MacroView_Research

AUDUSD Rallies But Remains Technical Short

FX:AUDUSD   豪ドル/米ドル
On May 9, MacroView issued a short idea on AUDUSD and highlighted the strong correlations with copper and gold, which we would see the trifecta fall 2.93 percent, 4.90 percent and 6.68 percent respectively.

We've seen all three etch out bottoms in early June, yet copper is retesting those lows on unexpected increases in inventories. The AUDUSD went big following the Reserve Bank of Australia holding their key benchmark to 1.75 percent. Unfortunately, this will be short-lived. The central bank's policy will strongly be tethered to the economic performance of China.

Technically, we see price resistance at .7520 with a breakout potential to .7645 since the move does have relative strength in momentum. However, the weekly technicals still show a picture of lackluster upside potential.


Intermediately, the z-score is at a very high 2.6 (+/- 2 are a great contrarian indicator).

Trade posted on chart. Updates will be provided.

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