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Btc fractal (2014) of a possible bull trap coming in the spring

BITFINEX:BTCUSD   ビットコイン/米ドル
as we see there in 2014 the "cci" oscillator is touching the oversold zone.
If it would repeat the same movement in the present (2018) we will see a nice run up (bull trap) in the spring before touching a new low in the summer.
chart of the present compared with 2014 :
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