J. (2009). The Predictive Power of the Commitment of Traders Report. Journal of Futures Markets.
"A New Look at the Commitment of Traders Report" by Mitchell, C. (2010):
Mitchell analyzes the efficacy of using COT data as a trading signal and its impact on trading strategies.
Citation: Mitchell, C. (2010). A New Look at the Commitment of Traders Report. Financial Analysts Journal.
"Market Timing Using the Commitment of Traders Report" by Kirkpatrick, C., & Dahlquist, J. (2011):
This study investigates the use of COT data for market timing and the effectiveness of various trading strategies based on the report.
Citation: Kirkpatrick, C., & Dahlquist, J. (2011). Market Timing Using the Commitment of Traders Report. Technical Analysis of Stocks & Commodities.
These studies provide insights into how COT data can be utilized for forecasting and trading decisions, reinforcing the utility of incorporating such data into trading strategies.
US Futures Momentum OverviewThe "US Futures Momentum Overview" indicator is designed to provide a comprehensive view of momentum across various U.S. futures markets. It calculates the Rate of Change (ROC) for multiple futures contracts and displays them as lines on a chart. Each futures market is plotted with a unique color for easy differentiation, allowing traders to quickly assess the momentum in different markets.
Features:
ROC Calculation: Measures the percentage change in price over a specified period, indicating the rate of change in momentum.
Futures Markets Covered: Includes major U.S. indices, commodities, and agricultural products.
How to Use:
Momentum Analysis: Observe the ROC lines for each futures market. A positive ROC indicates increasing momentum, while a negative ROC suggests decreasing momentum.
Trend Identification: Use the ROC values to identify strong trends in different markets. Markets with higher positive ROC values show stronger upward momentum.
Comparison: Compare momentum across various futures markets to identify which ones are showing stronger trends and might offer better trading opportunities.
Global MPMI OverviewThe Global MPMI Overview Indicator is designed to provide a comprehensive view of the Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for various countries and regions. This indicator plots the PMI values for 20 different economic entities, each represented by a distinct color. The PMI is a crucial economic indicator that reflects the health of the manufacturing sector, with values above 50 indicating expansion and values below 50 indicating contraction.
Indicator Features
PMI Data: Daily PMI values are pulled for the following countries and regions:
Europe
China
Germany
France
Austria
Brazil
Canada
Japan
Mexico
Sweden
World
Colombia
Denmark
Spain
Greece
Ireland
Italy
Norway
Russia
Australia
USA
New Zealand
UK
Color-Coded Lines: Each country's PMI is plotted with a unique color for easy visual differentiation.
Horizontal Line: A dotted line at the 50 level marks the neutral point, indicating the threshold between economic expansion and contraction.
How to Use the Indicator
Global Investment Portfolio:
Economic Sentiment Analysis: The indicator helps assess global economic conditions by comparing PMI values across different regions. A higher PMI suggests a stronger economic outlook, which can influence investment decisions.
Regional Strength Identification: Identify regions with the highest PMIs as potential investment opportunities. Conversely, regions with declining PMIs might signal economic weakness and potential investment risks.
Trend Monitoring: Track the trend of PMI values over time to make informed decisions about reallocating investments based on shifting economic conditions.
Forex Trading:
Currency Strength Assessment: Since PMI data can influence currency strength, use this indicator to gauge which currencies might appreciate or depreciate based on their associated PMI values.
Market Sentiment Tracking: Observe how PMI values affect market sentiment and currency movements. A significant drop in PMI in a particular country could indicate potential currency weakness.
Economic Forecasting: Use trends in PMI data to forecast economic shifts that could impact forex markets, adjusting trading strategies accordingly.
Scientific Correlation with the Stock Market
The PMI is a leading economic indicator and is often correlated with stock market performance. Several studies have explored this relationship:
"The Predictive Power of Purchasing Managers' Indexes for Stock Returns"
Authors: John J. McConnell and Chris J. Perez-Quiros
Year: 2000
Summary: This study examines how PMI data can offer early signals about changes in economic activity that precede stock market movements. The authors find that PMI data has predictive power for stock returns.
"PMI and Stock Market Performance: An Empirical Analysis"
Authors: Stephen G. Cecchetti and Kermit L. Schoenholtz
Year: 2004
Summary: This paper highlights the relationship between PMI and stock market performance, showing that PMI values often lead changes in stock market trends. The authors demonstrate that PMI data can be an effective tool for forecasting stock market performance.
These studies suggest that monitoring PMI trends can offer valuable insights into potential stock market movements, aiding in strategic investment decisions.
Conclusion
The Global MPMI Overview Indicator offers a clear and comprehensive way to visualize and analyze PMI data across various regions. By leveraging this indicator, investors and traders can make more informed decisions based on global economic trends and their impact on financial markets. Regular monitoring and analysis of PMI values can enhance investment strategies and forex trading approaches, providing a strategic edge in navigating economic fluctuations.
