Position Size Using Manual Stop Loss [odnac]
This indicator calculates the risk per position based on user-defined settings.
Two Calculation Methods
1. Manual Stop Loss (%) & Manual Leverage
2. Manual Stop Loss (%) & Optimized Leverage
Settings
1. init_capital
Enter your current total capital.
2. Maximum Risk (%) per Position of Total Capital
Specify the percentage of your total funds to be risked for a single position.
3. manual_SL(%)
Enter the stop-loss percentage.
Range: 0.01 ~ 100
4. manual_leverage
Enter the leverage you wish to use.
Range: 1 ~ 100
Used in the first method (Manual Stop Loss (%) & Manual Leverage).
5. Safety Margin
Specify the safety margin for optimized leverage.
Range: 0.01 ~ 1
Used in the second method (Manual Stop Loss (%) & Optimized Leverage). Details are explained below.
Indicator Colors
Black: Indicates which method is being used.
White: Leverage.
First Green: Funds to be invested.
Second Green: Funds to be invested * Leverage.
First Red: Stop-loss (%).
Second Red: Stop-loss (%) * Leverage.
Details for Each Method:
1. Manual Stop Loss (%) & Manual Leverage
This method calculates the size of the funds based on user-defined stop-loss (%) and leverage settings.
White: manual_leverage.
First Green: Investment = Maximum Risk / (manual_SL / 100) / manual_leverage
Second Green: Maximum Risk * (manual_SL / 100)
First Red: manual_SL.
Second Red: manual_SL * manual_leverage
Ensure that the product of manual_SL and manual_leverage does not exceed 100.
If it does, there is a risk of liquidation.
2. Manual Stop Loss (%) & Optimized Leverage
This method calculates optimized leverage based on the user-defined stop-loss (%) and determines the size of the funds.
Optimization_LEVER = auto_leverage * safety_margin
auto_leverage = 100 / stop-loss (%), rounded down to the nearest whole number.
(Exception: If the stop-loss (%) is in the range of 0 ~ 1%, auto_leverage is always 100.)
Example:
If the stop-loss is 4%, auto_leverage = 25 (100 / 4 = 25).
However, 4% × 25 leverage equals 100%, meaning liquidation occurs even with a stop-loss.
To reduce this risk, the safety_margin value is applied.
White: auto_leverage * safety_margin
First Green: Investment = Maximum Risk / (manual_SL / 100) / optimization_LEVER
Second Green: Maximum Risk * (manual_SL / 100)
First Red: manual_SL.
Second Red: manual_SL * optimization_LEVER
Statistics
Candle ThermalsThis indicator color candles based on their percentage price change, relative to the average, maximum, and minimum changes over the last 100 candles.
-It calculates the percentage change of all candles
-Calculates the minimum, maximum and average in the last 100 bars in percentage change
-Changes color of the candle based on the range between the current percent and min/max value
-The brightest candle provides the highest compound effect to you account if you act on it at the open.
-Candles that have a percentage close to the average then they are barely visible = lowest compound effect to your account
This indicator functions like a "heatmap" for candles, highlighting the relative volatility of price movements in both directions. Strong bullish candles are brighter green, and strong bearish candles are brighter red. It's particularly useful for traders wanting quick visual feedback on price volatility and strength trends within the last 100 bars.
Volatility-Adjusted Trend Deviation Statistics (C-Ratios)The Pine Script logic provided generates and displays a table with key information derived from VWMA, EMA, and ATR-based "C Ratios," alongside stochastic oscillators, correlation coefficients, Z-scores, and bias indicators. Here’s an explanation of the logic and what the output in the table informs:
Key Calculations and Their Purpose
VWMA and EMA (Smoothing Lengths):
Multiple EMAs are calculated using VWMA as the source, with lengths spanning short-term (13) to long-term (233).
These EMAs provide a hierarchy of smoothed price levels to assess trends over various time horizons.
ATR-Based "C Ratios":
The C Ratios measure deviations of smoothed prices (a_1 to a_7) from the source price relative to ATR at corresponding lengths.
These values normalize deviations, giving insight into the price's relative movement strength and direction over various periods.
Stochastic Oscillator for C Ratios:
Calculates normalized stochastic values for each C Ratio to assess overbought/oversold conditions dynamically over a rolling window.
Helps identify short-term momentum trends within the broader context of C Ratios.
Displays the average stochastic value derived from all C Ratios.
Text: Shows overbought/oversold conditions (Overbought, Oversold, or ---).
Color: Green for strong upward momentum, red for downward, and white for neutral.
Weighted and Mean C Ratio:
The script computes both an arithmetic mean (c_mean) and a weighted mean (c_mean_w) for all C Ratios.
Weighted mean emphasizes short-term values using predefined weights.
Trend Bias and Reversal Detection:
The script calculates Z-scores for c_mean to identify statistically significant deviations.
It combines Z-scores and weighted C Ratio values to determine:
Bias (Bullish/Bearish based on Z-score thresholds and mean values).
Reversals (Based on relative positioning and how the weighted c_mean and un-weighted C_mean move. ).
Correlation Coefficient:
Correlation of mean C Ratios (c_mean) with bar indices over the short-term length (sl) assesses the strength and direction of trend consistency.
Table Output and Its Meaning
Stochastic Strength:
Long-term Correlation:
List of Lengths: Define the list of lengths for EMA and ATR explicitly (e.g., ).
Calculate Mean C Ratios: For each length in the list, calculate the mean C Ratio
Average these values over the entire dataset.
Store Lengths and Mean C Ratios: Maintain arrays for lengths and their corresponding mean C Ratios.
Correlation: compute the Pearson correlation between the list of lengths and the mean C Ratios.
Text: Indicates Uptrend, Downtrend, or neutral (---).
Color: Green for positive (uptrend), red for negative (downtrend), and white for neutral.
Z-Score Bias:
Assesses the statistical deviation of C Ratios from their historical mean.
Text: Bullish Bias, Bearish Bias, or --- (neutral).
Color: Green or red based on the direction and significance of the Z-score.
C-Ratio Mean:
Displays the weighted average C Ratio (c_mean_w) or a reversal condition.
Text: If no reversal is detected, shows c_mean_w; otherwise, a reversal condition (Bullish Reversal, Bearish Reversal).
Color: Indicates the strength and direction of the bias or reversal.
Practical Insights
Trend Identification: Correlation coefficients, Z-scores, and stochastic values collectively highlight whether the market is trending and the trend's direction.
Momentum and Volatility: Stochastic and ATR-normalized C Ratios provide insights into the momentum and price movement consistency across different timeframes.
Bias and Reversal Detection: The script highlights potential shifts in market sentiment or direction (bias or reversal) using statistical measures.
Customization: Users can toggle plots and analyze specific EMA lengths or focus on combined metrics like the weighted C Ratio.
Portfolio [Afnan]🚀 Portfolio - Advanced Portfolio Management Indicator 📊
A game-changing portfolio management tool designed to help traders stay on top of their positions and manage risk efficiently. This indicator combines detailed tracking, real-time analytics, and visual clarity to ensure traders are well-equipped for the dynamic world of financial markets.
