thomasdmd

The "Edge of the Cliff"

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SP:SPX   S&P500指数
This chart shows better if you can zoom in to compare different growth periods, but what I wanted to show was the pattern that is seen after massive growth.
If you go back to other growth periods like the dot.com and housing bubbles, you can see the rapid growth, followed by a slow down at the peak, followed by the decline afterwards. How far and fast we decline depends on the Fed's intervention. Unfortunately this time, inflation is too high to print more money since we would likely end in recession or depression. So I would predict this to be more like the 2000 dot.com bubble which resulted in a 2 year bear market.
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