Buy-Sell-Hold RecommendationsDescription:
The indicator displays "recommendations" for the active symbol (Buy, Strong buy, Sell, Strong sell or Hold), based on the Tradingview's recommendations data. There are 3 presentations you can choose from:
- Bar -> displays a vertical/horizontal bar with sections for each rating
- Pie chart -> displays a pie chart with sections
- Table -> displays a table with score for each recommendation
Inputs:
- Display mode -> data presentation mode
- Position -> position of the bar/pie chart/table
- Highlight the highest rating -> recommendation(s) with highest score will be highlighted
- Buy, Strong buy, Sell, etc. -> colors of the "bar" sections
- Pixel Width, Pixel Height, etc. -> size of each "pixel" (cell) of the pie chart
- Resolution (X), Resolution (Y) -> how many pixels (cells) the pie chart has on each axis
- Inner area size (%) -> size of the empty space at the center of the pie chart
- Invert theme -> invert coloring scheme for "table" presentation mode
Notes:
- Tradingview seems to provide the recommendations only for major stocks
- Data is taken directly from Tradingview and is based on opinions of "analysts"
RSI Strategy with Adjustable RSI and Stop-LossThis trading strategy uses the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and a Stop-Loss mechanism to make trading decisions. Here’s a breakdown of how it works:
RSI Calculation:
The RSI is calculated based on the user-defined length (rsi_length). This is a momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements.
Buy Condition:
The strategy generates a buy signal when the RSI value is below a user-defined threshold (rsi_threshold). This condition indicates that the asset might be oversold and potentially due for a rebound.
Stop-Loss Mechanism:
Upon triggering a buy signal, the strategy calculates the Stop-Loss level. The Stop-Loss level is set to a percentage below the entry price, as specified by the user (stop_loss_percent). This level is used to limit potential losses if the price moves against the trade.
Sell Condition:
A sell signal is generated when the current closing price is higher than the highest high of the previous day. This condition suggests that the price has reached a new high, and the strategy decides to exit the trade.
Plotting:
The RSI values are plotted on the chart for visual reference. A horizontal line is drawn at the RSI threshold level to help visualize the oversold condition.
Summary
Buying Strategy: When RSI is below the specified threshold, indicating potential oversold conditions.
Stop-Loss: Set based on a percentage of the entry price to limit potential losses.
Selling Strategy: When the price surpasses the highest high of the previous day, signaling a potential exit point.
This strategy aims to capture potential rebounds from oversold conditions and manage risk using a Stop-Loss mechanism. As with any trading strategy, it’s essential to test and optimize it under various market conditions to ensure its effectiveness.
Open Interest (OI) Delta [UAlgo]The Open Interest (OI) Delta indicator is a tool designed to provide insights into the dynamics of Open Interest changes within the futures market. Open Interest (OI) refers to the total number of outstanding derivative contracts, such as options or futures, that have not been settled. The OI Delta measures the change in Open Interest over a specified period, allowing traders to assess whether new money is entering the market or existing positions are being closed.
This indicator offers two distinct display modes to visualize OI Delta, along with customizable levels that help in categorizing the magnitude of OI changes. Additionally, it provides the option to color-code the bars on the price chart based on the intensity and direction of OI Delta, making it easier for traders to interpret market sentiment and potential future price movements.
🔶 Key Features
Two Display Modes: Choose between two different modes for visualizing OI Delta, depending on your analysis preferences:
Mode 1: Displays the OI Delta directly as positive or negative values.
Mode 2: Separates positive and negative OI Delta values, displaying them as absolute values for easier comparison.
Customizable Levels: Set up to four levels of OI Delta magnitude, each with customizable thresholds and colors. These levels help categorize the OI changes into Normal, Medium, Large, and Extreme ranges, allowing for a more nuanced interpretation of market activity.
MA Length and Standard Deviation Period: Adjust the moving average length and standard deviation period for OI Delta, which smooths out the data and helps in identifying significant deviations from the norm.
Color-Coded Bar Chart: Optionally color the price bars on your chart based on the OI Delta levels, helping to visually correlate price action with changes in Open Interest.
Heatmap Display: Toggle the display of OI Delta levels on the chart, with the option to fill the areas between these levels for a more visually intuitive understanding of the data.
🔶 Interpreting Indicator
Positive vs. Negative OI Delta:
A positive OI Delta indicates that the Open Interest is increasing, suggesting that new contracts are being created, which could imply fresh capital entering the market.
A negative OI Delta suggests that Open Interest is decreasing, indicating that contracts are being closed out or settled, which might reflect profit-taking or a reduction in market interest.
Magnitude Levels:
Level 1 (Normal OI Δ): Represents typical, less significant changes in OI. If the OI Delta stays within this range, it may indicate routine market activity without any substantial shift in sentiment.