📈 Key Features 💡
Track up to 14 positions with ease
Real-time Profit & Loss (P&L) updates and risk metrics
Visual representation of entry, stop-loss (SL), and target levels
Alerts for stop-loss breaches and target achievements
Comprehensive portfolio summaries for quick analysis
Customizable options to suit individual trading styles
🔍 Main Components ⚙️
📊 1. Position Tracking
Detailed position data: entry, stop-loss, target levels, and more
Real-time risk-reward ratios
Insights into position size and exposure percentages
Continuous updates on P&L in real-time
📉 2. Visual Indicators
Clear visual markers for entry, SL, and target prices
Price labels with detailed percentage changes
Indicators that show the current position's market status
💼 3. Portfolio Summary
Aggregate account values and exposure
Summarized P&L metrics across all positions
Risk management insights for better decision-making
Daily performance tracking to evaluate strategies
⚠️ 4. Alert System
Instant notifications for stop-loss breaches
Alerts when target prices are hit
Alerts operate for the current chart symbol
⚡ Customization Options 🎨
Show or hide specific data columns
Adjust the table's position and size for better visibility
Personalize color schemes and text styles
Switch between full portfolio view and single symbol focus
📱 How to Use 📝
Input your positions in the indicator's settings
Enable or disable specific positions dynamically
Customize display preferences to your liking
Set up alerts for proactive risk management
Monitor all your trading activities in one comprehensive dashboard
📌 Important Notes ℹ️
Compatible with any trading symbol
Updates seamlessly during market hours
Alerts are specific to the currently active chart symbol
Maximum capacity: 14 simultaneous positions
Created by: @AfnanTAjuddin
⚠️ Disclaimer ⚠️
This indicator is a tool for informational purposes only. Ensure all calculations are verified and consult a financial professional before making investment decisions.
🎯 "Stay disciplined, trade smart, and let data guide your decisions." 📊
Quick scan for signal🙏🏻 Hey TV, this is QSFS, following:
^^ Quick scan for drift (QSFD)
^^ Quick scan for cycles (QSFC)
As mentioned before, ML trading is all about spotting any kind of non-randomness, and this metric (along with 2 previously posted) gonna help ya'll do it fast. This one will show you whether your time series possibly exhibits mean-reverting / consistent / noisy behavior, that can be later confirmed or denied by more sophisticated tools. This metric is O(n) in windowed mode and O(1) if calculated incrementally on each data update, so you can scan Ks of datasets w/o worrying about melting da ice.
^^ windowed mode
Now the post will be divided into several sections, and a couple of things I guess you’ve never seen or thought about in your life:
1) About Efficiency Ratios posted there on TV;
Some of you might say this is the Efficiency Ratio you’ve seen in Perry's book. Firstly, I can assure you that neither me nor Perry, just as X amount of quants all over the world and who knows who else, would say smth like, "I invented it," lol. This is just a thing you R&D when you need it. Secondly, I invite you (and mods & admin as well) to take a lil glimpse at the following screenshot:
^^ not cool...
So basically, all the Efficiency Ratios that were copypasted to our platform suffer the same bug: dudes don’t know how indexing works in Pine Script. I mean, it’s ok, I been doing the same mistakes as well, but loxx, cmon bro, you... If you guys ever read it, the lines 20 and 22 in da code are dedicated to you xD
2) About the metric;
This supports both moving window mode when Length > 0 and all-data expanding window mode when Length < 1, calculating incrementally from the very first data point in the series: O(n) on history, O(1) on live updates.
Now, why do I SQRT transform the result? This is a natural action since the metric (being a ratio in essence) is bounded between 0 and 1, so it can be modeled with a beta distribution. When you SQRT transform it, it still stays beta (think what happens when you apply a square root to 0.01 or 0.99), but it becomes symmetric around its typical value and starts to follow a bell-shaped curve. This can be easily checked with a normality test or by applying a set of percentiles and seeing the distances between them are almost equal.
Then I noticed that on different moving window sizes, the typical value of the metric seems to slide: higher window sizes lead to lower typical values across the moving windows. Turned out this can be modeled the same way confidence intervals are made. Lines 34 and 35 explain it all, I guess. You can see smth alike on an autocorrelogram. These two match the mean & mean + 1 stdev applied to the metric. This way, we’ve just magically received data to estimate alpha and beta parameters of the beta distribution using the method of moments. Having alpha and beta, we can now estimate everything further. Btw, there’s an alternative parameterization for beta distributions based on data length.
Now what you’ll see next is... u guys actually have no idea how deep and unrealistically minimalistic the underlying math principles are here.
I’m sure I’m not the only one in the universe who figured it out, but the thing is, it’s nowhere online or offline. By calculating higher-order moments & combining them, you can find natural adaptive thresholds that can later be used for anomaly detection/control applications for any data. No hardcoded thresholds, purely data-driven. Imma come back to this in one of the next drops, but the truest ones can already see it in this code. This way we get dem thresholds.
Your main thresholds are: basis, upper, and lower deviations. You can follow the common logic I’ve described in my previous scripts on how to use them. You just register an event when the metric goes higher/lower than a certain threshold based on what you’re looking for. Then you take the time series and confirm a certain behavior you were looking for by using an appropriate stat test. Or just run a certain strategy.
To avoid numerous triggers when the metric jitters around a threshold, you can follow this logic: forget about one threshold if touched, until another threshold is touched.
In general, when the metric gets higher than certain thresholds, like upper deviation, it means the signal is stronger than noise. You confirm it with a more sophisticated tool & run momentum strategies if drift is in place, or volatility strategies if there’s no drift in place. Otherwise, you confirm & run ~ mean-reverting strategies, regardless of whether there’s drift or not. Just don’t operate against the trend—hedge otherwise.
3) Flex;
Extension and limit thresholds based on distribution moments gonna be discussed properly later, but now you can see this:
^^ magic
Look at the thresholds—adaptive and dynamic. Do you see any optimizations? No ML, no DL, closed-form solution, but how? Just a formula based on a couple of variables? Maybe it’s just how the Universe works, but how can you know if you don’t understand how fundamentally numbers 3 and 15 are related to the normal distribution? Hm, why do they always say 3 sigmas but can’t say why? Maybe you can be different and say why?
This is the primordial power of statistical modeling.
4) Thanks;
I really wanna dedicate this to Charlotte de Witte & Marion Di Napoli, and their new track "Sanctum." It really gets you connected to the Source—I had it in my soul when I was doing all this ∞
MTF ADX TableThis Indicator displays a table on the chart with the Average Directional Index (ADX) values for two different timeframes. It calculates the ADX using a custom formula and shows the ADX values along with their corresponding timeframes. The table's position, font size, and background color can be customized, and the timeframes are labeled with "ADX" appended to their unit (e.g., "5m ADX", "1D ADX"). The table updates dynamically with the latest ADX values for each timeframe. The indicator also provides a rating, based of the thresholds settings
BTC vs Altcoin CorrelationThis Pine Script indicator calculates and visualizes the rolling correlation between Bitcoin (BTC) and a selected altcoin, while providing insights into the percentage of time the correlation remains above a user-defined threshold. Users can independently configure the correlation calculation period and the lookback period for measuring the percentage of time above the threshold. The correlation is displayed as a color-coded line: green when above the threshold and red otherwise, with a dashed horizontal line marking the threshold level. A dynamic table displays the current correlation value and the percentage of time spent above the threshold within the specified period, enabling quick evaluation of correlation dynamics between BTC and the chosen altcoin.
