S&P Correction

2020年4月15日

S&P is undergoing a pullback from the downward impulse from March to complete the ABC corrective wave.

Time will tell if this correction will be simple or complex.
I'm leaning towards a complex correction as the affects of the corona virus will take time to show up in the economy.

Q1 earnings is not indicative of what this virus is doing to the economy and there are no signs of a viable exit strategy from the virus other than a vaccine.
The chances of a vaccine being discovered, tested, mass produced and distributed without economic pain is unlikely.

These are unprecedented times indeed.

2020年4月15日

ノート

smaller time frame look at the wedge - the price is testing the structure.

2020年4月16日

ノート

It's testing the same wedge structure, but there are a lot of sellers in this zone.

2020年4月17日

ノート

The Bulls were able to break back inside the wedge and test the upper bound.
they were rejected and are outside the wedge again.

2020年4月17日

ノート

Today there was a war between the bulls and the bears on the edge of wedge. you can see the volume spikes when they try to break down and break back in the wedge.

what does all this mean? breaking into the lower bound of the wedge is bad for the bears of course, but if they break above the top of the wedge, then it's time to close shorts because you never know if it can go sharply upwards.

2020年4月21日

ノート

Bulls tried to get back in the but was rejected.

Let's see if we see a test on the lower bound of the wedge tomorrow....

2020年4月21日

ノート

The wedge structure has now been broken which is what we have been waiting for.
Look to see 2400s again as the first target.

2020年4月22日

ノート

Price has tested the structure but rejected. Bears are still looking good

2020年4月28日

ノート

Bulls are still trying to rally but unable to break up. Stay strong bears

2020年5月1日

ノート

Bulls are exhausted, we are going to 2600