NYSE Percent of Stocks Above 200d Averages & 50% Middle line set

Stock above their 200d averages: (Below 10% )
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*6 oct, '08 -16 Marh '09 = 161 Days = End of crash
*3 Oct '11 = 7 Days = Bottom
*24 Dec '18 = 7 Days =Bottom
*9 March '20-30Mar '20 = 21 Days = bottom
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Stock above their 200d averages:(Between10%- 20% )
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*22 Jul '02 = 7 Days = End of Crash
*7 Oct '02 = 7Days =End of Crash
* 14 Jan '08-21Jan '08 =7 Days = fasle signal
*3 Mar '08-13Mar '08 =14Days = Risky during a crash!
*30 Jun '08-14 Jul ' 08 =21 Days = False signal.
* 21 Nov '11 = 7 Days =Bottom
*24 Aug '15 = 7 Days =Bottom
*11 Jan '16- 16 Feb '16 =42 days = Bottom
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Stock above their 200d averages:(Above 90% )
*5 Jan '04 = 21 Days= Beginning of a new grand cycle IMO
*24 Aug '09-19Oct '09= 63Day = Beginning of N.G.Cycle IMO

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Stock above their 200d averages:(Between 80%-90% )
* 1 followed by Bull Markets
*5 followed by Pullbacks. (4 %-7%-19%-4%-6%)
* How would you now live in the market that
this indicator will not keep going up , big opportunity
cos.


___________________________________________

* 1/ Conclusion:- Below 10% is your best friend Ever
2/ Between 10%-20% = 62 % success rate =Big Draw
back During crash long time to recover !!!
3/ Above 90 % Beginning of new Grand Cycle IMO (nothing else)
4/ Between 80%-90 % =80% we will get a pullback 20% bull Market
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Trade set up Crossing below 50 & crossing back
above 50 is where most of the bottoms 25 signals:
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crash
bottom
bottom
correction
bottom
up siwng
bottom
bottom
up swing
bottom
correction
bottom
correction
bottom
bottom
boottom
bottom
correction
bottom
bottom
crash
bottom
bottom
bottom
bottom
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92 % of bottoms happened between
Orange dotted and Blue dotted
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Four Golden Cross on this indicator:
Bulls: 30.36 %
Bulls 21.71 %
Bulls 25.18 %
Bear 12.49 %
Incoming soon ?
--------------------------------
Conclusion:
75% Bull market
25% bear followed by big crash
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************************SUMMERAY*************************************
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1/Getting a Golden Cross soon 75 % bull market 25% Crash
2/ Bottoms of Crashes, Pullbacks and corrections
happened using the trade set up. Crossing
Below 50 and Crossing up again above 50.
25 signals with 92 % success rate.
3/Below 10 % is your best ever friend, the problem
it does not happen allot one in a cycle.
4/between 10%-20% 62 % success rate ( Not crossing below 10%)
5/ Above 90% is confirmation of the beginning
of a new cycle ( we are about to get one soon)
6/ Between 80%-90% = 80% we will get a pullback between (4%-19 %) (Not entering the 90%s)

コメント:

Up date: D.Cross on daily 76% success rate its already too late to exit.

Too late to exit in days Early W.System to exit in days
24 22
42
22
36
during a crash
during a crash
53
43
40
19
9
false
53
26
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SUMMERY:
13 Signals. 76 % too late to exit SPX .
15 % Good early warning systems
4 % false signals
Average days 34 / Median 38 for the " 2 late "
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It would be, 76% of the time , 2
late to exit SPX by an:
Average days 34 / Median 38