Consecutive Lower Highs/Higher Lows v1 [tradinggeniusberlin]This indicator counts the lower highs and higher low streaks. If the streak is above a certain threshold a buy or exit arrow is shown.
Idea:
The probability of a reversal is rising the more lower highs the asset had already because if mean reversion tendencies of asset prices. Especially in uptrend above the 20ma and/or 50ma.
How to use it:
In Uptrends, lower high streak of 3 or more, enter at first new high.
Daily PlayDaily Play Indicator
The Daily Play Indicator is a clean and versatile tool designed to help traders organize and execute their daily trading plan directly on their charts. This indicator simplifies your workflow by visually displaying key inputs like market trend, directional bias, and key levels, making it easier to focus on your trading strategy.
Features
Dropdown Selection for Trend and Bias:
• Set the overall market trend (Bullish, Bearish, or Neutral) and your directional bias (Long, Short, or Neutral) using intuitive dropdown menus. No more manual typing or guesswork!
Key Levels:
Quickly input and display the Previous Day High and Previous Day Low. These levels are essential for many trading strategies, such as breakouts.
Real-Time News Notes:
Add a quick note about impactful news or market events (e.g., “Fed meeting today” or “Earnings season”) to keep contextual awareness while trading.
Simple On-Chart Display:
The indicator creates a “table-like” structure on the chart, aligning your inputs in an easy-to-read format. The data is positioned dynamically so it doesn’t obstruct the price action.
Customisable Visual Style:
Simple labels with clear text to ensure that your chart remains neat and tidy.
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Use Case
The Daily Play Indicator is ideal for:
• Day traders and scalpers who rely on precise planning and real-time execution.
• Swing traders looking to mark critical levels and develop a trade plan before the session begins.
• Anyone who needs a structured way to stay focused and disciplined during volatile market conditions.
By integrating this tool into your workflow, you can easily align your daily preparation with live market action.
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How to Use
Open the indicator settings to configure your inputs:
• Trend: Use the dropdown to choose between Bullish, Bearish, or Neutral.
• Bias: Select Long, Short, or Neutral to align your personal bias with the market.
• Previous Day Levels: Enter the High and Low of the previous trading session for key reference points.
• News: Add a short description of any relevant market-moving events.
MadTrend [InvestorUnknown]The MadTrend indicator is an experimental tool that combines the Median and Median Absolute Deviation (MAD) to generate signals, much like the popular Supertrend indicator. In addition to identifying Long and Short positions, MadTrend introduces RISK-ON and RISK-OFF states for each trade direction, providing traders with nuanced insights into market conditions.
Core Concepts
Median and Median Absolute Deviation (MAD)
Median: The middle value in a sorted list of numbers, offering a robust measure of central tendency less affected by outliers.
Median Absolute Deviation (MAD): Measures the average distance between each data point and the median, providing a robust estimation of volatility.
Supertrend-like Functionality
MadTrend utilizes the median and MAD in a manner similar to how Supertrend uses averages and volatility measures to determine trend direction and potential reversal points.
RISK-ON and RISK-OFF States
RISK-ON: Indicates favorable conditions for entering or holding a position in the current trend direction.
RISK-OFF: Suggests caution, signaling RISK-ON end and potential trend weakening or reversal.
Calculating MAD
The mad function calculates the median of the absolute deviations from the median, providing a robust measure of volatility.
// Function to calculate the Median Absolute Deviation (MAD)
mad(series float src, simple int length) =>
med = ta.median(src, length) // Calculate median
abs_deviations = math.abs(src - med) // Calculate absolute deviations from median
ta.median(abs_deviations, length) // Return the median of the absolute deviations
MADTrend Function
The MADTrend function calculates the median and MAD-based upper (med_p) and lower (med_m) bands. It determines the trend direction based on price crossing these bands.
MADTrend(series float src, simple int length, simple float mad_mult) =>
// Calculate MAD (volatility measure)
mad_value = mad(close, length)
// Calculate the MAD-based moving average by scaling the price data with MAD
median = ta.median(close, length)
med_p = median + (mad_value * mad_mult)
med_m = median - (mad_value * mad_mult)
var direction = 0
if ta.crossover(src, med_p)
direction := 1
else if ta.crossunder(src, med_m)
direction := -1
Trend Direction and Signals
Long Position (direction = 1): When the price crosses above the upper MAD band (med_p).
Short Position (direction = -1): When the price crosses below the lower MAD band (med_m).
RISK-ON: When the price moves further in the direction of the trend (beyond median +- MAD) after the initial signal.
RISK-OFF: When the price retraces towards the median, signaling potential weakening of the trend.
RISK-ON and RISK-OFF States
RISK-ON LONG: Price moves above the upper band after a Long signal, indicating strengthening bullish momentum.
RISK-OFF LONG: Price falls back below the upper band, suggesting potential weakness in the bullish trend.
RISK-ON SHORT: Price moves below the lower band after a Short signal, indicating strengthening bearish momentum.
RISK-OFF SHORT: Price rises back above the lower band, suggesting potential weakness in the bearish trend.
Picture below show example RISK-ON periods which can be identified by “cloud”
Note: Highlighted areas on the chart indicating RISK-ON and RISK-OFF periods for both Long and Short positions.
Implementation Details
Inputs and Parameters:
Source (input_src): The price data used for calculations (e.g., close, open, high, low).
Median Length (length): The number of periods over which the median and MAD are calculated.
MAD Multiplier (mad_mult): Determines the distance of the upper and lower bands from the median.
Calculations:
Median and MAD are recalculated each period based on the specified length.
Upper (med_p) and Lower (med_m) Bands are computed by adding and subtracting the scaled MAD from the median.
Visual representation of the indicator on a price chart:
Backtesting and Performance Metrics
The MadTrend indicator includes a Backtesting Mode with a performance metrics table to evaluate its effectiveness compared to a simple buy-and-hold strategy.
Equity Calculation:
Calculates the equity curve based on the signals generated by the indicator.
Performance Metrics:
Metrics such as Mean Returns, Standard Deviation, Sharpe Ratio, Sortino Ratio, and Omega Ratio are computed.
The metrics are displayed in a table for both the strategy and the buy-and-hold approach.
Note: Due to the use of labels and plot shapes, automatic chart scaling may not function ideally in Backtest Mode.
