19th Oct ’23 - BankNifty the main villain for the bears today
BankNifty Analysis
The main villain who spoiled the plans for the bears is BankNifty. We had an opening candle swing of 333pts on the downside, but the price action was not looking that bearish for some or other reason. Ideally, we are below the support level of 44068 and any down-swing should have created an avalanche of shorts. Instead, we started climbing back right from the 2nd candle. Leg 1 was complete by 11.25, that 5mts candle alone contributed 189pts and took BN into green territory.
The 2nd leg of the upside came between 13.20 to 14.05. Notice from the chart how the support/resistance level of 44063 came into play today. We had a rejection at 14.05 and BankNifty started moving downwards.
Even though we climbed 503pts ~ 1.16% between the intraday low to high - the rejection at resistance proves the point that we are still bearish. Of the targets set yesterday, 43735 was broken and we got pretty close to 43519. We are getting back to the zone that has good support/resistance marked from the prior price actions. My new targets for tomorrow will be 43404 and 43253 if we are continuing to move downwards. If we go upwards - no action is really required unless 44068 is broken.
India VIX closed at 10.8975 and US VIX is trading at 19.67 the difference between them a whopping 80%. Noting it - in case we do not see drastic variance again.
The main villain who spoiled the plans for the bears is BankNifty. We had an opening candle swing of 333pts on the downside, but the price action was not looking that bearish for some or other reason. Ideally, we are below the support level of 44068 and any down-swing should have created an avalanche of shorts. Instead, we started climbing back right from the 2nd candle. Leg 1 was complete by 11.25, that 5mts candle alone contributed 189pts and took BN into green territory.
The 2nd leg of the upside came between 13.20 to 14.05. Notice from the chart how the support/resistance level of 44063 came into play today. We had a rejection at 14.05 and BankNifty started moving downwards.
Even though we climbed 503pts ~ 1.16% between the intraday low to high - the rejection at resistance proves the point that we are still bearish. Of the targets set yesterday, 43735 was broken and we got pretty close to 43519. We are getting back to the zone that has good support/resistance marked from the prior price actions. My new targets for tomorrow will be 43404 and 43253 if we are continuing to move downwards. If we go upwards - no action is really required unless 44068 is broken.
India VIX closed at 10.8975 and US VIX is trading at 19.67 the difference between them a whopping 80%. Noting it - in case we do not see drastic variance again.
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