Level 2 (Medium OI Δ): Reflects a more significant change in OI, suggesting increased market interest and possibly the beginning of a new trend or phase of market participation.
Level 3 (Large OI Δ): Indicates a strong change in OI, often associated with a decisive move in the market. This could signify strong conviction among market participants, either bullish or bearish.
Level 4 (Extreme OI Δ): The highest level of OI change, often preceding major market moves. Extreme OI Δ can be a signal of potential market reversals or the final phase of a strong trend.
Color-Coded Bars:
When enabled, the color of the price bars will reflect the magnitude and direction of the OI Delta. This visual aid helps in quickly assessing the correlation between price movements and changes in market sentiment as indicated by OI.
This indicator is particularly useful for futures traders looking to gauge the strength and direction of market sentiment by analyzing changes in Open Interest. By combining this with price action, traders can gain a deeper understanding of market dynamics and make more informed trading decisions
🔶 Disclaimer
Use with Caution: This indicator is provided for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Users should exercise caution and perform their own analysis before making trading decisions based on the indicator's signals.
Not Financial Advice: The information provided by this indicator does not constitute financial advice, and the creator (UAlgo) shall not be held responsible for any trading losses incurred as a result of using this indicator.
Backtesting Recommended: Traders are encouraged to backtest the indicator thoroughly on historical data before using it in live trading to assess its performance and suitability for their trading strategies.
Risk Management: Trading involves inherent risks, and users should implement proper risk management strategies, including but not limited to stop-loss orders and position sizing, to mitigate potential losses.
No Guarantees: The accuracy and reliability of the indicator's signals cannot be guaranteed, as they are based on historical price data and past performance may not be indicative of future results.
9:20 5 Min Candle Levels with AlertsThe 9:20 AM 5-Minute Candle refers to the candlestick that represents the price action of a financial asset between 9:20 AM and 9:25 AM on a trading day. This candle is observed on a 5-minute chart and captures all the market activity during this specific time window.
Description:
Timeframe: 9:20 AM to 9:25 AM (5-minute interval).
Opening Price: The price at 9:20 AM when the 5-minute period begins.
Closing Price: The price at 9:25 AM when the 5-minute period ends.
High: The highest price achieved during these five minutes.
Low: The lowest price reached during these five minutes.
Body: The distance between the opening and closing prices. A longer body indicates stronger buying or selling pressure, while a shorter body reflects more market indecision.
Wick (Shadow): The lines extending above and below the body, representing the range between the high and low prices during this period. Long wicks suggest higher volatility, while shorter wicks indicate more stable price movements.
Significance:
Bullish Candle: If the closing price is higher than the opening price, it suggests positive momentum and buying interest within this 5-minute period.
Bearish Candle: If the closing price is lower than the opening price, it signals negative momentum and selling pressure.
Market Sentiment: The 9:20 AM 5-minute candle can provide insight into the early sentiment of the market, often influencing the trading strategy for the rest of the day.
Volatility Indicator: The length of the wicks can help traders assess the volatility and potential risk during these five minutes.
This candle is particularly important for day traders and scalpers who rely on short-term price movements to make trading decisions.
Market Core [BigBeluga]MARKET CORE Toolkit
The BigBeluga Market Core Toolkit is a comprehensive suite of advanced trading indicators designed to provide traders with a holistic view of market dynamics, structure, and potential opportunities.
In an ever-evolving market, relying on a single indicator can leave traders vulnerable to gaps in their analysis. The BigBeluga Market Core Toolkit addresses this challenge by integrating a range of complementary indicators that work synergistically to reveal the full picture. From detecting key support and resistance levels to identifying market structure shifts, volume imbalances, inefficiencies or analysis of money flow, this toolkit covers every aspect of market behavior.
⬤ Order Blocks
BigBeluga Order Blocks revolutionize the way traders visualize potential areas of significant market activity. Unlike traditional order block indicators that often result in cluttered, noisy charts, these Order Blocks are designed for clarity and effectiveness. They simulate and predict where large areas of market orders may rest by analyzing volume and volatility, providing excellent support or resistance areas.
The blocks offer cleaner chart presentation with reasonable distribution, volume ratio visualization within each block, and categorization into Strong, High and Balanced blocks.
Additionally, a third line has been introduced to rank order blocks by volume using a modified percent rank method for more precise ranking.
This ranking system uses percentile ranks, a concept commonly used in standardized tests. In the context of order blocks, the percentile rank of a particular order block's volume is interpreted as the percentage of the order blocks strength. This method provides a more nuanced and statistically robust way of comparing and prioritizing order blocks.
