SINGAPORE COVID-19 Wave 3 Projection Update XI
Been a while since, and much has happened...
Now, the numbers are somewhat different as Singapore had decided to take a different stance, so bearing in mind that not every case is being tracked (by PCR) as a significant number is now being tested by default using the Antigen Rapid Test (ART) kits.
Nonetheless, since October 10th, the spread is slowing slightly... and using the MACD histograms with whatever reliable data left, can roughly project a tapering down in mid-November. However, since the borders are reopening, combined with the massive handling and release from mandatory measures for reporting (stay home quarantine, ART testing, etc.)... we probably have a better idea early November (green circle) where this new dynamic will take us.
So, the model here is now starting to have larger variations.
IF you would kindly track back previous posts, you can see the projections are highly predictive, particularly a comment I made at the end of June, about somewhere is a leak and it is about to resurge. And lol, it did with a big bang into September October.
Well... stay safe and well!
Now, the numbers are somewhat different as Singapore had decided to take a different stance, so bearing in mind that not every case is being tracked (by PCR) as a significant number is now being tested by default using the Antigen Rapid Test (ART) kits.
Nonetheless, since October 10th, the spread is slowing slightly... and using the MACD histograms with whatever reliable data left, can roughly project a tapering down in mid-November. However, since the borders are reopening, combined with the massive handling and release from mandatory measures for reporting (stay home quarantine, ART testing, etc.)... we probably have a better idea early November (green circle) where this new dynamic will take us.
So, the model here is now starting to have larger variations.
IF you would kindly track back previous posts, you can see the projections are highly predictive, particularly a comment I made at the end of June, about somewhere is a leak and it is about to resurge. And lol, it did with a big bang into September October.
Well... stay safe and well!
