CosmicDust

Market projection for the next couple of years

SP:SPX   S&P500指数
8
I published this chart before, this is the revised version with better illustration. It is a correlation study between 5 year treasury rate and SP 500, using simple projection. It suggests rate could peak around May 2015 at 3 percent, and market could peak May 2016 around 2250. Fundamentally, the Fed low rate and easy policy is still in play and the US economy still improving (though many believe this is just a perception rather than reality), it is quite possible we are in the last leg of the bull market that could rise another 30% after the current correction (assuming we are in a correction right now and bottom around 1700, (2250 - 1700)/1700 = 32.35%. Time will tell. This chart intends to give you some fun (and hopefully some thoughts) rather than presenting a fact (I believe most viewers can tell :)
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