BTC/USDT = Dominance Signals Bitcoin's Next Bullish Move
TL;DR for Busy Readers
I’m 95% confident that we’ve bottomed out at 52.5k, and the worst case scenario would be 50.4k. Additionally, I’m 95% certain we won’t see a drop to 44k or anywhere near it. Here’s why.
The USDT Dominance Chart: A Key Indicator
One of the most reliable charts for predicting Bitcoin tops and market reversals is the USDT Dominance chart. This chart tracks the dominance of Tether (USDT) in the market, and right now, it’s showing levels not seen since the last bear market when Bitcoin was trading around 27k.
Currently, USDT Dominance is at critical resistance, touching levels that are typically only observed during bear markets. Historically, when USDT dominance hits these levels, it signals a bottom for Bitcoin and the beginning of an uptrend.
Additionally, the USDT dominance chart indicates we could see over a 30%+ move to the downside in USDT dominance, meaning more capital will flow out of stablecoins and back into Bitcoin and other cryptos. This is a strong indicator that Bitcoin is bottoming out and preparing for a bullish move.
Why 44k is Unlikely
For Bitcoin to drop to 44k, USDT dominance would have to enter territory that we’ve only ever seen in true bear markets. If this happens, it could break the higher timeframe (HTF) structure on both the USDT dominance chart and the Bitcoin chart, and ultimately, we wouldn’t just stop at 44k—we’d probably end up around 30k.
That’s why if you’re hoping for 44k, you’re really wishing for a major bear market that could pull Bitcoin down much further. This scenario would mean a shift in the current market structure, which doesn’t align with the probabilities we’re seeing.
Upside Probability is Much Higher
While there’s always a chance that USDT dominance could break higher and push the market lower, the probability of this happening is very small in my opinion. Investing is all about probabilities, and when we assess the entire market situation, it’s clear that the upside is heavily favored right now.
Based on the data, the market structure, and the USDT dominance chart, the likelihood of Bitcoin continuing upward from here is very high. It’s important to monitor how the market behaves in the coming weeks, but all signs point toward a bullish move.
My years of experience kind of Opinion
In summary, the USDT dominance chart is signaling that we’ve likely seen the bottom at 52.5k, and the chances of Bitcoin falling to 44k or lower are extremely slim. If anything, this level of USDT dominance typically indicates that a Bitcoin rally is on the horizon. Stay cautious, but it looks like the market is gearing up for an uptrend. Let's see how the rest of the month plays out, but from where I stand, the upside looks very promising.
DISCLAIMER:
All though I predicted the market at 18K pump, this prediction is still for informational/documentation of my journey and entertainment purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. As with all investments, there are risks involved, and probability-based analysis may not always result in accurate predictions. Always consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
- 95% confidence that Bitcoin has bottomed at 52.5k, with the worst possible scenario at 50.4k.
- The USDT Dominance Chart is showing resistance levels not seen since the last bear market when Bitcoin was around 27k.
- For Bitcoin to hit 44k, USDT dominance would need to enter bear market territory, which is highly unlikely.
- A 30%+ downside move in USDT dominance suggests more capital will flow into Bitcoin, signaling a bullish uptrend.
- The odds are heavily in favor of Bitcoin moving upward from here, and I expect it to play out over the rest of the month.
I’m 95% confident that we’ve bottomed out at 52.5k, and the worst case scenario would be 50.4k. Additionally, I’m 95% certain we won’t see a drop to 44k or anywhere near it. Here’s why.
The USDT Dominance Chart: A Key Indicator
One of the most reliable charts for predicting Bitcoin tops and market reversals is the USDT Dominance chart. This chart tracks the dominance of Tether (USDT) in the market, and right now, it’s showing levels not seen since the last bear market when Bitcoin was trading around 27k.
Currently, USDT Dominance is at critical resistance, touching levels that are typically only observed during bear markets. Historically, when USDT dominance hits these levels, it signals a bottom for Bitcoin and the beginning of an uptrend.
Additionally, the USDT dominance chart indicates we could see over a 30%+ move to the downside in USDT dominance, meaning more capital will flow out of stablecoins and back into Bitcoin and other cryptos. This is a strong indicator that Bitcoin is bottoming out and preparing for a bullish move.
Why 44k is Unlikely
For Bitcoin to drop to 44k, USDT dominance would have to enter territory that we’ve only ever seen in true bear markets. If this happens, it could break the higher timeframe (HTF) structure on both the USDT dominance chart and the Bitcoin chart, and ultimately, we wouldn’t just stop at 44k—we’d probably end up around 30k.
That’s why if you’re hoping for 44k, you’re really wishing for a major bear market that could pull Bitcoin down much further. This scenario would mean a shift in the current market structure, which doesn’t align with the probabilities we’re seeing.
Upside Probability is Much Higher
While there’s always a chance that USDT dominance could break higher and push the market lower, the probability of this happening is very small in my opinion. Investing is all about probabilities, and when we assess the entire market situation, it’s clear that the upside is heavily favored right now.
Based on the data, the market structure, and the USDT dominance chart, the likelihood of Bitcoin continuing upward from here is very high. It’s important to monitor how the market behaves in the coming weeks, but all signs point toward a bullish move.
My years of experience kind of Opinion
In summary, the USDT dominance chart is signaling that we’ve likely seen the bottom at 52.5k, and the chances of Bitcoin falling to 44k or lower are extremely slim. If anything, this level of USDT dominance typically indicates that a Bitcoin rally is on the horizon. Stay cautious, but it looks like the market is gearing up for an uptrend. Let's see how the rest of the month plays out, but from where I stand, the upside looks very promising.
DISCLAIMER:
All though I predicted the market at 18K pump, this prediction is still for informational/documentation of my journey and entertainment purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. As with all investments, there are risks involved, and probability-based analysis may not always result in accurate predictions. Always consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
ノート
We called the BOTTOM, we need to CHEERS.
Bad News: I failed to call the retrace, so from here it will be dangerous to call for a bear market, it will be crazy to also call for a crash just because of cherry picking of data that shows bearishness. Please humility will save you, and we are still loading gas to rocket to moon, its not too late. We got this! WAGMI!!!
ノート
This was my previous call... top 60K+ only then retrace to 57K which we failed...
There's still chance to reject from 64K but its hard that BULLS when they get BULLISH they rip the charts. Its all SENTIMENT From here. Thank you
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