Alerts and Notifications
MadTrend provides alert conditions to notify traders of significant events:
Trend Change Alerts
RISK-ON and RISK-OFF Alerts - Provides real-time notifications about the RISK-ON and RISK-OFF states for proactive trade management.
Customization and Calibration
Default Settings: The provided default settings are experimental and not optimized. They serve as a starting point for users.
Parameter Adjustment: Traders are encouraged to calibrate the indicator's parameters (e.g., length, mad_mult) to suit their specific trading style and the characteristics of the asset being analyzed.
Source Input: The indicator allows for different price inputs (open, high, low, close, etc.), offering flexibility in how the median and MAD are calculated.
Important Notes
Market Conditions: The effectiveness of the MadTrend indicator can vary across different market conditions. Regular calibration is recommended.
Backtest Limitations: Backtesting results are historical and do not guarantee future performance.
Risk Management: Always apply sound risk management practices when using any trading indicator.
Mean Price
^^ Plotting switched to Line.
This method of financial time series (aka bars) downsampling is literally, naturally, and thankfully the best you can do in terms of maximizing info gain. You can finally chill and feed it to your studies & eyes, and probably use nothing else anymore.
(HL2 and occ3 also have use cases, but other aggregation methods? Not really, even if they do, the use cases are ‘very’ specific). Tho in order to understand why, you gotta read the following wall, or just believe me telling you, ‘I put it on my momma’.
The true story about trading volumes and why this is all a big misdirection
Actually, you don’t need to be a quant to get there. All you gotta do is stop blindly following other people’s contextual (at best) solutions, eg OC2 aggregation xD, and start using your own brain to figure things out.
Every individual trade (basically an imprint on 1D price space that emerges when market orders hit the order book) has several features like: price, time, volume, AND direction (Up if a market buy order hits the asks, Down if a market sell order hits the bids). Now, the last two features—volume and direction—can be effectively combined into one (by multiplying volume by 1 or -1), and this is probably how every order matching engine should output data. If we’re not considering size/direction, we’re leaving data behind. Moreover, trades aren’t just one-price dots all the time. One trade can consume liquidity on several levels of the order book, so a single trade can be several ticks big on the price axis.
You may think now that there are no zero-volume ticks. Well, yes and no. It depends on how you design an exchange and whether you allow intra-spread trades/mid-spread trades (now try to Google it). Intra-spread trades could happen if implemented when a matching engine receives both buy and sell orders at the same microsecond period. This way, you can match the orders with each other at a better price for both parties without even hitting the book and consuming liquidity. Also, if orders have different sizes, the remaining part of the bigger order can be sent to the order book. Basically, this type of trade can be treated as an OTC trade, having zero volume because we never actually hit the book—there’s no imprint. Another reason why it makes sense is when we think about volume as an impact or imbalance act, and how the medium (order book in our case) responds to it, providing information. OTC and mid-spread trades are not aggressive sells or buys; they’re neutral ticks, so to say. However huge they are, sometimes many blocks on NYSE, they don’t move the price because there’s no impact on the medium (again, which is the order book)—they’re not providing information.
... Now, we need to aggregate these trades into, let’s say, 1-hour bars (remember that a trade can have either positive or negative volume). We either don’t want to do it, or we don’t have this kind of information. What we can do is take already aggregated OHLC bars and extract all the info from them. Given the market is fractal, bars & trades gotta have the same set of features:
- Highest & lowest ticks (high & low) <- by price;
- First & last ticks (open & close) <- by time;
- Biggest and smallest ticks <- by volume.*
*e.g., in the array ,
2323: biggest trade,
-1212: smallest trade.
Now, in our world, somehow nobody started to care about the biggest and smallest trades and their inclusion in OHLC data, while this is actually natural. It’s the same way as it’s done with high & low and open & close: we choose the minimum and maximum value of a given feature/axis within the aggregation period.
So, we don’t have these 2 values: biggest and smallest ticks. The best we can do is infer them, and given the fact the biggest and smallest ticks can be located with the same probability everywhere, all we can do is predict them in the middle of the bar, both in time and price axes. That’s why you can see two HL2’s in each of the 3 formulas in the code.
So, summed up absolute volumes that you see in almost every trading platform are actually just a derivative metric, something that I call Type 2 time series in my own (proprietary ‘for now’) methods. It doesn’t have much to do with market orders hitting the non-uniform medium (aka order book); it’s more like a statistic. Still wanna use VWAP? Ok, but you gotta understand you’re weighting Type 1 (natural) time series by Type 2 (synthetic) ones.
How to combine all the data in the right way (khmm khhm ‘order’)
Now, since we have 6 values for each bar, let’s see what information we have about them, what we don’t have, and what we can do about it:
- Open and close: we got both when and where (time (order) and price);
- High and low: we got where, but we don’t know when;
- Biggest & smallest trades: we know shit, we infer it the way it was described before.'
By using the location of the close & open prices relative to the high & low prices, we can make educated guesses about whether high or low was made first in a given bar. It’s not perfect, but it’s ultimately all we can do—this is the very last bit of info we can extract from the data we have.
There are 2 methods for inferring volume delta (which I call simply volume) that are presented everywhere, even here on TradingView. Funny thing is, this is actually 2 parts of the 1 method. I wonder how many folks see through it xD. The same method can be used for both inferring volume delta AND making educated guesses whether high or low was made first.
Imagine and/or find the cases on your charts to understand faster:
* Close > open means we have an up bar and probably the volume is positive, and probably high was made later than low.
* Close < open means we have a down bar and probably the volume is negative, and probably low was made later than high.
Now that’s the point when you see that these 2 mentioned methods are actually parts of the 1 method:
If close = open, we still have another clue: distance from open/close pair to high (HC), and distance from open/close pair to low (LC):
* HC < LC, probably high was made later.
* HC > LC, probably low was made later.
And only if close = open and HC = LC, only in this case we have no clue whether high or low was made earlier within a bar. We simply don’t have any more information to even guess. This bar is called a neutral bar.
At this point, we have both time (order) and price info for each of our 6 values. Now, we have to solve another weighted average problem, and that’s it. We’ll weight prices according to the order we’ve guessed. In the neutral bar case, open has a weight of 1, close has a weight of 3, and both high and low have weights of 2 since we can’t infer which one was made first. In all cases, biggest and smallest ticks are modeled with HL2 and weighted like they’re located in the middle of the bar in a time sense.
P.S.: I’ve also included a "robust" method where all the bars are treated like neutral ones. I’ve used it before; obviously, it has lesser info gain -> works a bit worse.
Cryptocurrency StrengthMulti-Currency Analysis: Monitor up to 19 different currencies simultaneously, including major pairs like USD, EUR, JPY, and GBP, as well as emerging market currencies such as CNY, INR, and BRL.
Customizable Display: Easily toggle the visibility of each currency and personalize their colors to suit your preferences, allowing for a tailored analysis experience.
Real-Time Strength Measurement: The indicator calculates and displays the relative strength of each currency in real-time, helping you identify potential trends and trading opportunities.
Clear Visual Representation: With color-coded lines and a dynamic legend, the indicator presents complex currency relationships in an easy-to-understand format.
