Take noted the below is not an investment advise, bet at your own risk. I am solely not responsible for any of your loses in money or assets.
The Current Algorand price is USDT0.1004 as of 8 October 2023.
The Algorand have potential to breakout from USDT0.1004 to USDT0.2185 range in the coming 1 to 2 months before the Fed's FOMC in November 2023. This is because the US court has ruled that SEC need to approved Bitcoin ETF from Grayscale. This is a very strong tailwind for the entire cryptocurrency market.
The price will hover between USDT0.1004 to about USDT0.2185 within this period.
The other Potential strong tailwind is the pause of US Fed's rate hike this coming November 2023. This along with the Bitcoin ETF approval will drive and test the resistance level at USDT0.2185. If there is a breakout then the next level of stronger resistance based on the dynamic resistance will be at USDT1.4052.
Currently there is no potential strong headwind in the cryptocurrency space. The only potential strong headwind is the S&P market falling to around 3900 to 3850 because of higher rate for longer by Fed's US. If next 1.5 months down the road if there is other or fews strong headwinds appears then the price might breakout from USDT0.0778 and head much lower maybe even USDT0.01 is possible. This is highly unlikely to happen since everyone is anticipating a positive news of strong tailwind from the Grayscale Bitcoin ETF win over SEC. Currently don't see any much potential of future strong headwind.
USDT0.0778 is not a strong support level based on the 4 hour chart of Algorand. I would only start buying a little at USDT0.0778 and reassess for 2 to 3 weeks before buying more. If by the time Algorand reach USDT0.0778 and the S&P most likely have no reach 3900. The buying scenario above might not happen in this month October 2023 cause everyone will not be selling because of a very potential Bitcoin ETF in the market soon but don't know when only.
Based on current market condition it is highly unlikely to get a low that surpasses last year bottom.