Old chart analysis: "Ralph nelso Elliott assumed that trends move in 5 waves. The waves 1, 3 and 5 are impulse waves. Waves 2 and 4 are corrective waves. After completing the 5 waves, Elliott assumed that a correction would follow. We also saw this correction in the nasdaq.**
According to Nelson Elliott, the correction takes place in 3 steps. ABC correction. In my opinion, the ABC correction has taken place in the nasdaq and has been completed. That means that basically new highs can be achieved again!"
Update: The Nasdaq is strong! The price continues to increase and we could see this movement continue up to 14225 points. Here I actually see the end of the wave [iii] and a correction up to the target should give us the opportunity to establish a position again. However, with that much power, we can also see a direct breakout. To do this, the price should stabilize above 14225 points. In this case, I also have to do a more aggressive count and adjust the targets upwards. In the overall view I see the Nasdaq around 15269.
I expect the current upward move around 14225 points to switch into a correction. However, if the Nasdaq holds levels above 14,225 points, another breakout must be expected.
H4:
45min:
For my followers to understand my analysis: The topic is only described very roughly and is intended to give you a first overview of one of my analysis methods.
1. An impulse always moves in five sub-waves.
Waves 1, 3 and 5 of these are motive waves that move in the same direction as the overall trend. Waves 2 and 4 are corrective waves, i.e. they correct the previous movement. The following rules apply to an impulse: -Wave 4 must not overlap with wave 1, except in a diagonal. -Wave 3 is never the shortest wave. -Wave 2 must not fall below the starting point of wave 1. If one of these rules is broken, the chart analysis must be revised.
2. A correction wave moves in the opposite direction to the overall trend. Corrective waves are three-part and basically consist of waves A, B and C. Waves A and C are primarily impulse patterns of the corrective movement and drive the market in the opposite direction to the overall trend. Wave B corrects the previous wave A and even has the potential to surpass the starting point of wave A.
3. The standard pattern consists of an impulse wave and a corrective wave. These standard patterns repeat on a short-term basis as well as on a multi-year basis. In other words, every single wave consists of several sub-waves and in turn belongs to the larger picture. For example, wave 1 (an impulse) itself consists of five sub-waves. This standard pattern continues and accordingly always merges into a higher level.
4. Relation Between Fibonacci and Elliott Wave Theory Fibonacci Ratio is useful to measure the target of a wave’s move within an Elliott Wave structure. Different waves in an Elliott Wave structure relates to one another with Fibonacci Ratio. For example, in impulse wave: Wave 2 is typically 38,2 %, 50% or 61.8% of wave 1 • Wave 3 is typically 161.8% of wave 1 • Wave 4 is typically 23.6%, or 38.2% of wave 3 • Wave 5 is typically inverse 1.236 – 1.618% of wave 4, equal to wave 1 or 61.8% of wave 1+3 You can use the information above to determine the point of entry and profit target when entering into a trade.