Natural Gas (NG) opened today below the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the long-term Bullish Megaphone pattern and that is of course the strongest indication that the market has turned bearish long-term. The first sign was breaking and closing below the 1D MA100 (green trend-line), which hasn't been done since June 14.
The safest course of action would be to sell after the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) breaks and target first the bottom of the Support Zone at 2.425 and after a bounce, 2.135 (Support 2) in extension.
Until the 1D MA200 breaks though, we can see a dead-cat-bounce if the price breaks the Lower Highs trend-line and closes above the 1D MA100 again. If that happens before, as well as the 1D MACD forms a Bullish Cross, we will buy first the target Resistance at 3.275.
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