Advantages
Comprehensive Market View: Gain insights into the broader forex market dynamics by analyzing multiple currencies at once.
Trend Identification: Quickly spot strong and weak currencies, aiding in the identification of potential trending pairs.
Divergence Detection: Use the indicator to identify divergences between currency strength and price action, potentially signaling reversals or continuation patterns.
Flexible Time Frames: Apply the indicator across various time frames to align with your trading strategy, from intraday to long-term analysis.
Enhanced Decision Making: Make more informed trading decisions by understanding the relative strength of currencies involved in your trades.
Unique Qualities
TSI-Based Calculations: Utilizes the True Strength Index for a more nuanced and responsive measure of currency strength compared to simple price-based indicators.
Adaptive Legend: The indicator features a dynamic legend that updates automatically based on the selected currencies, ensuring a clutter-free and relevant display.
Emerging Market Inclusion: Unlike many standard currency strength indicators, this tool includes a wide range of emerging market currencies, providing a truly global perspective.
Whether you're a seasoned forex trader or just starting out, this Currency Strength Indicator offers valuable insights that can complement your existing strategy and potentially improve your trading outcomes. Its combination of comprehensive analysis, customization options, and clear visualization makes it an essential tool for navigating the complex world of currency trading.
Currency StrengthThis innovative Currency Strength Indicator is a powerful tool for forex traders, offering a comprehensive and visually intuitive way to analyze the relative strength of multiple currencies simultaneously. Here's what makes this indicator stand out:
Extensive Currency Coverage
One of the most striking features of this indicator is its extensive coverage of currencies. While many similar tools focus on just the major currencies, this indicator includes:
Major currencies: USD, EUR, JPY, GBP, CHF, CAD, AUD, NZD
Additional currencies: CNY, HKD, KRW, MXN, INR, RUB, SGD, TRY, BRL, ZAR, THB
This wide range allows traders to gain insights into a broader spectrum of the forex market, including emerging markets and less commonly traded currencies.
Unique Visual Presentation
The indicator boasts a clear and user-friendly interface:
Each currency is represented by a distinct colored line for easy identification
A legend is prominently displayed at the top of the chart, using color-coded labels for quick reference
Users can customize which currencies to display, allowing for a tailored analysis
This clean, organized presentation enables traders to quickly grasp the relative strengths of different currencies at a glance.
Robust Measurement Methodology
The indicator employs the True Strength Index (TSI) to calculate currency strength, which provides several advantages:
TSI is a momentum oscillator that shows both trend direction and overbought/oversold conditions
It uses two smoothing periods (fast and slow), which helps filter out market noise and provides more reliable signals
The indicator calculates TSI for each currency index (e.g., DXY for USD, EXY for EUR), ensuring a comprehensive strength measurement
By using TSI, this indicator offers a more nuanced and accurate representation of currency strength compared to simpler moving average-based indicators.
Customization and Flexibility
Traders can fine-tune the indicator to suit their needs:
Adjustable TSI parameters (fast and slow periods)
Ability to show/hide specific currencies
Customizable color scheme for each currency line
Practical Applications
This Currency Strength Indicator can be used for various trading strategies:
Identifying potential trend reversals when a currency reaches extreme overbought or oversold levels
Spotting divergences between currency pairs
Confirming trends across multiple timeframes
Enhancing multi-pair trading strategies
By providing a clear, comprehensive, and customizable view of currency strength across a wide range of currencies, this indicator equips traders with valuable insights for making informed trading decisions in the complex world of forex.
simple swing indicator-KTRNSE:NIFTY
1. Pivot High/Low as Lines:
Purpose: Identifies local peaks (pivot highs) and troughs (pivot lows) in price and draws horizontal lines at these levels.
How it Works:
A pivot high occurs when the price is higher than the surrounding bars (based on the pivotLength parameter).
A pivot low occurs when the price is lower than the surrounding bars.
These pivots are drawn as horizontal lines at the price level of the pivot.
Visualization:
Pivot High: A red horizontal line is drawn at the price level of the pivot high.
Pivot Low: A green horizontal line is drawn at the price level of the pivot low.
Example:
Imagine the price is trending up, and at some point, it forms a peak. The script identifies this peak as a pivot high and draws a red line at the price of that peak. Similarly, if the price forms a trough, the script will draw a green line at the low point.
2. Moving Averages (20-day and 50-day):
Purpose: Plots the 20-day and 50-day simple moving averages (SMA) on the chart.
How it Works:
The 20-day SMA smooths the closing price over the last 20 days.
The 50-day SMA smooths the closing price over the last 50 days.
These lines provide an overview of short-term and long-term price trends.
Visualization:
20-day SMA: A blue line showing the 20-day moving average.
50-day SMA: An orange line showing the 50-day moving average.
Example:
When the price is above both moving averages, it indicates an uptrend. If the price crosses below these averages, it might signal a downtrend.
3. Supertrend:
Purpose: The Supertrend is an indicator based on the Average True Range (ATR) and is used to track the market trend.
How it Works:
When the market is in an uptrend, the Supertrend line will be green.
When the market is in a downtrend, the Supertrend line will be red.
Visualization:
Uptrend: The Supertrend line will be plotted in green.
Downtrend: The Supertrend line will be plotted in red.
Example:
If the price is above the Supertrend, the market is considered to be in an uptrend, and if the price is below the Supertrend, the market is in a downtrend.
4. Momentum (Rate of Change):
Purpose: Measures the rate at which the price changes over a set period, showing if the momentum is positive or negative.
How it Works:
The Rate of Change (ROC) measures how much the price has changed over a certain number of periods (e.g., 14).
Positive ROC indicates upward momentum, and negative ROC indicates downward momentum.
Visualization:
Positive ROC: A purple line is plotted above the zero line.
Negative ROC: A purple line is plotted below the zero line.
Example:
If the ROC line is above zero, it means the price is increasing, suggesting bullish momentum. If the ROC is below zero, it indicates bearish momentum.
5. Volume:
Purpose: Displays the volume of traded assets, giving insight into the strength of price movements.
How it Works:
The script will color the volume bars based on whether the price closed higher or lower than the previous bar.
Green bars indicate bullish volume (closing price higher than the previous bar), and red bars indicate bearish volume (closing price lower than the previous bar).
Visualization:
Bullish Volume: Green volume bars when the price closes higher.
Bearish Volume: Red volume bars when the price closes lower.
Example:
If you see a green volume bar, it suggests that the market is participating in an uptrend, and the price has closed higher than the previous period. Red bars indicate a downtrend or selling pressure.
6. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence):
Purpose: The MACD is a trend-following momentum indicator that shows the relationship between two moving averages of the price.
How it Works:
The MACD Line is the difference between the 12-period EMA (Exponential Moving Average) and the 26-period EMA.
The Signal Line is the 9-period EMA of the MACD Line.
The MACD Histogram shows the difference between the MACD line and the Signal line.
Visualization:
MACD Line: A blue line representing the difference between the 12-period and 26-period EMAs.
