The 200 Daily SMA was struck again... Full short using QQQS
Assuming with a high degree of certainty, that positive traditional market sentiment is waning. As we enter the first acknowledged year of this Great Inflationary Central Bank Recession, caused by a combination of negative interest rates and a supply chain bullwhip effect even the Russian military's logistic department might have been able to spot.
We are going to lose the last bit of positive buying sentiment, likely leading to the S&P 500's next strong rejection lower. From a macro point of view, Central banks are all engaging on further tightening measures. While Inflation is running rampant and significantly raising prices for all goods, particularly in terms of rental properties, food and living expenses. Aspects that are not proportionally represented in official government reports. Combined with this is wave of lowering company earnings and a swathe of high paying lay offs in the financial, tech and manufacturing sectors. These factors have not been factored into price yet and the likelihood of the Central bankers holding higher rates for these next two years, has not be accounted for.
The final aspect of this analysis is the slow selling that has occurred. With each rally against the downtrend, each sideways accumulation is being held up by a "Buy the Dip" mentality. Retail is buying the dip the same way as in every bear cycle, accompanied by all the bull market funds that are buying the dip, when a likely larger 15% sell off is coming down the river to Niagara Falls.
This is just one Investor's opinion, best of luck out there.
We are going to lose the last bit of positive buying sentiment, likely leading to the S&P 500's next strong rejection lower. From a macro point of view, Central banks are all engaging on further tightening measures. While Inflation is running rampant and significantly raising prices for all goods, particularly in terms of rental properties, food and living expenses. Aspects that are not proportionally represented in official government reports. Combined with this is wave of lowering company earnings and a swathe of high paying lay offs in the financial, tech and manufacturing sectors. These factors have not been factored into price yet and the likelihood of the Central bankers holding higher rates for these next two years, has not be accounted for.
The final aspect of this analysis is the slow selling that has occurred. With each rally against the downtrend, each sideways accumulation is being held up by a "Buy the Dip" mentality. Retail is buying the dip the same way as in every bear cycle, accompanied by all the bull market funds that are buying the dip, when a likely larger 15% sell off is coming down the river to Niagara Falls.
This is just one Investor's opinion, best of luck out there.
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Then the Bears rampaged into the Bull Pen... only to find a tired, sick and old bull.
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Looks like a top has formed. After these company earning's flow in, I think we will see a steady move lower. This pump looked like a Bull Trap. Hope yous managed to resist the FOMO.
