Following my TA to A T

1月19日

My precision is getting better and better…


I have to tell my audience more about my analysis. Please refer to my previous posts and you will see over an hours worth of content covering SAVE. I essentially confirms my thesis of their fair value by analyzing fundamentally looking through balance sheets and financials etc.. The merger was rejected based on the fact that spirit offers a unique budget pricing that would hurt cheaper customers if they lost that specialization, this also means Spirit Airlines isn’t going anywhere and they are a necessity.

I already analyzed the company and gave them fair value at 12.50$ regardless of news, implied volatility is simply over exaggerating premiums due to fear and news. I get shares of an airline that is one of a kind and already well established everywhere, at a
I already analyzed the company and gave them fair value at 12$ regardless of news, implied volatility is simply over exaggerating premiums due to fear and news. I get shares of an airline that is one of a kind and already well established everywhere, at a discount.

They can’t merge because they are needed to be affordable, so they also won’t be going bankrupt or collapsing in my eyes. Demand is too high, I’ve been buying a specialized airline for a crazy discount. On top of this it’s at the bottom of my TA trend section as seen in the picture, which is a floor or considered a resistance level.

9月16日

ノート

I managed to flip my position and hold a hedge. Analysis was on point, I did at some point do more research into SAVE leading to a quick change in bias. This is a position I am still watching and collecting on.