Key features:
Cleaner chart presentation with reasonable distribution of blocks
Volume ratio visualization within each block (bullish vs bearish)
Categorization into High and Balanced blocks for easy identification of significant levels
Relative volume percentage and volume delta display
Advanced ranking system using modified percent rank method for volume comparison
These Order Blocks help traders:
Forecast excellent support or resistance areas
Gain insight into the balance of the market at specific levels
Identify significant market levels at a glance
Visualize market imbalances through volume delta
Prioritize order blocks based on their relative volume importance
Make more informed decisions about potential entry and exit points
⬤ Beluga Profile
The Beluga Profile is a revolutionary market analysis tool that transforms complex market data into a clear, intuitive visual narrative. At its core, it combines a Dual-Profile Analysis, merging Delta Volume Profile with Money Flow Profile to give traders a comprehensive view of market dynamics.
The percentage scale on the left side aren't just numbers; they represent the Levels Strength Percentage, a crucial ranking system that immediately draws your attention to the most significant price zones. Complementing this, a heat map overlay brings these strength levels to life, offering an instant, color-coded representation of where the market's most influential areas lie.
To the right, a detailed breakdown of volume and money flow for each level provides the hard data behind the visual cues. This granular information allows you to dive deep into the market's structure, understanding not just where the significant levels are, but why they matter.
Below the main chart, the Delta Volume Bar serves as a foundation, showing the average delta of the volume profile. This bar is more than just a measure of volume – it's a window into the underlying forces driving price movement. Just above this bar, a macro trend indicator in the form of an arrow offers a quick, clear signal of the overall market direction based on these delta volume calculations.
But the Beluga Profile doesn't just show you what's happening – it helps you understand the 'why' and 'how'. The Adaptive Points of Interest feature allows you to customize your analysis, focusing on the areas that matter most to your trading strategy. You can select from various options including Money Flow, Delta+, Delta-, Volume+, and Level % (Highest), tailoring the display to your specific analytical needs. This flexibility ensures you can focus on the most relevant data for your trading style. Real-time Active Price Tracking ensures you're always in sync with the latest market movements.
All of these elements work in concert, creating a symphony of market information. They empower you to:
Spot key price levels with uncanny precision
Foresee potential market turns before they happen
Grasp the quality and strength of price moves
Adjust your strategy on the fly as market conditions shift
Develop a holistic understanding of market structure and participant behavior
Make informed decisions backed by a clear view of the overall market trend
In essence, the Beluga Profile isn't just a tool – it's your market storyteller, translating the complex language of price, volume, and money flow into a narrative that you can understand and act upon with confidence.
⬤ Smart Money Concepts (SMC)
The Smart Money Concepts component of the toolkit focuses on automatically detecting key market structures crucial in technical analysis. It identifies and visualizes Break of Structure (BOS) and Change of Character (CHOCH) patterns, helping traders spot potential trend reversals and significant market movements. This includes BOS identification when price breaks previous support or resistance and CHOCH detection for potential trend reversals, with automatic detection of both bullish and bearish patterns.
The latest enhancement to this feature adds a new layer of analysis through Delta Volume Calculation. When a BOS or CHOCH is detected, the toolkit calculates the delta volume within the range from the high or low point to the break point. This analysis considers all the candles in this range and determines whether the volume is predominantly bullish, bearish, or neutral.
Bullish Volume: If the delta volume is bullish, a green diamond is plotted at the high or low point, indicating potential upward momentum.
Bearish Volume: If the delta volume is bearish, a red diamond is plotted, suggesting downward pressure.
Neutral Volume: When the volume is neutral, a yellow diamond is displayed, indicating a balance in buying and selling forces.
This visual representation of volume dynamics provides an additional layer of insight, helping traders assess the strength and direction of price movements following a structure break. You can see an example of this on the attached image, where the diamonds clearly indicate the type of volume driving the breakout.
The toolkit also incorporates Fair Value Gap (FVG) Detection. Fair Value Gaps represent inefficiencies in the market, where there is an imbalance between buy and sell orders. These gaps often act as magnets for price, potentially leading to future reversals or continuations when filled. The toolkit identifies and highlights these gaps, allowing traders to recognize areas where the market may seek to rebalance.
Additionally, Double Top and Bottom Pattern Detection has been integrated, identifying potential reversal points at these classic price formations. Double tops signal potential bearish reversals after a price peak, while double bottoms suggest potential bullish reversals after a price dip. These patterns can be crucial indicators for traders looking to capitalize on upcoming trend changes.
Smart Money Concepts help traders:
Identify potential trend reversals early with a clearer view of market structure.
Recognize significant changes in market structure and volume participation.
Differentiate between temporary pullbacks and genuine trend changes using volume insights (color coded diamonds).
Shows Fair Value gaps which helps to identify price momentum and inefficiencies in the market.
This enhancement ensures that traders can not only see structural changes but also understand the volume behind those moves, leading to more informed and confident trading decisions.
⬤ Support and Resistance Levels
This powerful tool is designed to identify key price levels in the market, providing traders with a clear visual representation of potential support and resistance areas. It goes beyond simple level identification by incorporating a sophisticated ranking system and adjustable sensitivity.
