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EURCAD Weekly Forex Forecast 1st October to 6th October

OANDA:EURCAD   ユーロ/加ドル
Midterm forecast:

While the price is above the support 1.4800, beginning of uptrend is expected.
We make sure when the resistance at 1.5360 breaks.
If the support at 1.4800 is broken, the short-term forecast -beginning of uptrend- will be invalid.
Technical analysis:

There is a divergence in RSI and price between the trough at 1.49165 on 2018-05-30 and the trough at 1.47985 on 2018-08-15, the probability of downtrend continuation is decreased and the probability of beginning of uptrend is increased.
The RSI support #1 at 47 is broken, so the probability of beginning of uptrend is decreased.
Price is below WEMA21, if price rises more, this line can act as dynamic resistance against more gains.
Relative strength index (RSI) is 37

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