Ethereum: On the Verge of a Major Dominance Uptrend!

Ethereum appears to be gearing up for a new phase of growth. Its dominance in the crypto market is completing a significant corrective phase — the second zigzag in a double zigzag pattern. This process has been unfolding over the past three years, correcting the previous growth seen from 2019 to late 2021.

Looking at the historical trend, we can observe a clear cycle: three years of decline followed by one year of rapid altcoin growth. This cycle, along with characteristic Elliott Wave correction patterns (where the latest structure shows a = c) and a false breakout at the critical 13.95% level, suggests that significant changes may be on the horizon. We also see confirmation in technical indicators — MACD, the MACD histogram, and RSI — signaling bullish divergence and a break in the downtrend on the Momentum indicator (40-day period).

A similar picture emerges in the ETH/USD and ETH/BTC pairs, forming a base for the bullish trend. This points to the potential beginning of a strong upward movement for Ethereum and an expansion of its influence in the cryptocurrency market.

There may be one more slight decline in ETH dominance, probably to the level of 13,6%, to form a double bullish divergence, after which I will accelerate my bullishness on ETH.
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Unfortunately, double bullish divergences have not been formed on the chart. Currently, the opposite scenario is taking shape. Despite the initial bullish divergence, oscillators have exceeded the previous low, canceling it out, which is a strong bearish signal. (This should be interpreted inversely—meaning there are likely significant fundamental factors in the market driving prices down, contrary to the previous loss of downward momentum.)

Therefore, I believe it’s worth holding off on Ethereum until there is a coordinated shift to an upward trend across Ethereum dominance, the ETH/USD and ETH/BTC charts, and the overall crypto market capitalization excluding stablecoins.
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