Gold demand reached an 11-year high in 2022

On 13th January 2023, we reiterated our belief that the stock market was going through another bear market rally. Furthermore, we warned investors about the price deviating too far from its moving averages and the characteristic behavior of gold, which lies in it rising rapidly and then dropping quickly as well. Following the FOMC, the price of gold fell by more than $95, which translates to approximately 5% within only two trading sessions. Despite that, we remain bullish on gold in the long term. However, we remain worried as trend reversal in the stock market and more selling pressure can act as headwinds for gold, putting a temporary lid on the price in the short term. Due to that, we will pay close attention to Jerome Powell’s speech today and gold’s price action accompanying it.

2022 gold market in hindsight
According to World Gold Council, gold demand (excluding OTC) reached an 11-year high in 2022, jumping by 18% to 4 741 tonnes. Investment demand grew by 10%, while demand for bullion increased by 2%. On the other hand, jewelry consumption dropped by 3%, and demand for gold in technology plummeted by 7% due to an economic slowdown. Interestingly, in 2022, central banks were a significant driver of higher gold prices, with a series of large purchases in Q3 and Q4. As for the global supply, it grew by 2% to 4 755 tonnes.

Illustration 1.01

Illustration 1.01 displays the daily chart of XAUUSD. The yellow arrow points to the last rate hike by the Federal Reserve’s FOMC, which preceded the price drop.

Technical analysis
Daily = Bearish
Weekly = Neutral/Slightly bearish

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DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.