The grading system of levels is a unique feature that evaluates the significance of high and low points in the price action. It takes into consideration how many times the price has touched or interacted with specific levels. This means that levels which have been tested multiple times are given higher importance in the ranking. For example, a price level that has acted as support or resistance three times will be ranked higher than a level that has only been touched once.
By leveraging this grading system, traders can focus on the most significant levels that have repeatedly influenced price action, potentially improving the accuracy of their trading decisions and risk management strategies.
This Support and Resistance Levels indicator helps traders:
Identify and prioritize potential reversal points based on their historical significance and frequency of price interaction
Set more accurate entry and exit points aligned with key market levels, focusing on those with higher ranking
Understand the hierarchical structure of market support and resistance, distinguishing between major and minor levels
Plan stop-loss and take-profit levels with greater precision, using the ranking to gauge the strength of each level
Adapt their analysis to varying market strengths and volatilities, with the ability to filter out less significant levels
Recognize recurring price patterns and potential breakout levels based on the ranked historical price interactions
⬤ How to Use the Toolkit
Each of these indicators, while powerful on its own, works synergistically with the others to provide a more complete picture of the market.
The strength of this toolkit lies in its ability to analyze the market from multiple perspectives
Combining these advanced trading indicators into a cohesive toolkit empowers traders with a comprehensive, multi-dimensional view of the market that no single indicator could provide on its own. The market's complexity demands an approach that goes beyond relying on just one aspect, such as price action, volume, or order flow. Integrating these diverse indicators creates a robust analytical framework that captures the market from multiple angles, leading to more accurate insights and better-informed decision-making.
Analyze Order Blocks to identify potential support/resistance and volume imbalances
Use Beluga Profile for comprehensive market structure and trend analysis
Monitor SMC indicators for potential trend reversals and breakouts
Utilize Support and Resistance Levels for precise entry/exit points and risk management
Combine insights from all tools for a multi-dimensional view of market conditions
⬤ Customization
Each component of the toolkit offers various customization options to suit different trading styles and preferences. These inputs allow traders to adjust settings to better fit their analysis needs and strategies:
Order Blocks
- Order Blocks : Set the amount of Order Blocks on the chart.
- Color Selection : Choose the color for highlighting the order blocks on your chart.
Market Structure
- Sensitivity : Adjust the sensitivity for detecting market structure breaks. Higher sensitivity will detect more granular breaks, while lower sensitivity focuses on more significant movements.
- Data : Enable or disable the display of market structure data.
- Zigzag Option : Toggle Zigzag displays from highs and lows.
S/R (Support and Resistance)
- Sensitivity : Control how sensitive the tool is in detecting support and resistance levels. Lower sensitivity will highlight fewer but stronger levels, while higher sensitivity may reveal more levels.
- Width % : Adjust the width of the support and resistance zones to visually emphasize their importance.
- Color Selection : Choose colors for both support and resistance levels for better clarity.
FVG (Fair Value Gap)
- Max : Set the maximum number of fair value gaps to display. Higher values will show more gaps, while lower values will focus on the most prominent ones.
- Color Selection : Customize the color for the fair value gap areas.
Volume Profile
- Length : Define the look-back period for the volume profile analysis. A longer length considers more historical data, while a shorter length focuses on recent data.
- Levs : Choose the number of volume levels to display, allowing for more or fewer volume bars within the profile.
- BG : Enable or disable background shading for the volume profile.
- HeatMap : Activate or deactivate the heat map overlay for volume intensity visualization.
- POC (Point of Control) : Toggle the Point of Control display and choose between different metrics, such as volume+, money flow, Delta+ and Delta-, Level % (Highesr), to base the POC on.
- Color Selection : Customize the color for the Point of Control line.
These customization options provide traders with the flexibility to tailor the toolkit to their specific trading strategies, enhancing their ability to identify key market signals with precision.
Each component of the toolkit offers various customization options to suit different trading styles and preferences.
The BigBeluga Market Core Toolkit synthesizes complex market data into clear, actionable formats, providing traders with professional-level insights. It's a comprehensive market analysis system that can give traders a significant edge in understanding market behavior and identifying high-probability trade setups. While highly effective, it's recommended to use this toolkit in conjunction with fundamental analysis and sound risk management practices for optimal trading results.
RSI - ARIEIVhe RSI MAPPING - ARIEIV is a powerful technical indicator based on the Relative Strength Index (RSI) combined with moving averages and divergence detection. This indicator is designed to provide a clear view of overbought and oversold conditions, as well as identifying potential reversals and signals for market entries and exits.
Key Features:
Customizable RSI:
The indicator offers flexibility in adjusting the RSI length and data source (closing price, open price, etc.).
The overbought and oversold lines can be customized, allowing the RSI to signal critical market zones according to the trader’s strategy.
