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usd/jpy 30min 4.06.2015/06:45h

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FX:USDJPY   米ドル/円
1
usd/jpy 30min 4.06.2015/06:45h
- usd is overbought, i think it's clear to everyone;
- there are no clear reasons why usd still holds, only rumors and speculations;
- Greece crisis is just an excuse for broad speculations, but i think it's clear for everyone that Greece is not a major factor in Eurozone;
- my opinion is that American gov is generating dirty float to support the usd so far, in effort to keep stable high course of usd;
-i think the major reason for all this is that usd is fighting to keep the status of most abundant currency in the world, and is using current EU weakness - Greece debt crisis, to gain value; 1) what is helping the usd is the broad affinity for speculation from the major fx players; 2) what is against, is that everybody has dollars - a lot of them and thats creating vacuum for other currencies; major speculators must gain profit at some point and that's meaning to close positions and sell dollars; America is net importer; dollar is uncontrollably printed for decades...

- in long term... - the main threat for the Eurozone is coming from the uncertainty whether GB will stay or leave EU, but that's gonna by clear only after the referendum by the end of 2017...; the perspective until then is possible entry in the Eurozone from Czech rep, Poland, Croatia, Hungary, Romania, Bulgaria and even Scotland...; potential future members for EU are Ukraine, Serbia, Macedonia, Montenegro, Kosovo, Bosna & Hercegovina, Albania, Belarus, Moldova and even Turkey... - i think that's what usd is fighting for, IF all that happen, dollar will lose very badly... but there is a lot of time until then... and a lot of things may happen....
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