Dax daily: 23 May 2019
Even though buyers pushed the price above our resistance, the zone around 12146 was still a significant region where we saw a fight between buyers and sellers. This fight was won by sellers who stopped prices reaching higher levels.
Important zones
Resistance: 12 146
Support: 12 034, 11 958
Statistics for today
Probability of closing inside yesterday’s range: 20%
Probability of breaking High and Low: 14%
Macroeconomic releases
9:30 German PMI
Today’s session hypothesis
Today we’re opening with a descending gap with the size of 54 points. Is that a sign that the DAX does not want to test higher prices? Today’s statistics will support our hypothesis. By using the statistics of breaking either of the extremes, the chance to break a High or Low is 80%. Thanks to the Gap, we are closer to the Low of yesterday’s session, which should now have a higher chance of being broken. Furthermore, the statistics for closing outside of yesterday’s range also supports this thesis. We have a chance of 80% to close outside of yesterday’s range. If sellers enter the market, they could possibly dominate the entire session. Today’s volatility might be influenced by the German PMI, which will be public 9:30 CEST.
Important zones
Resistance: 12 146
Support: 12 034, 11 958
Statistics for today
Probability of closing inside yesterday’s range: 20%
Probability of breaking High and Low: 14%
Macroeconomic releases
9:30 German PMI
Today’s session hypothesis
Today we’re opening with a descending gap with the size of 54 points. Is that a sign that the DAX does not want to test higher prices? Today’s statistics will support our hypothesis. By using the statistics of breaking either of the extremes, the chance to break a High or Low is 80%. Thanks to the Gap, we are closer to the Low of yesterday’s session, which should now have a higher chance of being broken. Furthermore, the statistics for closing outside of yesterday’s range also supports this thesis. We have a chance of 80% to close outside of yesterday’s range. If sellers enter the market, they could possibly dominate the entire session. Today’s volatility might be influenced by the German PMI, which will be public 9:30 CEST.
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