That is what we have precisely seen. Opening scene of Day 2 – Nifty opens & stays below 20 day EMA throughout the day. We have accordingly suggested a trade in that post during market hours.
Let’s analyse the data for the day…
FIIs net sold 17.7K Contracts in Index Futures worth Rs 1070.57 Cr
Futures data analysis
- FIIs added 196 Contracts in Long position and 17.9K Contracts were shorted by them
- Retail participants added 9K Long contracts & squared off 1589 short contracts
- Pro traders added 3.5K Long contracts & squared off 2.9K short contracts
Options data analysis
Call option
- FIIs bought 5.8K Call options & 7.1K Calls were shorted by them
- Retail participants bought 1.07 Lakh Call options & 66.2 K Calls were shorted by them
- Pro traders bought 4.2K Lakh Call options & 44.3 K Calls were shorted by them
Put option
- FIIs bought 3.4K Put options & 4.8K Puts were shorted by them
- Retail participants booked profits / exited in 35.6K Puts Long contracts & exited from 26K Put Short contracts
- Pro traders added 7.47 K Put Long contracts & squared off 3K Put shorts
All in all, retail participants have gone aggressive on the Long side. They are net buyers in Futures and are net Call Long. (They were net Call buyers on 20th April too, suggesting a lot of people might have tried to average their position). FIIs are net short in Futures & keeping it light in options & Pro traders are net buyers in Futures but have balanced their position by adding Call Shorts & net buying some Put options.
Important levels on the lower side 8925 / 8868 / 8822 / 8750
Important levels on the upper side 9030 / 9061 / 9118 / 9196
A note to all my retail friends who are reading and following me
- please do not try to average positions in options
- Do not enter the trade first and then Hope for things to happen.
It's your money. You have to make things happen and YOU CAN... Just Invest some time in learning.
All the best & Take care...!!!
トレード稼働中
Prima facie it looks like expiry close may not be below 8800
Consider selling Nifty 8800 Put option around 60 Cmp 58
ノート
Note this is in addition to nifty 9200 call position sold at 58.50 ( & is currently at 27)
So effectively a short strangle strategy is in effect
ノート
As data analysis suggested in early morning trade, Nifty does not look to go below 8800 in this expiry, strategy to sell Nifty 8800 Put option around 60 worked to perfection. After recommendation it made a high of 62 and is now trading at 17