Chart Analysis: 1. Upward Trend: The chart shows an overall upward trend, with the index making higher highs and higher lows. 2. Retracement: The index is currently in a retracement phase, falling from its recent high of 22,705.75. The price has retraced to the 50% Fibonacci retracement level and is approaching the 61.8% level. 3. Support Zone: The blue shaded area represents a significant support zone between the 50% and 61.8% retracement levels. This zone could provide strong support and potential for a rebound.
Potential Scenarios: 1. Bullish Scenario: - If the index finds support at the 50% or 61.8% retracement levels and rebounds, it could continue its upward trend towards the target price of 23,600. - Confirmation of a bullish trend would come with a strong bounce from the support zone and a move back above the previous high of 22,705.75.
2. Bearish Scenario: - If the index breaks below the 61.8% retracement level, it could indicate a deeper correction. - A break below this level could lead to further downside, possibly testing lower support levels not shown in the current chart.
Trading Strategy: 1. Watch for Support: Monitor the price action closely around the 50% and 61.8% retracement levels. Look for signs of a reversal or strong buying interest in this zone. 2. Buy Position: Consider entering a long position if the index shows a strong bounce from the support zone with increasing volume and bullish candlestick patterns. 3. Stop-Loss: Place a stop-loss slightly below the 61.8% retracement level to manage risk in case of a further decline. 4. Target: Aim for the target price of 23,600 for the long position.
Conclusion: - The Nifty 50 Index is currently in a retracement phase within an overall uptrend. The 50% and 61.8% retracement levels are critical support zones to watch. A strong rebound from this zone could lead to a continuation of the upward trend towards the target of 23,600. Conversely, a break below the 61.8% level could signal further downside. Monitoring the price action and volume around these key levels will be crucial for making informed trading decisions.