Here's where the big breaking of the bull trend may come in SPX. It might be made.
Here's where the big breaking of the bull trend came in the DJI of 1929.
The breaking of this 161 level has been the best leading signal of major market failure.
DJI
Nikkei
SPX?
Here we always bounce from the 161 to just over the 127 fib. If this signal is in play, someone would be able to make a forecast of the hard crash coming from around 4150.
Historically markets top when they reject the 161 of the last big drop, and they capitulation when they break the 161 of the topping swing.
We have both of these now.
Here's where the big breaking of the bull trend came in the DJI of 1929.
The breaking of this 161 level has been the best leading signal of major market failure.
DJI
Nikkei
SPX?
Here we always bounce from the 161 to just over the 127 fib. If this signal is in play, someone would be able to make a forecast of the hard crash coming from around 4150.
Historically markets top when they reject the 161 of the last big drop, and they capitulation when they break the 161 of the topping swing.
We have both of these now.
ノート
Levels where major blue chips makes similar large breaks. 
ノート
I think under 3620 or so we'll start to enter more obvious "Crashing" conditions. A trend usually is structured and smooth for about half the move and then turns into a blaze of fury. We might be close to the fury. Capitulation swing down to 3300 would be the implied move if so. 
ノート
Real capitulation risk is now high. 
ノート
If this is coming we're into the final kicks of the bull and the big bear should become strongly apparent upon the rejection of this rally. Taking short positions in indices, crypto and gold.
Long positions in Yen and USD.
If implied pattern plays out, we'd be 50% off the high before 2023.
ノート
Might be go time. Big kick out for bears. We'll see what happens. 
ノート
Not seeing things consistent with this. Made an exit of bear swing trades. Will look to enter again as a bear higher or lower. 
ノート
Planning to get short again somewhere in the 4000 - 4100 zone ideally. 
ノート
Entry strategy for the big short. 
ノート
That might be the start of it. Real crash might be starting. 
トレード稼働中
Taking crash bets now. 
ノート
We continue to mirror classic break signals. 
トレード稼働中
Tsking a lot of swing entries today around 3980 in SPX and also taking shorts in various other big stocks. AAPl as an example.
We may be inside of a crash event to 3000 in SPX.
Read the full case with backlog of historic analysis/forecasts here: holeyprofitnewsletter.substack.com/p/the-case-for-3000-in-spx
Read the full case with backlog of historic analysis/forecasts here: holeyprofitnewsletter.substack.com/p/the-case-for-3000-in-spx
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We may be inside of a crash event to 3000 in SPX.
Read the full case with backlog of historic analysis/forecasts here: holeyprofitnewsletter.substack.com/p/the-case-for-3000-in-spx
Read the full case with backlog of historic analysis/forecasts here: holeyprofitnewsletter.substack.com/p/the-case-for-3000-in-spx
免責事項
これらの情報および投稿は、TradingViewが提供または保証する金融、投資、取引、またはその他の種類のアドバイスや推奨を意図したものではなく、またそのようなものでもありません。詳しくは利用規約をご覧ください。