Following its weekly closing @ 49'463, below the former uptrend support line, the BTCUSD began the week in the red again.
DAILY :
Indeed, last daily closing triggered a "DOJI" pattern which confirm growing uncertainty about further development and which looks like an increase of the selling pressure. RSI @ 31.38
H4 :
Looking now at the 4 hours time frame, we can clearly see that the BTCUSD is caught between the Tenkan-Sen & Conversion Line and the Kijun-Sen & Base Line, which are respectively @ 48'800 and 49'800.
The Mid Bollinger Band, currently @ 50'960 should, as already mentioned several times, really be seen as a very good indicator in considering this line as a barometer, which means BULLISH above and BEARISH below...
In addition, the Tenkan-Sen coincides also with a minor uptrend support line which if broken on a H4 closing basis, would directly open the door for lower levels, towards firstly the 46'500 area, ahead of former low around 42'000 reached on Dec 4th.
Last but not least a rising wedge formation is in progress on RSI !
H1 :
Uncertainty confirmed by the recent and current price action within the clouds...
Interesting to note that the H1 bottom clouds also coincides with the support level above mentioned on H4 !
CONCLUSION :
Globally it does not smell good !
No change in my expected bearish scenario and any new long tactical exposure should be monitored very closely in adopting a disciplined risk management and in respecting a rational Risk Reward ratio !!!
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