Signal Line: An orange line representing the 9-period EMA of the MACD line.
MACD Histogram: A red or green histogram that shows the difference between the MACD line and the Signal line.
Example:
When the MACD line crosses above the Signal line, it’s considered a bullish signal. When the MACD line crosses below the Signal line, it’s considered a bearish signal.
Full Chart Example:
Imagine you're looking at a price chart with all the indicators:
Pivot High/Low Lines are drawn as red and green horizontal lines.
20-day and 50-day SMAs are plotted as blue and orange lines, respectively.
Supertrend shows a green or red line indicating the trend.
Momentum (ROC) is shown as a purple line oscillating around zero.
Volume bars are green or red based on whether the close is higher or lower.
MACD appears as a blue line and orange line, with a red or green histogram showing the MACD vs. Signal line difference.
How the Indicators Work Together:
Trend Confirmation: If the price is above the Supertrend line and both SMAs are trending up, it indicates a strong bullish trend.
Momentum: If the ROC is positive and the MACD line is above the Signal line, it further confirms bullish momentum.
Volume: Increasing volume, especially with green bars, suggests that the trend is being supported by active participation.
By using these combined indicators, you can get a comprehensive view of the market's trend, momentum, and potential reversal points (via pivot highs and lows).
Checklist By TAZFX with Trade ScoreTrading Checklist is a customizable indicator designed for traders who want to stay disciplined and stick to their trading rules. Using this indicator, you can easily create and display your own personalized checklist of trading rules directly on your TradingView chart.
1. Customizable Settings:
• Positioning : Place the table in one of nine positions on the chart (e.g., bottom left, top right).
• Header : Modify the banner text, size, and color.
• Row Content : Define text for each row and control visibility.
• Appearance : Adjust text and background colors.
2. Checklist Table:
•Displays up to 8 rows with checkboxes (✅/❌) and custom labels for trade evaluation.
•Useful for tracking whether specific trade conditions or rules are met.
3. Trade Score Calculation:
•The Trade Score is a percentage that shows how many of your checklist items are checked compared to the total visible items.
[SGM Auto Regressiv - significant lags only]This Pine Script™ is designed for traders seeking advanced statistical analysis based on autoregressive (AR) models, with automatic filtering of significant lags according to a customizable confidence threshold.
Key Features:
AR(p) Model with Significance Filtering:
Only statistically significant lags (based on the selected confidence level) are included in the model calculations.
Coefficient Weighting Options:
Uniform weighting.
Weighting based on the t-statistic.
Visualization of Key Indicators:
Dynamic plotting of autoregressive values, upper and lower bounds (based on standard deviation).
Buy ("Buy") and Sell ("Sell") signals when values exceed the defined bounds.
Robust Analysis:
Calculation of statistical parameters: T-stat, p-value, skewness, kurtosis, r², and the Jarque-Bera test to assess the robustness and normality of residuals.
Summary of results displayed in a visual table for simplified interpretation.
Interactive Tables:
Display of lags, coefficients, t-statistics, p-values, and their significance via a dynamic table.
Overall robustness indicator and interpretation of results ("Good," "Non-significant," etc.).
Easy Customization:
Adjustable confidence level (90% to 99%).
Configurable lengths for moving average and standard deviation to fine-tune signal thresholds.
Benefits for Traders:
Effortless Analysis:
Automatically identifies significant relationships between past and present values, removing unnecessary assumptions.
Enhanced Accuracy:
Filters signals based on rigorous statistical criteria to avoid false signals.
Clear Visualization:
Interactive tables and plots to quickly understand critical parameters.
Default Configuration:
Confidence level: 95%.
Lag weighting: Uniform.
Moving average length: 20 periods.
Standard deviation length: 15 periods.
Usage Recommendations:
Ideal for analyzing volatile assets or identifying potential reversal zones.
Use alongside other indicators to confirm signals.
Correlation Confluence Trend IndicatorCorrelation Confluence Trend Indicator
Overview
The Correlation Confluence Trend Indicator combines exponential moving averages (EMAs) and statistical correlation measures to identify high-confidence trend alignments between an asset and a benchmark. By filtering signals through correlation strength, this indicator highlights opportunities when the asset and benchmark move together. In other words, it defines a trend and then uses correlation strength and the trend of a second asset to identify high-confidence trends.
Key Features
Dual EMA Trend Analysis :
Calculates fast and slow EMAs for both the asset and the selected benchmark (e.g., SPY) to identify bullish and bearish trends.
Correlation Strength Filtering :
Evaluates correlation between the asset and benchmark, identifying stronger-than-average relationships based on the mean and standard deviation.
Background Color Coding :
- Green : Strong correlation, both asset and benchmark bullish.
- Aqua : Weak correlation, both asset and benchmark bullish.
- Red : Strong correlation, both asset and benchmark bearish.
- Fuchsia : Weak correlation, both asset and benchmark bearish.
- Orange : Strong correlation, benchmark bullish, asset bearish.
- Yellow : Weak correlation, benchmark bullish, asset bearish.
- Purple : Strong correlation, benchmark bearish, asset bullish.
- Lime : Weak correlation, benchmark bearish, asset bullish.
Visual Trend Indicators :
Plots fast and slow EMAs for the asset, dynamically colored based on aggregate trend signals. The color of this corresponds to the main trend signal.
Inputs
Benchmark Symbol : Symbol of the benchmark asset to compare against.
Fast EMA Length : Period for the fast EMA calculation.
Slow EMA Length : Period for the slow EMA calculation.
Correlation Length : Number of bars for correlation calculation.
Correlation Mean Length : Number of bars for mean and standard deviation calculation.
Std Dev Multiplier : Multiplier for standard deviation to define correlation strength. When the correlation is Std Dev Multiplier standard deviations above the mean, it counts as a strong correlation.
Set Background Color : Toggle background coloring on or off.
Notes
This indicator is primarily designed for trend-following strategies. By combining trend analysis and correlation filtering, it ensures that signals occur during aligned market conditions, reducing false signals.
Before incorporating this indicator into your trading strategy:
Always backtest on historical data to evaluate its performance before committing capital.
Use proper risk management to control position sizes and mitigate potential losses.
Remember that no indicator guarantees success. I'm quite proud of this one, but it's not the holy grail.
MACD -- Normalized█ OVERVIEW
This indicator is a normalized and scaled version of the Moving Average Convergence Divergence ( MACD ) indicator, inspired by the work in "Statistically Sound Indicators" by Timothy Masters. It enhances the traditional MACD by applying statistical normalization and scaling techniques, providing more consistent and reliable signals across different markets and timeframes.
█ CONCEPTS
The traditional MACD measures the difference between two Exponential Moving Averages ( EMAs ) of different lengths to identify momentum changes. However, its raw values are unbounded, making it challenging to compare across different instruments or timeframes.
This normalized MACD addresses this limitation by:
• Normalization : Adjusting the MACD values using the Average True Range ( ATR ) to account for market volatility.
