Technical analysis of major crypto currencies, January 16 – 22
Last week in the news
A bit of optimism is back on the financial markets as inflation in the US slows down. Major US indexes finished the week in green. On the other side, the crypto market also benefited from positive news, as Bitcoin reached a level of $21K, and Ether is back to $1.5K.
It was a relatively good start of the new year on the financial markets. Long awaited slowdown in inflation figures are finally released, increasing the probability that the FED will slow down with its further rate increases. However, the macro situation continues to be fragile, in which sense, not all investors are still back on the market. As per official data published on Thursday, the US core inflation fell to 5.7% in December, while the inflation rate was down to 6.5% from 7.1% posted previously. Comments from some FED officials were related to the possibility for FED to further increase its interest rates by 25bps, which would be a significant drop in increases from several previous 75 bps.
Crypto.com is another company from the crypto industry which announced job cuts by 20% during this year. They have noted the stress around FTX collapse as a reason for such a decision, as it has hurt the trust in the crypto industry. It is another company in line with several others like Coinbase or Houbi who announced job cuts during this year.
Ethereum network is again in the spotlight of the market, in anticipation of the next, so called “Shanghai hard fork” which is expected to be released in March this year. The fork is supposed to allow users of the staked ETH to unlock their coins on the blockchain. As per analysts involved in a matter, it is questionable if the new fork will support the price of ETH, as holders might start selling their ETH holdings after they have been released for free use.
Cardano developer, Input Output Global (IOG), announced the release of a toolkit which would allow developers to build side chains. In this way, it would be allowed to side-chains to benefit from network security and decentralisation and increase the scalability of the Cardano`s network. The announcement modestly supported ADA, Cardano`s native token, which rose 3% after the announcement.
Another hard fork is announced for Bitcoin Cash, which will be released in May this year. This fork should add to the security of the network and allow developers to build decentralised applications directly to token.
In an interview with CNBC, the SkyBridge Capital founder Anthony Scaramucci, noted that there is possibility for this fund to buy back stake which FTX exchanger has in this fund. However, it will take several months until the transaction could occur, as it will be part of the FTX`s bankruptcy proceedings.
Crypto market cap
Long awaited optimism is back on the markets. Latest published figures for the US inflation are clearly showing that the inflation in the US took a downtrend. However, FED`s targeted 2% inflation is still on the long stick, in which sense, there is a high possibility that the FED will continue with increase of benchmark interest rates, but at lower levels, i.e. 25bps. This was also commented on by some FED officials during the previous week. It was a signal for the markets that monetary tightening might soon come to an end, and that market has probably bottomed. Still, not all investors are back on the market, considering that there are those with the opinion that the recession is coming to the US and that there is still enough space for the market to reach its bottom. Anyhow, it was the first extremely good week for the crypto market, after a longer period of time, since the total market capitalization was increased by 19% within a single week, adding $147B to total cap. Daily trading volumes were also increased and back to old figures, moving around $153B on a daily basis, compared to $44B a week before. Total crypto market capitalization has increased by 23% since the beginning of this year, adding total $175B to market cap.
All coins gained during the previous week, supported by the market optimism. Highest contribution to increase of total market cap came from major coins on the market, but few other altcoins had extremely good performance during the week. In nominal terms the highest gainer was Bitcoin, with an increase in market cap of $75B or 23% within a single week. BTC is followed by ETH, who managed to add $32B to its market cap or almost 21%. Third place belongs to BNB, with a surge in the market cap by $6.8B or 16%. Solana is one of the coins which outperformed the majority of other altcoins, and managed to add $3.3B to its cap, and increase it by an incredible 69% on a weekly basis. Among other altcoins, significant performance in relative terms had Cardano, who increased cap by 27%, Polkadot, with a surge of 30% and Maker, with increase of 32% on a weekly basis. As for coins in circulation, the previous week was relatively calm, with both Ripple`s and Stellar`s increase of total circulating coins by 0.3% each.
Crypto futures market
Optimism from the spot market was evident also in crypto futures. Both short term and long term futures for both BTC and ETH were traded higher by some 17% and 15% respectively. However, these percentages should be taken with reserve, considering that CME market closes on Friday, in which sense, Saturday`s trading on the spot market has not been included in these percentages. Long term BTC futures were traded higher by some 13% , with December 2023 ending Friday`s trading at level of $18.8K, and December next year at level of $18.6K. ETH futures for the same periods were traded up by 14%, with December 2023 ending the trading week at level of $1.4K, and December next year at level of $1.378.
Despite the latest market optimism, what is still evident on the futures market is the inverted curve, where futures prices for shorter terms are higher from the ones on the long run. It shows that investors are still not sure regarding the long term prospectus for the crypto market in the long run, especially considering that fears of recession are still quite dominant on financial markets.
