NAS100 FORECAST

6月11日

Overview:

- Current Price: 19019, slightly down by 0.11% (-20.2 points).
- Price Action: The index has been in an uptrend since early May, with a recent consolidation phase.

Key Observations:

1. Trend:
- The overall trend is bullish, with higher highs and higher lows forming since early May.
- There was a significant upward movement around mid-May, followed by a correction and another upward push in early June.

2. Recent Price Movement:
- After reaching a high around 19050, the price has pulled back slightly and is currently consolidating just below this level.
- The consolidation near the highs indicates a potential continuation pattern, suggesting that the market might be gathering strength for another move higher.

3. Bearish and Bullish Levels:
- Resistance: The recent high around 19050 is acting as a resistance level. A breakout above this level could signal further bullish momentum.
- Support: The previous swing low around 18600 can be considered a key support level. If the price breaks below this level, it could indicate a potential trend reversal or a deeper correction.

4. Volume and Volatility:
- The chart does not show volume, but the recent price action suggests that volatility has been relatively low in the consolidation phase. Traders will likely watch for an increase in volume accompanying a breakout or breakdown to confirm the move.


Potential Scenarios:

1. Bullish Scenario:
- If the price breaks above the resistance at 19050 with strong momentum and volume, it could continue the uptrend, targeting new highs.
- In this case, the next psychological levels to watch would be around 19100 and 19200.

2. Bearish Scenario:
- If the price fails to break the resistance and falls below the recent consolidation low around 18900, it could signal the start of a correction.
- In this scenario, the next support levels to watch would be around 18700 and 18600.

3. Sideways Movement:
- The price could continue to consolidate between 18900 and 19050, indicating indecision in the market.
- Traders might wait for a decisive breakout or breakdown from this range to determine the next significant move.


Conclusion:

The US NASDAQ 100 index is currently in a bullish trend with a consolidation phase near recent highs. A breakout above 19050 could continue the uptrend, while a breakdown below 18900 might lead to a correction. Traders should watch for volume and momentum to confirm any potential moves.