Ethereum's Complex Correction: Short-Term vs Long-Term

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The cryptocurrency market has experienced significant volatility, and Ethereum (ETH) is no exception. Following a complex correction, Ethereum's current price movement suggests that the bottom may not yet be in sight. In this update, I will dig into the ongoing correction, explore Ethereum's short-term outlook, discuss the potential for a rally, and consider its long-term investment prospects.

Understanding the Correction
Several months ago, I predicted that Ethereum would reach its peak somewhere between $2000 and $2500. While this prediction still holds potential, it appears that the upside momentum is currently favoring altcoins rather than Ethereum itself. Observing the chart, we can identify a large ABC correction within a WXY pattern, likely completing a larger wave 4. I believe ETHUSD will find a bottom in the coming weeks, possibly within 3-4 weeks, before commencing a rally toward the end of the year.

Caution in the Bullish Environment
As the market sentiment turns bullish, it is crucial to exercise caution. Historically, this has been a turning point, signaling a potential reversal in market direction. Remain vigilant during this period, as the market may swiftly transition into a bearish phase in 2024, potentially pushing Ethereum to new lows, at least compared to recent years. While it is too early to make concrete predictions, the possibility of Ethereum dropping below $1000 cannot be disregarded.

Long-Term Price Targets and Dollar Cost Averaging
Despite the short-term uncertainties, Ethereum's long-term price targets remain bullish. Dollar cost averaging into cryptocurrencies like Ethereum and Bitcoin for longer-term investments is not a bad strategy to employ. In the coming decade, Ethereum could potentially reach price levels around $20,000, particularly if negative events impact the US Dollar. A collapse in the dollar index tends to drive appreciation in the value of cryptocurrencies and other assets.

Short-Term Considerations and Bitcoin Dominance
In addition to the outlined chart analysis, it is important to monitor Bitcoin Dominance in the short term. The dominance level breaking through 50-52% suggests that Bitcoin, as the market leader, may regain its dominance. This shift could impact the overall performance and market sentiment for Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies.

Ethereum's recent correction has introduced short-term risks and complexities, making it challenging to determine an immediate bottom. While a rally into the end of the year is possible, be cautious as market dynamics can change rapidly. For long-term investments, dollar cost averaging into Ethereum and Bitcoin is a prudent strategy, considering the potential for substantial price appreciation. However, investors should, as always, stay informed about global economic factors, particularly the US Dollar, as they may influence the cryptocurrency market as a whole. By closely monitoring market trends, employing risk management strategies, and keeping a long-term perspective, investors can navigate the complex landscape of Ethereum and position themselves for potential gains in the evolving cryptocurrency market.

トレード終了: 利益確定目標に到達

"Rally toward the end of the year" is the only thing you needed to read there. We got that and we sold all of our Ethereum at ETF launch. Selling at $2600+

We are sitting in cash currently and waiting for a dip buying opportunity. If we don't get the dip, will I be sad? NOPE. Great profits create zero sadness. Disconnect yourself from emotion and bank profits often.