A bit of optimism is back on the financial markets as inflation in the US slows down. Major US indexes finished the week in green. On the other side, the crypto market also benefited from positive news, as Bitcoin reached a level of $21K, and Ether is back to $1.5K.
It was a relatively good start of the new year on the financial markets. Long awaited slowdown in inflation figures are finally released, increasing the probability that the FED will slow down with its further rate increases. However, the macro situation continues to be fragile, in which sense, not all investors are still back on the market. As per official data published on Thursday, the US core inflation fell to 5.7% in December, while the inflation rate was down to 6.5% from 7.1% posted previously. Comments from some FED officials were related to the possibility for FED to further increase its interest rates by 25bps, which would be a significant drop in increases from several previous 75 bps.
Crypto.com is another company from the crypto industry which announced job cuts by 20% during this year. They have noted the stress around FTX collapse as a reason for such a decision, as it has hurt the trust in the crypto industry. It is another company in line with several others like Coinbase or Houbi who announced job cuts during this year.
Ethereum network is again in the spotlight of the market, in anticipation of the next, so called “Shanghai hard fork” which is expected to be released in March this year. The fork is supposed to allow users of the staked ETH to unlock their coins on the blockchain. As per analysts involved in a matter, it is questionable if the new fork will support the price of ETH, as holders might start selling their ETH holdings after they have been released for free use.
Cardano developer, Input Output Global (IOG), announced the release of a toolkit which would allow developers to build side chains. In this way, it would be allowed to side-chains to benefit from network security and decentralisation and increase the scalability of the Cardano`s network. The announcement modestly supported ADA, Cardano`s native token, which rose 3% after the announcement.
Another hard fork is announced for Bitcoin Cash, which will be released in May this year. This fork should add to the security of the network and allow developers to build decentralised applications directly to token.
In an interview with CNBC, the SkyBridge Capital founder Anthony Scaramucci, noted that there is possibility for this fund to buy back stake which FTX exchanger has in this fund. However, it will take several months until the transaction could occur, as it will be part of the FTX`s bankruptcy proceedings.
Crypto market cap
Long awaited optimism is back on the markets. Latest published figures for the US inflation are clearly showing that the inflation in the US took a downtrend. However, FED`s targeted 2% inflation is still on the long stick, in which sense, there is a high possibility that the FED will continue with increase of benchmark interest rates, but at lower levels, i.e. 25bps. This was also commented on by some FED officials during the previous week. It was a signal for the markets that monetary tightening might soon come to an end, and that market has probably bottomed. Still, not all investors are back on the market, considering that there are those with the opinion that the recession is coming to the US and that there is still enough space for the market to reach its bottom. Anyhow, it was the first extremely good week for the crypto market, after a longer period of time, since the total market capitalization was increased by 19% within a single week, adding $147B to total cap. Daily trading volumes were also increased and back to old figures, moving around $153B on a daily basis, compared to $44B a week before. Total crypto market capitalization has increased by 23% since the beginning of this year, adding total $175B to market cap.
All coins gained during the previous week, supported by the market optimism. Highest contribution to increase of total market cap came from major coins on the market, but few other altcoins had extremely good performance during the week. In nominal terms the highest gainer was Bitcoin, with an increase in market cap of $75B or 23% within a single week. BTC is followed by ETH, who managed to add $32B to its market cap or almost 21%. Third place belongs to BNB, with a surge in the market cap by $6.8B or 16%. Solana is one of the coins which outperformed the majority of other altcoins, and managed to add $3.3B to its cap, and increase it by an incredible 69% on a weekly basis. Among other altcoins, significant performance in relative terms had Cardano, who increased cap by 27%, Polkadot, with a surge of 30% and Maker, with increase of 32% on a weekly basis. As for coins in circulation, the previous week was relatively calm, with both Ripple`s and Stellar`s increase of total circulating coins by 0.3% each.
Crypto futures market
Optimism from the spot market was evident also in crypto futures. Both short term and long term futures for both BTC and ETH were traded higher by some 17% and 15% respectively. However, these percentages should be taken with reserve, considering that CME market closes on Friday, in which sense, Saturday`s trading on the spot market has not been included in these percentages. Long term BTC futures were traded higher by some 13% , with December 2023 ending Friday`s trading at level of $18.8K, and December next year at level of $18.6K. ETH futures for the same periods were traded up by 14%, with December 2023 ending the trading week at level of $1.4K, and December next year at level of $1.378.
Despite the latest market optimism, what is still evident on the futures market is the inverted curve, where futures prices for shorter terms are higher from the ones on the long run. It shows that investors are still not sure regarding the long term prospectus for the crypto market in the long run, especially considering that fears of recession are still quite dominant on financial markets.
