UPDATE #1: EURUSD: All Roads Lead to Wave 3. Added Deep Crab

2015年8月4日

In my last post on this pair (see Related Ideas: " ANALYSIS: EURUSD: All Roads Lead To A Wave 3"), I identified a bullish Gartley and a bearish butterfly patterns. In this update, I have removed the bullish Gartley as I do not think it is relevant anymore although it is STILL valid. But as per my possible updated wave count, I don't see prices heading any lower to complete that Gartley. That's why I have removed it. So what you see here is that I have added a POTENTIAL Bearish Deep Crab pattern that will end nearby the bearish butterfly completion as well.

Be careful not to get over-enthusiastic on any trade because this pair is in consolidation mode and therefore prices will swing back and forth. This is what my possible wave count shows. Before either of these 2 patterns will complete, we should see this swinging PA in the form of a smaller contracting triangle before breaking out to the upside to head towards the upper trend line of the larger contracting triangle and the pattern completions.

What's important to keep in mind always is the bigger picture. All this PA is happening within the larger contracting triangle pattern consolidation on the DAILY TF.


Currently, I am LONG and have been holding LONG positions on this pair for weeks now. Although this pair is showing signs of moving upwards within the contracting triangle consolidation (DAILY TF), I am not adding anymore LONGS as I don't need to. But having said that, this is a good place to get LONG if you want to because prices are near the bottom of the larger contracting triangle and showing signs of moving upwards. Also, I do not see any breakout to the downside happening. That's NOT to say it can't happen. Anything can happen.

*DISCLAIMER:
Please keep in mind that I am not giving any trading signals or trade calls here. Only providing my own trade thoughts for your benefit and insight as to my trading technique and style. Please don't ask if you should or should not take the trade. If you are not sure, then you do not have a trading plan for yourself in place. I suggest you make one before you continue to do any trading!

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