2017 vs 2014 wonder what happens? I'm ruling 2021 out.

5月2日

As we enter the final stages of the bull cycle.

Bitcoin has followed a mix of 2014 / 2017 pre and at halving.

2021 is not aggressive enough to hold the adoption LOG pattern so I will could it out following that path.

If we get mutual funds + retirement funds adopting Bitcoin a 2014 scenario is looking interesting. Potentially a double rally?

Until we pass the $100,000 mark and get a look at the speed of the rising price we won't know what path. Possibly a mix between 2017 and 2014.


2021 was a cycle effected both by fast rate cuts + pandemic funding + insane leverage.

We don't have leverage today like that + we could have the possible rate cuts + QE / YCC in full effect within months.

Especially after what has happen to the Japanese YEN.


Time to enter the final stage that will be followed by a very lengthy bear / slowed growth cycle.