SPY Short Idea

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Pretty choppy day so far, but we have been grinding up all day pretty much and VX is making new all time lows once again. However, I wouldn't expect much more of a rally today, but we'll see. For now, I think SPY will fail on this retest and chop out the rest of the session.
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Got a small rejection, but not so sure bears can hold it, they are pretty weak today. However, I have trendline resistance on NQ and horizontal resistance on ES around here as well. If these levels break we could be in for a strong close.
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Well it held for the most part, but didn't provide any sort of downward action. Had a nice break above in the final minutes and VX just keeps making new lows. I don't have high expectations for tomorrow, but I think if SPY remains above this trendline and ES sustains above 5560, we should have a slow grind up.

There is some data coming out in the morning that may move things, but don't forget it's a half day and we're closed on Thursday. If you buy options tomorrow and hold, you will be losing a lot of value to theta decay.
Chart PatternsTrend Analysis

Short Thesis:
advancedplays.com/short-thesis.pdf

Disclaimer:
The ideas I post do not always represent my positions and they are intended for educational purposes. Trading is risky, most traders lose money!
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