So far on the weekly chart, it is safe to say we are still in a downtrend. Many are saying the bottom is in. I hope so, but I am keeping an open mind about any scenario. I am looking forward to next week. If we can; 1. Break thru the downtrend line and then 2. Break above and hold above the H&S Neckline, we may well have seen the bottom. All is yet TBD.
This is not meant to be a trade, at least not in itself. I am simply pointing out that we are in a position that the market has presented 7 times so be aware. I posted a similar idea on the SPY a short while ago. Link below.
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On Feb 1, the SPX closed at 4119.21. If, we can hold these levels and not have a meaningful test below 4000, the probability of the bottom being in increases with the length of time it can hold above 4100. IMO.