Pandorra

Copper futures. Disinflation is almost there to come

COMEX:HG1!   銅先物(当限つなぎ足)
Copper futures fell further to around $3.8 per pound, marking a weekly loss driven by concerns over demand from China and heightened US interest rates.

China's manufacturing sector contracted for the fourth consecutive month in January, contributing to the negative sentiment.

With a robust US jobs report, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut in March have diminished.

Weaker Q1 industrial activity is expected to dampen demand, although Glencore's projected 5% production decline in 2023, along with an anticipated additional drop in 2024, could offset this.

Despite these challenges, there is still hope that China will implement measures to stabilize its economy.

Technical graph illustrates also, 5-years SMA is a massive long term support in this time for Copper futures HG1! , as it breakthrough can deliver solid further losses for Copper futures prices, like in 2020 (30% off), in 2014-16 (40% off) and in 2008-09 (50% off).

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