BITFINEX:BTCUSD   ビットコイン/米ドル
There were four waves of correction for bitcoin in 2018th. Each of them had higher relative upper bounce, although in a quantitative way was lower. The similar situation was in 2014th, although the time scale was longer. Three major scenarios: 1) go lower, and even significantly lower – very unlikely, 5-10% probability, 2) stagnation for a year or more – quite likely, 30-40%, 3) short stagnation and a new bull-run – rather likely, 40-50%.

It is possible that there will be more bounces, if the trend continues, and according to the numbers, the next top could be at ~7600$. It also would bean that currently the drop is not over.

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