Get a clear view of US market liquidity and monitor its status at a glance to anticipate movements on risky assets. The Idea The BML aggregates and analyzes total USD market liquidity in trillions of dollars. It is used to monitor the liquidity of the USD market. When liquidity is good, all is well. If liquidity is low, the US will maneuver and sell treasury...
Yield curve of the 2-10 year US Treasury Bonds, with over 50 years of history. The Yield Curve is the interest rate on the 10 year bond minus the 2 year bond. When it inverts (crosses under 0) a recession usually follows 6-12 months later. It's a great leading indicator to identify risk in the macroeconomic environment.
A simple script showing US reverse repurchase agreements and Federal Treasury balance values from FRED. This script should give a neat overview of how little faith there is in the markets from how much cash is parked in ORRPs. I made this a while ago as a private script so here it is as a public script. The indicator is locked to the 1 Day resolution.
Identifies when the US Treasury Yield Curve inverts (2 and 10 year bond rates). When they ‘invert’ long-term bonds have a lower interest rate than short-term bonds. In other words, the bond market is pricing in a significant drop in future interest rates (which might be caused by the US Fed fighting off a recession in the future). In the last 50 years, every...