$SPY / $SPX Scenarios — Thursday, Oct 9, 2025

🔮 SPY / SPX Scenarios — Thursday, Oct 9, 2025 🔮

🌍 Market-Moving Headlines
🚩 Powell spotlight: The Fed Chair’s morning remarks set the tone for risk sentiment — traders watching for policy bias hints.
💬 Fed overload: Bowman, Kashkari, Barr, and Daly dominate the docket — expect intraday rate-path chatter.
📉 Shutdown shadows: Jobless Claims* and Inventories* may face data delays; market liquidity remains headline-driven.
💻 Macro rotation: SPY trades tightly to yield moves; tech leadership faces cross-currents as real rates stay firm.

📊 Key Data & Events (ET)
⏰ 🚩 8:30 AM — Fed Chair Jerome Powell opening remarks
⏰ 🚩 8:30 AM — Initial Jobless Claims (Oct 4) subject to delay
⏰ 8:35 AM — Michelle Bowman (Fed Vice Chair for Supervision) welcoming remarks
⏰ 8:45 AM — Michelle Bowman speech
⏰ 10:00 AM — Wholesale Inventories (Aug)* subject to delay
⏰ 12:45 PM — Neel Kashkari + Michael Barr discussion
⏰ 3:45 PM — Michelle Bowman speech
⏰ 4:10 PM — Mary Daly (SF Fed) speech
⏰ 9:40 PM — Mary Daly evening remarks

⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational/informational only — not financial advice.

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