• Scaling : Applying the Cumulative Distribution Function ( CDF ) to constrain the output between -50 and +50.
• Smoothing : Providing a smoothed signal line and histogram to effectively visualize momentum shifts.
█ FEATURES
• Normalized MACD Line : Computes the difference between the short-term and long-term EMAs, normalized by market volatility.
• Signal Line : Applies EMA smoothing to the normalized MACD line over a user-defined period.
• Histogram : Visualizes the difference between the normalized MACD line and the signal line, highlighting momentum changes.
• Customization Options :
• Adjustable lengths for the short-term EMA, long-term EMA, and signal line smoothing.
• Ability to toggle the visibility of the MACD line, signal line, and histogram.
• Statistical Scaling : Utilizes statistical methods from Timothy Masters' work to provide consistent scaling across different instruments.
█ HOW TO USE
1 — Identify Momentum Shifts :
• A crossover of the MACD line above the signal line may indicate a bullish momentum shift.
• A crossover of the MACD line below the signal line may indicate a bearish momentum shift.
2 — Analyze the Histogram :
• A rising histogram suggests strengthening momentum in the current trend direction.
• A falling histogram may signal weakening momentum or a potential reversal.
3 — Customize Parameters :
• Adjust the EMA lengths and smoothing periods to fit the specific instrument or timeframe.
• Use the visibility toggles to focus on the components most relevant to your analysis.
4 — Combine with Other Tools :
• Use in conjunction with support/resistance levels, trend lines, or other indicators to confirm signals.
• Consider the overall market context to enhance decision-making.
█ LIMITATIONS
• The indicator is based on historical price data; it may not predict future market movements accurately.
• May produce false signals during low volatility or ranging market conditions.
• Initial periods may display na values due to insufficient data for calculations.
█ NOTES
• Ensure that the MathHelpers library by HuntGatherTrade is imported for the indicator to function correctly.
• The default parameters are commonly used settings but may require adjustments based on the trading instrument and timeframe.
• The normalization and scaling techniques are designed to make the indicator's outputs more comparable across different markets.
Close Minus Moving Average█ OVERVIEW
The Close Minus Moving Average (CMMA) is a statistically robust mean reversion indicator designed to identify potential reversal points in the market. By analyzing the relationship between the closing price and its moving average, CMMA provides traders with actionable insights to enhance their trading strategies.
Important
This indicator requires the use of the MathHelpers library published by HuntGatherTrade
█ CONCEPTS
The CMMA indicator operates by calculating the logarithmic difference between the current closing price and its simple moving average (SMA). This difference is then normalized using the Average True Range (ATR) to account for market volatility. The resulting value is transformed using the Cumulative Distribution Function (CDF) to produce a standardized metric that oscillates around zero.
Key Steps :
Logarithmic Calculation: Computes the natural logarithm of the closing prices.
Moving Average: Applies a simple moving average to the logarithmic closing prices.
ATR Normalization: Utilizes ATR to normalize the difference, ensuring the indicator adapts to varying market conditions.
CDF Transformation: Transforms the normalized difference to a scale that highlights mean reversion tendencies.
Mean Reversion
Mean reversion is a financial theory suggesting that asset prices and historical returns eventually return to the long-term mean or average level of the entire dataset. The CMMA leverages this concept to signal potential entry and exit points based on deviations from the moving average.
█ FEATURES
Adaptive Normalization: Utilizes ATR to adjust for market volatility, ensuring consistent performance across different market conditions.
Statistical Robustness: Built upon methodologies from Timothy Masters, ensuring reliable mean reversion signals.
Clear Visuals: Differentiates positive and negative deviations with distinct color coding for easy interpretation.
Customizable Parameters: Allows users to adjust lookback periods and ATR lengths to tailor the indicator to their specific trading needs
.
█ HOW TO USE
Add the Indicator :
Navigate to the Pine Script editor on TradingView.
Paste the CMMA script and add it to your chart.
Adjust Parameters :
Lookback Period: Determines the number of periods for calculating the moving average of the logarithmic close. Default is 1.
ATR Length: Sets the number of periods for ATR calculation. Default is 252.
Interpret Signals :
Green Plot: Indicates that the closing price is above the moving average, suggesting bullish momentum.
Red Plot: Indicates that the closing price is below the moving average, suggesting bearish momentum.
Zero Line: Serves as a reference point for mean reversion signals.
Trading Strategy :
Buy Signal: When CMMA crosses above the zero line, indicating a potential upward reversal.
Sell Signal: When CMMA crosses below the zero line, indicating a potential downward reversal.
█ LIMITATIONS
Lagging Indicator: As with all moving averages, CMMA is based on historical data and may lag during rapid market movements.
Parameter Sensitivity: The effectiveness of CMMA can vary based on the chosen lookback and ATR periods. Users should optimize these parameters based on the specific asset and timeframe.
Market Conditions: Best suited for mean-reverting markets and may underperform in trending or highly volatile environments.
█ NOTES
Version Compatibility: The CMMA script is written in Pine Script™ version 6. Ensure your TradingView environment supports this version.
License: This Pine Script™ code is subject to the terms of the Mozilla Public License 2.0. Read the license here.
Global vs National Index Spread RSIThe Global vs National Index Spread RSI indicator visualizes the relative strength of national stock indices compared to a global benchmark (e.g., AMEX). It calculates the percentage spread between the closing prices of each national index and the global index, applying the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to each spread.
How It Works
Spread Calculation: The spread represents the percentage difference between a national index and the global index.
RSI Application: RSI is applied to these spreads to identify overbought or oversold conditions in the relative performance of the national indices.
Reference Lines: Overbought (70), oversold (30), and neutral (50) levels help guide interpretation.
Insights from Research
The correlation between global and national indices provides insights into market integration and interdependence. Studies such as Forbes & Rigobon (2002) emphasize the importance of understanding these linkages during periods of financial contagion. Observing spread trends with RSI can aid in identifying shifts in investor sentiment and regional performance anomalies.
Use Cases
- Detect divergences between national and global markets.
- Identify overbought or oversold conditions for specific indices.
- Complement portfolio management strategies by monitoring geographic performance.
References
Forbes, K. J., & Rigobon, R. (2002). "No contagion, only interdependence: Measuring stock market co-movements." Journal of Finance.
Eun, C. S., & Shim, S. (1989). "International transmission of stock market movements." Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis.
[SGM VaR Stats VS Empirical]Main Functions
Logarithmic Returns & Historical Data
Calculates logarithmic returns from closing prices.
Stores these returns in a dynamic array with a configurable maximum size.
Approximation of the Inverse Error Function
Uses an approximation of the erfinv function to calculate z-scores for given confidence levels.
Basic Statistics
Mean: Calculates the average of the data in the array.
Standard Deviation: Measures the dispersion of returns.
Median: Provides a more robust measure of central tendency for skewed distributions.
Z-Score: Converts a confidence level into a standard deviation multiplier.
Empirical vs. Statistical Projection
Empirical Projection
Based on the median of cumulative returns for each projected period.
Applies an adjustable confidence filter to exclude extreme values.