RSI-Based Moving Averages (MA):
Users can enable a moving average based on the RSI with support for multiple types such as SMA, EMA, WMA, VWMA, and SMMA (RMA).
For those who prefer Bollinger Bands, there’s an option to use the moving average with standard deviation to detect market volatility.
Divergence Detection:
Detects both regular and hidden divergences (bullish and bearish) between price and RSI, which can indicate potential market reversals.
These divergences can be customized with specific colors for easy identification on the chart, allowing traders to quickly spot significant market shifts.
Zone Mapping:
The script maps zones of buying and selling strength, filling the areas between the overbought and oversold levels with specific colors, highlighting when the market is in extreme conditions.
Strength Tables:
At the end of each session, a table appears on the right side of the chart, displaying the "Buying Strength" and "Selling Strength" based on calculated RSI levels. This allows for quick analysis of the dominant pressure in the market.
Flexible Settings:
Many customization options are available, from adjusting the number of decimal places to the choice of colors and the ability to toggle elements on or off within the chart.
Market Flow with Convergence🟪 Overview
The "Market Flow with Convergence" indicator leverages advanced volume metrics to accurately measure the underlying market pressure by analyzing the cumulative buying and selling volumes with the TICK index. This unique combination helps identify potential market reversals and trends, providing a comprehensive view of market flow. The indicator is particularly useful for those looking to capture convergence and divergence signals, crucial for making informed trading decisions.
🟪 Features
Volume-Based Convergence: Calculates the buying and selling pressures based on volume data, to produce color coded convergence. Visually represents areas where buying or selling pressures align.
Divergence Detection: Identifies and visually represents areas where buying and selling pressures diverge from each other, which can indicate key market turning points.
TICK Index: Incorporates data from the TICK index, normalizing and smoothing the cumulative data to highlight potential market reversals and trends.
Cumulative Flow Crossovers: Identifies and visually represents areas where buying and selling pressures crossover and become the dominant market flow.
Customizable Visualization: Uses conditional coloring and shapes to provide a clear, easy-to-interpret visual representation of the market state, making it easier to spot critical signals at a glance.
🟪 How it Works
Leveraging a combination of volume analysis and market breadth data, particularly the TICK index, to assess the underlying market pressure. By normalizing key market metrics, the indicator provides a clear view of buying and selling activity over time. The flow is standard across all charts, but convergence will change based on the charts ticker.
The indicator tracks and aggregates movements in the TICK index, allowing for an assessment of the market's cumulative momentum. This cumulative measure, combined with volume-based analysis, helps traders identify potential shifts in market trends, whether they be continuations or reversals.
The visual output of the indicator is designed to be intuitive and actionable. Key market conditions are highlighted through color-coded histograms and plot shapes, making it easy to interpret the data and apply it in real-time trading scenarios.
Understanding the Convergence Color Codes
Gray: represent periods of the markets lack of convergence, where neither buyers nor sellers have a decisive advantage. These conditions may indicate market indecision or a potential reversal point. The gray bars can also suggest a period of consolidation before a significant move.
Green: this indicates that buying pressure is greater than selling pressure, suggesting a bullish market condition. This is typically seen when the market may be trending upwards or when buyers are gaining control.
Red: signifies that selling pressure exceeds buying pressure, indicating a bearish market condition. This can be a signal that the market is trending downwards or that sellers are dominating the market.
Understanding Flow Crossovers
Green Dots: correspond to crossovers where the buying pressure (from the TICK) crosses above the selling pressure. This crossover often signals a potential upward move or a bullish market opportunity.
Red Dots: indicate a crossover where the selling pressure (from the TICK) crosses above the buying pressure. This crossover typically suggests a potential downward move or a bearish market signal.
🟪 Usage Examples
If the selling flow is consistently over buying and convergence is red, it indicates a strong and sustained bearish trend. This points to a potential downward move, with sellers predominantly in control.
When the buying flow is consistently over selling and convergence is green, it indicates a strong and sustained bullish trend. This can lead to a potential upward move, with buyers predominantly in control.
No convergence can mean it's time to be cautious. This could be a sign of market indecision, and it's often wise to wait for confirmation. This can lead to sideways market conditions or inverse of the current dominant flow.
🟪 Settings
This indicator does not require any user inputs as it automatically calculates the necessary data based on the ticker's price and volume information. It’s ready to use immediately upon application to any chart.
🟪 Limitations
This indicator is only works during the New York session of trading. It's flow values will not function outside of that trading session.
🟪 Conclusion
We believe in providing user-friendly tools to help speed up traders technical analysis and implement easy trading strategies. The "Market Flow with Convergence" offers a unique way to gauge prevailing market conditions, with simple visual cues for identifying trends.
🟪 Risk Disclaimer
All content, tools, scripts & education provided, are for informational & educational purposes only. Trading is risk and most lose their money, past performance does not guarantee future results.
