Make in India’ government focus clear: Mgmt highlighted that 692 items have been uploaded on the Ministry of Defence indigenization portal. EOIs for 69 items have also been published under Make-II. BEL is providing test facilities to private vendors apart from participating. Company saw 13% revenue CAGR vs single-digit Defence Capital budget CAGR since indigenisation effort began in FY15. Focus again on domestic manufacturing should see this higher CAGR sustain.
Rs 558-bn order book is 4x FY21 revenues: Rs 53-bn orders have been received YTD and order book is 2% higher since Q1FY22. Rs 565 bn is the visible 3-year order flow pipeline. For FY22e, Rs 80-100 bn orders from the air force, Rs 40-50 bn from army and Rs 30-40 bn from the navy is the defence order flow potential. Rs 30-40 bn non-defence orders is incremental.
smart cities are focus areas for BEL. Rs 300-500 mn might be the annual incremental capex need, which could scale up ahead. Rs 5-6 bn is BEL’s annual capex run-rate. Company received a trial order from the Delhi Metro, which should convert to a larger order.