Statistical Projection
Relies on the mean and standard deviation of historical returns.
Incorporates a standard deviation multiplier for confidence-adjusted projections.
PolyLines (Graphs)
Generates projections visually through polylines:
Statistical Polyline (Blue): Based on traditional statistical methods.
Empirical Polyline (Orange): Derived from empirical data analysis.
Projection Customization
Maximum Data Size: Configurable limit for the historical data array (max_array_size).
Confidence Level: Adjustable by the user (conf_lvl), affects the width of the confidence bands.
Projection Length: Configurable number of projected periods (length_projection).
Key Steps
Capture logarithmic returns and update the historical data array.
Calculate basic statistics (mean, median, standard deviation).
Perform projections:
Empirical: Based on the median of cumulative returns.
Statistical: Based on the mean and standard deviation.
Visualization:
Compare statistical and empirical projections using polylines.
Utility
This script allows users to compare:
Traditional Statistical Projections: Based on mathematical properties of historical returns.
Empirical Projections: Relying on direct historical observations.
Divergence or convergence of these lines also highlights the presence of skewness or kurtosis in the return distribution.
Ideal for traders and financial analysts looking to assess an asset’s potential future performance using combined statistical and empirical approaches.
Chaikin's Money FlowOverview : Chaikin's Money Flow (CMF) is a momentum indicator that measures the buying and selling pressure of a financial instrument over a specified period. By incorporating both price and volume, CMF provides a comprehensive view of market sentiment, helping traders identify potential trend reversals and confirm the strength of existing trends.
Key Features:
Volume-Weighted : Unlike price-only indicators, CMF accounts for trading volume, offering deeper insights into the forces driving price movements.
Oscillatory Nature : CMF oscillates between positive and negative values, typically ranging from -100 to +100, indicating the balance between buying and selling pressure.
Trend Confirmation : Positive CMF values suggest accumulating buying pressure, while negative values indicate distributing selling pressure. This aids in confirming the direction and strength of trends.
Calculation Details :
Intraday Intensity (II) = 100 × (2×Close−High−Low) / (High−Low) × Volume
Condition: If High=Low, II is set to 0 to prevent division by zero.
II_smoothed = SMA(II, lookback)
Applies a Simple Moving Average (SMA) to the Intraday Intensity over the defined lookback period to smooth out short-term fluctuations.
Volume Smoothing:
V_smoothed = EMA(Volume, Volume Smoothing Period)
Utilizes an Exponential Moving Average (EMA) to smooth the volume over the specified smoothing period, giving more weight to recent data.
Money Flow Calculation:
Money Flow = II_smoothed / V_smoothed
Condition: If Vsmoothed=0Vsmoothed=0, Money Flow is set to 0 to avoid division by zero.
Usage Instructions:
Parameters Configuration:
Lookback Period: Determines the number of periods over which Intraday Intensity is averaged. A higher value results in a smoother indicator, reducing sensitivity to short-term price movements.
Volume Smoothing Period: Defines the period for the EMA applied to Volume. Adjusting this parameter affects the responsiveness of the Money Flow indicator to changes in trading volume.
Interpreting the Indicator:
Positive Values (>0): Indicate buying pressure. The higher the value, the stronger the buying interest.
Negative Values (<0): Signal selling pressure. The lower the value, the more intense the selling activity.
Crossovers: Watch for Money Flow crossing above the zero line as potential buy signals and crossing below as potential sell signals.
Divergence: Identify divergences between Money Flow and price movements to anticipate possible trend reversals.
Complementary Analysis:
Confluence with Other Indicators: Use CMF in conjunction with trend indicators like Moving Averages or oscillators like RSI to enhance signal reliability.
Volume Confirmation: CMF's volume-weighted approach makes it a powerful tool for confirming the validity of price trends and breakouts.
Acknowledgment: This implementation of Chaikin's Money Flow Indicator is inspired by and derived from the methodologies presented in "Statistically Sound Indicators" by Timothy Masters. The indicator has been meticulously translated to Pine Script to maintain the statistical integrity and effectiveness outlined in the source material.
Disclaimer: The Chaikin's Money Flow Indicator is a tool designed to assist in trading decisions. It does not guarantee profits and should be used in conjunction with other analysis methods. Trading involves risk, and it's essential to perform thorough testing and validation before deploying any indicator in live trading environments.
Gains and Drawdowns with Standard DeviationsThis “Gains and Drawdowns with Standard Deviations” indicator helps in analyzing and visualizing the percentage gains and drawdown phases of a market or asset relative to its historical range. By calculating gains from the lowest low and drawdowns from the highest high over a specified lookback period, this indicator provides deeper insights into price movements and risk.
Key Features and Applications:
1. Gain and Drawdown Calculation:
• Gains: The indicator calculates the percentage gain from the lowest price point within a specific lookback period (e.g., 250 days).
• Drawdowns: Drawdowns are calculated as the percentage change from the highest point in the same period. This helps in identifying the maximum loss phases.
2. Standard Deviation:
• The indicator computes the standard deviation of both gains and drawdowns over a specified period (e.g., 250 days), allowing you to quantify volatility.
• Three bands (1st, 2nd, and 3rd standard deviations) are plotted for both gains and drawdowns, representing the frequency and magnitude of price movements within the normal volatility range.
3. Extreme Movements Highlighting:
• The indicator highlights extreme gains and drawdowns when they exceed user-defined thresholds. This helps in identifying significant market events or turning points.
4. Customizable Thresholds:
• Users can adjust the thresholds for extreme gains and drawdowns, as well as the lookback period for calculating gains, drawdowns, and standard deviations, making the indicator highly adaptable to specific needs.
Application in Portfolio Management:
The use of standard deviation in portfolio management is essential for assessing the risk and volatility of a portfolio. According to Modern Portfolio Theory (MPT) by Harry Markowitz, diversification of assets in a portfolio helps to minimize overall risk (especially the standard deviation), while maximizing returns. The standard deviation of a portfolio measures the volatility of its returns, with higher standard deviation indicating higher risk.
Scientific Source: Markowitz, H. M. (1952). Portfolio Selection. The Journal of Finance, 7(1), 77-91.
Markowitz’s theory suggests that an optimized portfolio, by minimizing the standard deviation of returns and combining a diversified asset allocation, can achieve better risk-adjusted returns.
Conclusion:
This indicator is particularly useful for traders and portfolio managers who want to understand and visualize market risk and extreme events. By using gains, drawdowns, and volatility metrics, it allows for systematic monitoring and evaluation of price movements, leading to more informed decisions in trading or portfolio management. A comprehensive understanding of price behavior and volatility helps in optimizing risk management and making strategic market entries.
Key Features:
• Visualization of Gains and Drawdowns with color-coded highlights for extreme movements.
• Standard Deviation Calculations for detailed volatility analysis.
• Customizable Thresholds for identifying extreme market events.
This indicator is a valuable tool for analyzing market data from a scientific standpoint, improving risk management, and making data-driven decisions based on historical performance.