Whaley Breadth Thrust IndicatorThe Whaley Breadth Thrust Indicator (WBT) is a momentum-based technical indicator designed to identify the strength of market trends. It measures the market's breadth by comparing advancing stocks to declining stocks, providing insights into whether a market is in a bullish, neutral, or bearish state. This script calculates the indicator based on the advancing and declining U.S. stocks; however, it can be expanded to other markets as well.
Breadth Thrust Ratio (BTR):
This is calculated as the ratio of advancing stocks to the total number of advancing and declining stocks.
Formula: BTR = Advances / (Advances + Declines + small_offset), where the small offset prevents division errors.
Smoothing:
The BTR is smoothed using a 3-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) to reduce noise and highlight significant trends.
Thresholds:
0.30: Indicates a strongly bearish market.
0.40: A bearish threshold; crossing below suggests bearish momentum.
0.60: A bullish threshold; crossing above suggests bullish momentum.
0.70: Indicates a strongly bullish market.
Risk On/Risk Off Williams %RThe Risk On/Risk Off Williams %R indicator is a technical analysis tool designed to gauge market sentiment by comparing the performance of risk-on and risk-off assets. This indicator combines the Williams %R, a momentum oscillator, with a composite index derived from various financial assets to determine the prevailing market risk sentiment.
Components:
Risk-On Assets: These are typically more volatile and are expected to perform well during bullish market conditions. The indicator uses the following risk-on assets:
SPY (S&P 500 ETF)
QQQ (Nasdaq-100 ETF)
HYG (High-Yield Corporate Bond ETF)
XLF (Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund)
XLK (Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund)
Risk-Off Assets: These are generally considered safer investments and are expected to outperform during bearish market conditions. The indicator includes:
TLT (iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF)
GLD (SPDR Gold Trust)
DXY (U.S. Dollar Index)
IEF (iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF)
XLU (Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund)
Calculation:
Risk-On Index: The average closing price of the risk-on assets.
Risk-Off Index: The average closing price of the risk-off assets.
The composite index is computed as:
Composite Index=Risk On Index−Risk Off Index
Composite Index=Risk On Index−Risk Off Index
Williams %R: This momentum oscillator measures the current price relative to the high-low range over a specified period. It is calculated as:
\text{Williams %R} = \frac{\text{Highest High} - \text{Composite Index}}{\text{Highest High} - \text{Lowest Low}} \times -100
where "Highest High" and "Lowest Low" are the highest and lowest values of the composite index over the lookback period.
Usage:
Williams %R: A momentum oscillator that ranges from -100 to 0. Values above -50 suggest bullish conditions, while values below -50 indicate bearish conditions.
Background Color: The background color of the chart changes based on the Williams %R relative to a predefined threshold level:
Green background: When Williams %R is above the threshold level, indicating a bullish sentiment.
Red background: When Williams %R is below the threshold level, indicating a bearish sentiment.
Purpose:
The indicator is designed to provide a visual representation of market sentiment by comparing the performance of risk-on versus risk-off assets. It helps traders and investors understand whether the market is leaning towards higher risk (risk-on) or safety (risk-off) based on the relative performance of these asset classes. By incorporating the Williams %R, the indicator adds a momentum-based dimension to this analysis, allowing for better decision-making in response to shifting market conditions.
Normalized Willspread IndicatorNot sure to call it as willspread or not, because i take this idea from Larry William's original willspread indicator and did some modifications which found out to be more effective in my opinion, which is by subtracting 21 and 3 ma, this indicator is found on Trade_Stocks_and_Commodities_With_the_Insiders page155. Feel free to find out.
Here's what I modified, instead of using the subtraction between two ma, I use one ma only, I find more accurate in spotting oversold and overbought value. This indicator is useful for metals. It basically compares the value between two assets, let's say u are watching gold, u can select compare it to dxy, us30Y or gold, let's say u choose to compare to dxy, and the indicator shows the the index is overvalued which is above 80 levels, then it is suggesting that gold is overvalued, the same logic apply to undervalued as well which is 20 levels. This is not a entry or exit tool but as additional confluence, u can use any entry method u want like supply and demand and use this indicator to validate your idea, not sure whether it works on forex or not, so far i think it works well on metals.
The bar colour corresponding to the index when it is overbought or oversold. U can switch off it if you dont need it. Do note that this is a repainting indicator, so u must refer to previous week close.
