viswaram

6th Nov ’23 - Show of strength today - Nifty PostMortem

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NSE:NIFTY   Nifty50指数
Nifty Analysis
Recap from yesterday: “On the 1hr TF, Nifty has made an odd-looking W pattern, technically its a bullish sign but we need confirmation of the same by taking out the 19310 resistance soon.”

A look at the chart will make you a believer in technical analysis. We required a gap-up to go past the 19310 because bulls could not win over the bears during trading hours - you could see that on the 2nd and 3rd Nov - read here. Once you have a gap-up, the dynamics change and the bears cede control quickly.
We tested the 19310 support twice, the 1st candle as well as the 11.05 candle. Since it was a rejection - the only way Nifty could go was up. Once BankNifty also started participating, the pace picked up by the afternoon. We did not test the next resistance of 19446 - maybe we will have another gap-up tomorrow at those levels.

This is not the first time Nifty has jumped levels via gap-ups. It has become highly predictable these days. When the big boys do a gap-up, the poor retail trader will have to run for cover. A short covering will further fuel the fire. For tomorrow, I wish to maintain the bullish stance with the first target of 19446 and then 19576. If we are going down, the first level to watch will be 19310.

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