I'm very confident in the beginning of altseason

2019年5月19日

I have so many more reasons to expect this, which I might follow up on later. Long-story short though, I was bullish all the way up from the bottom to the first time it hit 8k, but since then I've been expecting altcoins to have their turn. Even as someone who's only been in since 2017, this is a very familiar cycle to me. BCH/BTC being so overdue for a rise also helps explain why and how it will be possible for altcoins to continue their surge despite the fact that bitcoin is consolidating, which seems like it hasn't happened for a couple years. I have longer-term analysis on this as well which I'd like to post links to but since I can't, I'll just say find me on twitter, steemit, or YouTube if you're interested in more.

2019年8月8日

ノート

As of a few days ago I started to become somewhat confident that the main reason why this is going so wrong is that BTC is not meant to be the real bitcoin. As controversial as it may sound, I believe it's just as ridiculous to believe this is a healthy market with bitcoin going up only when it's dominance goes up. It seems pretty clear to me now... BCH has been consolidating the whole time while alts continued capitulating more and more, making the current BTC seem more like a scammy s**tcoin that's ruining the market a lot like BSV did. I now give it a 60-70% chance that BCH will eventually attain the BTC ticker or simply become the preferred chain. The U.S. Military is looking into blockchain for communications, and with BCH, there's already an app for that (keyport). I'm not trying to fear monger, just calling it like I see it.

2020年2月4日

ノート

I've calmed down on my "BCH might be the real bitcoin" sentiment since my last update many months ago, and I'm giving BTC the benefit of the doubt as long as $6500 holds and perhaps much longer even if not. However I do recognize there will be a decent possibility that BCH eventually becomes the dominant chain until I see bitcoin much closer to or above 20k.

Although in hindsight an "altseason" prediction from mid-2019 might seem ridiculous, I'd like to point out that OTHERS.D has been on a pretty steady increase since a few months after I initially posted this. As BCH has done well against BTC in recent months, alts have followed, and people finally seem to really be getting excited for crypto in general again. Of course I've elaborated much more elsewhere, such as the very long-term bullish Gartley pattern that I put on twitter as OTHERS.D was bottoming out and the many times I've mentioned it on my youtube videos.

-TommyTourettes