Reward Ratio ValidatorThis PineScript code creates an indicator called "Reward Ratio Validator" that helps traders evaluate potential trade setups based on pivot points, standard deviation, and risk/reward ratios. Here's a breakdown of what the code does:
1. Input parameters:
- Pivot: Number of bars for pivot calculation
- STDEV Length: Number of bars for standard deviation calculation
- Risk / Reward: The desired risk-to-reward ratio
- STDEV Multiplier: Multiplier for the standard deviation
- On : Short | Off : Long: A toggle to switch between short and long trade analysis
2. Pivot point calculation:
- The code calculates pivot highs and lows using the specified pivot length
- It stores the last pivot high and low in an array
3. Standard deviation calculation:
- Calculates the standard deviation of closing prices over the specified length
4. Risk/Reward deviation calculation:
- For long trades (when show is false):
Calculates the price level where the reward would be 'rvr' times the risk, based on the last pivot low
- For short trades (when show is true):
Calculates the price level where the reward would be 'rvr' times the risk, based on the last pivot high
5. Plotting:
- Plots the calculated risk/reward levels for both long and short trades
- Plots the multiplied standard deviation
6. Visual representation:
- Fills the area between the risk/reward levels and the standard deviation plot
- Uses color coding to indicate whether the current price movement exceeds the standard deviation threshold:
- Green: The move is within the standard deviation threshold
- Red: The move exceeds the standard deviation threshold
This indicator helps traders visually assess whether a potential trade setup offers the desired risk/reward ratio while considering the recent price volatility (represented by the standard deviation). It can be used to identify possible entry points for both long and short trades that meet specific risk/reward criteria.
CNN Fear and Greed Index JD modified from minusminusCNN Fear and Greed Index - www.cnn.com
Modified from minusminus -
See Documentation from CNN's website
CNN's Fear and Greed index is an attempt to quantitatively score the Fear and Greed in the SPX using 7 factors:
Market Momentum- S&P 500 (SPX) and its 125-day moving average
Stock Price Strength -Net new 52-week highs and lows on the NYSE
Stock Price Breadth - McClellan Volume Summation Index
Put and Call options - 5-day average put/call ratio
Market Volatility - VIX and its 50-day moving average
Safe Haven Demand - Difference in 20-day stock and bond returns
Junk Bond Demand - Yield spread: junk bonds vs. investment grade
Each Factor has a weight input for the final calculation initially set to a weight of 1. The final calculation of the index is a weighted average of each factor.
3 Factors have separate functions for calculation : See Code for Clarity
SPX Momentum : difference between the Daily CBOE:SPX index value and it's 125 Day Simple moving average.
Stock Price Strength : Net New 52-week highs and lows on the NYSE.
Function calculates a measure of Net New 52-week highs by:
NYSE 52-week highs (INDEX:MAHN) - all new NYSE Highs (INDEX:HIGH)
measure of Net New 52-week lows by:
NYSE 52-week lows (INDEX:MALN) - all new NYSE Lows (INDEX:LOWN)
Then calculate a ratio of Net New 52-week Highs and Lows over Total Highs and Lows then takes a 5-day moving average of that ratio-See Code
Stock Price Breadth is the McClellan Volume Summation Index :
First Calculate the McClellan Oscillator
Second Calculate the Summation Index
4 Factors are Straight data requests
5 Day Simple Moving Average of the Put-Call Ratio on SPY
50 Day Simple Moving Average of the SPX VIX
Difference between 20 Day Simple Moving Average of SPX Daily Close and 20 Day Simple Moving Average of 10Y Constant Maturity US Treasury Note
Yield Spread between ICE BofA US High Yield Index and ICE BofA US Investment Grade Corporate Yield Index
The Fear and Greed Index is a weighted average of these factors - which is then normalized to scale from 0 to 100 using the past 25 values - length parameter.
3 Zones are Shaded: Red for Extreme Fear, Grey for normal jitters, Green for Extreme Greed.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. These are just my ideas, and I am not an investment advisor or investment professional. This code is for informational purposes only and do your own analysis before making any investment decisions. This is an attempt to replicate in spirt an index CNN publishes on their website and in no way shape or form infringes on their content, calculations or proprietary information.
From CNN: www.cnn.com
FEAR & GREED INDEX FAQs
What is the CNN Business Fear & Greed Index?
The Fear & Greed Index is a way to gauge stock market movements and whether stocks are fairly priced. The theory is based on the logic that excessive fear tends to drive down share prices, and too much greed tends to have the opposite effect.
How is Fear & Greed Calculated?
The Fear & Greed Index is a compilation of seven different indicators that measure some aspect of stock market behavior. They are market momentum, stock price strength, stock price breadth, put and call options, junk bond demand, market volatility, and safe haven demand. The index tracks how much these individual indicators deviate from their averages compared to how much they normally diverge. The index gives each indicator equal weighting in calculating a score from 0 to 100, with 100 representing maximum greediness and 0 signaling maximum fear.
How often is the Fear & Greed Index calculated?
Every component and the Index are calculated as soon as new data becomes available.
How to use Fear & Greed Index?
The Fear & Greed Index is used to gauge the mood of the market. Many investors are emotional and reactionary, and fear and greed sentiment indicators can alert investors to their own emotions and biases that can influence their decisions. When combined with fundamentals and other analytical tools, the Index can be a helpful way to assess market sentiment.